@Alastair-Todd said in 🔮⚽ Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! ⚽🔮:

Monday's Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

Mjondalen v Skeid. 4.70

Result 1/1 win= +£9.80
Running total = -£48.40

Lay Under 1.5:

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Botafogo v Atletico and Inter v River Plate will be fascinating games tonight, can the South American teams continue to do well when it's all on the line? They have done really well so far.

Just one of those games, doesn't happen very often, 1 point loss. Hopefully opportunities in Eng v India, drip laying the draw in that one, England still to bat first.

@Shannon-Townsend LTD update - 10 days on another 13 selections and a further 4 pts in profit...

Now 342 selections and 21pts profit... i am only on £2 stakes but as my stakes increase i will be really pleased if this level of return continues.

Happy with this slow and steady approach and following a few years of matched betting i have now deleted all bookmaker apps from my phone and have put the betfair app in with my banking apps to remind me i am doing this as a long term investment and not just for fun... mindset continues to improve.

@Martin Cheers Martin, just need to learn to spell now !!!!

@Ryan did you still need this tracking? I might be able to commit some time to it. I can also get historical Betfair data to fill in any gaps if there are any

ELEVEN non-runners, nine of which were not reserves? Are you kidding me 🤣

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This sh*t reads like a month's worth of excuses my son tries to use to get out of going to school:

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@Patrik-Mellqvist @Jakub-Zielinski
Even if you get Andrey to write a Strategy for you I would strongly suggest that you take time to ensure you fully understand it. I'd be surprised if you don't find that you want to refine it over time and you really shouldn't need to go back to Andrey to do so.
Equally, getting a good grasp of the functionality will mean you can create new strategies whenever you like.
I've created quite a few myself and there are times when I get stuck. Andrey is always really helpful when I need input but I'd much rather be as self-sufficient as possible

@Martin said in MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY:

@james-everard you planning to trade the summer leagues? Good work by the way, shows the value of leaving end of season games!

Hi Martin yes i am trading the summer leagues , just in the last week or so matches have come up on my filters. I will be trading the Swedish,Finish , Norwegian, Lithuanian, south korea , japan and some South American leagues( minus Colombia and Veneuzuala as they have nearly completed their seasons.
I took your advice a while ago regarding not trading leagues that have nearly finished, just have 3 or 4 weeks of little matches similarly to the end of August/September

BF Bot Manager has in play stats available as parameters and you can automate your trading using them

@Nikki-HALSALL @Ryan @Martin
Thanks for your positive feedback and I'm glad you like the data.
I've looked at the results per league and at this stage I'm not identifying a stand out loser but would suggest that maybe we're not allowing new leagues enough breathing space and that 10 matches (5 per team) is too early an entry point for a new season. For example, on 18th May there were 4 selections from the USA MLS, three of these lost.
Column E and F on my sheet have certain matches highlighted in blue from mid-April. These are 'Nothing To Play For' (NTPF) games where promotion, relegation, play off, euro places etc. are a non possibility for both teams. There have been 31 such selections but only 5 lost. Despite no apparent incentive goals are still going in! This follows on from Nikki's point about the in-play stats not reflecting the goals scored. At the end of the day, whatever criteria we set for a 'set and forget' will be based on history and a probability of what to expect. Football never quite works out like that - it's a funny old game!!
Anyway, on we go and let's see what the summer leagues produce. We're off to a good start with the first Swedish selection last night. First goal on 21 minutes and 1.56 matched.😃

@Andrew-Gordon hi mate, I have put the download link in the opening post of this thread. Let me know if you need any help uploading it.

@Clifford-Truss have a look at inplay alerts, only 5 quid per month, you can set up your strategy in there and it will send you telegram alert when your selected games qualify.

It’s a good product to use alongside any in play BTC strategies.

@Adam Then I will be alive again and can take their inheritance back....

@Jakub-Zielinski I use a PC with two screens, 16gb ram and works great for me.

@MICHAEL-ROBERTS said in Masterclass Training Lesson 1: Win Big on Betfair - Betfair Trading Explained:

MINDSET:
a. Stop chasing loses, learn to expect them..... its not a bad thing!
b. Stop sulking, it doesnt get you anywhere!
c. Stick to your trading plan
d. Stick to your staking plan
e. Learn to walk away
f. You dont have to trade hundreds of trades to be successful

Patience and sticking to the plan, i'd say even higher-than-normal level of patience is required here. Best example - today's Liverpool game...they were all over "Foxes", yet only one goal, and pretty late-ish in the game.

Let me and Fairbot run some scalping sessions - after that I can tell more about the procedure - cheers

@Richard-Hazeltine it's fine to post here 🙂

@Nikki-HALSALL said in Winning Edge Teams & XP Tracker & Leaderboard:

This strategy is proving tricky for me, being present to place at 10 mins is not possible as I work full-time so I tried a set and forget at 1.45 to 1.51 odds ish depending on pre-match price but there are a lot of goals scored before 10 mins and a lot that finish 0-0 at half time so..........not quitting but having a cull of leagues.

I am cutting.....

Premier League ENG - I know!!!!!
Mexico Liga Mx
Netherlands Eerste & Eredivisie

These 3 leagues are really affecting the overall success rate and although only 350 matches so it could just be variance they are out.

Turkey Super Lig is close to being cut but will give it more time

I guess in these situations with a small sample it is good to monitor the cut leagues still just in case it was just a bad run so will do that.

I see and I read what you say - better listen to Ryan - but I will share my opinion - you can put Set & Forget with Keep option with 25 ticks above staring price - then you get the optimal price at 15 min mark - if you want 10 min mark I can simulate and see how many ticks the market move - easy - work is not an obstical - just mindset - cheers