Hi mate sorry i was trading the football tonight and thought id get back to you after the hustle had died down. ROI is net profit divided by total assets. So in your case it would be 11% on the low odds version and 16% on the 1.50 odds entry. Before i answer it, let me just say congrats on finding a profitable system.
Let me ask you a quick question what do you feel more comfortable doing? The amount of trades you are performing with the low odds entry, to equal the same amount of profit as the 1.50 odds is rather alot. What this means is your having to be more efficient in managing your trades. Just because its less odds doesnt actually mean less risk because now your having to trade more games which is increasing risk the same amount. We are all prone to mistakes and just because you have paper traded doesnt mean mistakes wont happen. Which with this risk/reward for low odds your going to get hit hard both bank wise and mentally.
Are you doing any pre match research other than just what the filter puts up? or are you just trading every game on it? If you take the 1.50 entry you can increase that strike rate and be in a healthier position. Not to mention on top of that the 1.5/60 mins entry allows you to take a look at how the match is progressing. So you can see inplay stats or be able to watch the game. Imagine having to do that with the amount of games your low odds entry has. I 100% believe if you followed this approach you could tighten your strike rate up and would be making more profits.
For me its a not about the quantity. There is a massive tendency because you have a high strike rate difference between the 2 different entries that youll favour the higher one hence why your defensive of it in the last few sentences. The low odds entry will have lower variance but your potential profit ie if you have a good batch of 100 trades wont be as significant as if you were to say increase your strike rate of the 1.5 entry by even 2-3% per 100. Not every 100 batch of games will perform identical. The gaps between 72-75% has a far greater impact on profit and would only require 5-6 games heading in your favour to achieve that unlike the low odds when your already hitting the ceiling with the profit potential.
Let me know if you have any follow up comment.
I have been busy trading today and also been helping another member with his trading which is getting pretty detailed. If you want my email just send me a private message. Id also use the private coaching section and wrack the brains of ryan and martin. But im always up for helping anyone best i can.