I took a red on IRE vs ZIM, even at 5 down, expected IRE to push on. Took that last wicket stand to save quite a bit too. ZIM Price will only come in today unless IRE go through the top order fast.

Going to take a break for now, and be back for SRI series unless something clear pops up in ENG vs WI

So I am currently looking to upgrade my current set up for trading (currently just using a laptop).
It would be much appreciated if anyone could help find or point me in the right direction of what would be best. My knowledge is pretty basic in the tech department.
Will be looking for a desktop pc and 2 decent size monitors. Thanks.

Bet Angel has a "To be placed" market in guardian - that is the one that you need. 👍 Can always run a test as well to make sure the values correlate.

Hello all - I need some help from the community!

Have someone set up the Split Stake & LTD Betgreen by Ryan with Betfair Bot Manager?
I use my version of the methods but would find it easier if there is a complete setup to get hints on how to customize Betfair Bot Manager.

If not I can get the coding job done by Betfair Bot Manager Team.

Cheers

@Craig-vaulks No worries at all, great to have you back 🙂 you missed us all? 🙂

Wicked we will happily help.

Just after a second opinion, but I have a horse racing Lay strategy which I am testing, back testing just includes 2023 and 2024, and I wondered what the following two sets of results would tell you:

These are the results if I set it to bet as soon as the Market is Open:

842a0fb6-7dd8-482a-a093-9e7bed11aa43-image.png

And these are the results if I set it to bet 15 minutes before the start of the race:

c6b2ac9e-134b-41d8-ba7b-02108c8ece22-image.png

The strategy lays certain 1st and 2nd Favourites, so obviously the variance in number of bets is due to market movements, but just wondered if there were any other thoughts explaining the variance?

Here are the stats highlights from our software today!

Horse Racing - User Guide Here: https://new.betfairtradingcommunity.com/horse-racing-stats/

Terms Glossary:

LTO = Last Time Out

Dobbed = Price reduces 50% In Running, a £10 bet at the off would make £10 profit if price reached, £10 loss if price not reached.

Trobbed = Price reduces 66.67% in running, a £10 bet at the off would make £20 profit if price reached, £10 loss if price not reached.

Beaten Fav = Horse that was a favourite last time out and lost.

Steamed = Horse's price has shortened significantly

Drifted = Horse’s price has got bigger significantly

Class = Similar to divisions in football, so going up in class in theory is stronger competition, down in class weaker horses etc

Uttoxeter 14:10
Pure Gold
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Moved up a class since LTO

Ascot 14:25
True Legend
Trobbed in 6 of last 10 runs
Moved down a class since LTO

Global Heat
Likes to lead (Pace rating = 10)
Draw bias = 1.5399999618530273

Howth
Moved down a class since LTO

Red Flyer
Dobbed in 8 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Beaten Fave LTO
Moved up a class since LTO

Wickywickywheels
Moved up a class since LTO

Zoran
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Likes to lead (Pace rating = 12)
Moved up a class since LTO

Two Auld Pals
Moved up a class since LTO
Market mover - Price drifted 60% since last night

Uttoxeter 14:45
Townhill
Likes to lead (Pace rating = 10)

Kazontherazz
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Has won at course

Mourzouk
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Likes to lead (Pace rating = 10)
Market mover - Price drifted 43% since last night

Prince De Juilley
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs

The Turtle Said
Has won at course

Hillsin
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Moved up a class since LTO

Ascot 15:00
Zouzanna
Beaten Fave LTO
Has won over course & distance combo
Moved down a class since LTO

Final Watch
Has won over course & distance combo
Moved down a class since LTO
Market mover - Price steamed -33% since last night

Billy Mill
Draw bias = 1.5299999713897705

Musical Mystery
Has won at distance
Draw bias = 2.2300000190734863

Tadreeb
Has won at distance

Mumayaz
Has won at distance
Moved up a class since LTO

The Bitter Moose
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Moved up a class since LTO

Uttoxeter 15:20
Liverpool Knight
Has won at course
Moved down a class since LTO

Cirque Royal
Moved down a class since LTO

The Flier Begley
Moved down a class since LTO

Elogio
Moved down a class since LTO

Hardy Boy
Moved down a class since LTO

Police Academy
Has won at course

Copper Beach
Has won over course & distance combo

Presenting Nelly
Has won at course
Moved down a class since LTO

Ascot 15:35
Burdett Road
Beaten Fave LTO
Has won at course
Moved down a class since LTO

Alfred Boucher
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Beaten Fave LTO
Has won over course & distance combo

Chasing Aphrodite
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Has won at course
Moved up a class since LTO

Thirsk 15:45
Pearl Sands
Moved up a class since LTO

Chat Up Line
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Moved up a class since LTO

Bestie
Moved up a class since LTO

Loubiere
Moved up a class since LTO

Uttoxeter 15:55
Ambassador
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 6 of last 10 runs
Has won over course & distance combo
Moved down a class since LTO

Laser Focus
Beaten Fave LTO

Baikal
Moved up a class since LTO

Lucky Lover Boy
Has won over course & distance combo

Gerard Mentor
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs

Motazzen
Trobbed in 6 of last 10 runs

Ascot 16:10
Saratoga Gold
Moved down a class since LTO

Moel Arthur
Market mover - Price drifted 100% since last night

Individualism
Moved up a class since LTO

Thirsk 16:20
She's Centimental
Has won at distance

Emeralds Pride
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Has won over course & distance combo
Moved down a class since LTO

Keldeo
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs

Kilbeggan 16:40
Grann's Boy
Moved up a class since LTO

Gilded Moon
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs

Hasten Slowly
Moved up a class since LTO

Ascot 16:45
The Big Board
Has won over course & distance combo
Moved down a class since LTO

Sarah's Verse
Dobbed in 8 of last 10 runs
Moved up a class since LTO

Alcazan
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs

Persian Blue
Has won at distance
Moved up a class since LTO

Horse Whisperer
Likes to lead (Pace rating = 10)
Has won at distance
Moved up a class since LTO

Thirsk 16:55
Brian The Snail
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Has won at distance
Moved down a class since LTO

Dandy Fitz
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Has won at distance

The Grey Lass
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Has won at distance

Uttoxeter 17:05
Lipa K
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Beaten Fave LTO

L'impertinent
Moved down a class since LTO

Give Me A Moment
Likes to lead (Pace rating = 10)

Texard
Has won over course & distance combo

Mordred
Moved up a class since LTO

Kilbeggan 17:15
Leitzel
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs

York 17:30
Another Investment
Dobbed in 8 of last 10 runs
Has won over course & distance combo
Draw bias = 1.7300000190734863

Chuzzlewit
Moved down a class since LTO
Draw bias = 1.5299999713897705

Desert Falcon
Has won at distance
Moved down a class since LTO

Leadenhall
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Moved down a class since LTO
Draw bias = 1.6200000047683716

Carnival Zain
Has won at distance
Moved down a class since LTO

Craven
Has won at distance

Charencey
Has won at distance

The Cookstown Cafu
Has won at distance

Patontheback
Moved up a class since LTO
Market mover - Price drifted 33% since last night

Finbar's Lad
Has won at distance
Moved up a class since LTO

Bowman
Has won at distance

No Nay Nicki
Has won at distance
Moved down a class since LTO
Draw bias = 1.6200000047683716

One More Dream
Beaten Fave LTO
Has won at distance
Moved up a class since LTO

Uttoxeter 17:35
Chemical Warfare
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs

Friends Don't Ask
Has won over course & distance combo

Hey Bud
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs

Honneur De Sivola
Beaten Fave LTO

Chepstow 17:40
Believe You Me
Likes to lead (Pace rating = 10)
Has won over course & distance combo

Letter Of The Law
Has won at course

Iconic Knight
Has won over course & distance combo

Dynamite Katie
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Likes to lead (Pace rating = 12)
Market mover - Price drifted 38% since last night

Destiny's Spirit
Has won at course

Kilbeggan 17:45
Sula Warrior
Dobbed in 8 of last 10 runs

Navy Beach
Moved down a class since LTO

Sandown 17:55
Global Esteem
Likes to lead (Pace rating = 12)
Beaten Fave LTO
Has won at course

Just An Hour
Market mover - Price drifted 33% since last night

Carp Kid
Moved up a class since LTO

Silastar
Has won over course & distance combo
Moved down a class since LTO

Mc'Ted
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Moved up a class since LTO

Lawn Ranger
Likes to lead (Pace rating = 10)

Cork 18:00
So Majestic
Dobbed in 8 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Has won at distance
Moved down a class since LTO
Draw bias = 2.0799999237060547

Kendall Roy
Beaten Fave LTO
Has won at distance

Scorchio
Has won over course & distance combo
Draw bias = 1.7599999904632568

Gabriella's Spirit
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Has won over course & distance combo
Moved up a class since LTO

Harry's Hill
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Has won at distance
Moved down a class since LTO

Jered Maddox
Has won at distance
Moved down a class since LTO

York 18:05
Valley Of Flowers
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Has won at distance
Draw bias = 1.8600000143051147

Marbuzet
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Moved up a class since LTO

Red Force One
Has won over course & distance combo
Moved up a class since LTO

Kilbeggan 18:20
Toor Moon
Moved down a class since LTO

Baby Chou
Moved down a class since LTO

How Decc
Moved down a class since LTO

Mont Beuvray
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs

Sunwalk
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs

Cappacurry Croi
Moved down a class since LTO

Rossies Tara
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Moved down a class since LTO

Sky Tempest
Moved down a class since LTO

Chepstow 18:50
So Smart
Beaten Fave LTO
Market mover - Price drifted 50% since last night

Jax Edge
Has won over course & distance combo
Market mover - Price steamed -33% since last night

Apache Star
Moved down a class since LTO

Mokaatil
Has won over course & distance combo

Rhubarb
Has won over course & distance combo
Moved up a class since LTO

Kilbeggan 18:55
Arcland
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs

Snapius
Moved up a class since LTO

Smiling Bess
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Has won at course

Circus Act
Moved up a class since LTO

Future Proof
Moved up a class since LTO

Sandown 19:05
Mr Freedom
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Moved down a class since LTO

Jaramillo
Draw bias = 1.6699999570846558

Crescent Lake
Likes to lead (Pace rating = 10)
Has won at distance

Enochdhu
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs

Damascus Steel
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 6 of last 10 runs

C'Mon Kenny
Has won at course

Naasma
Moved up a class since LTO

Whispering Royal
Draw bias = 1.75

Teqany
Moved down a class since LTO

Militry Decoration
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Moved up a class since LTO

Cork 19:10
Samrogue
Has won over course & distance combo
Moved down a class since LTO

Cross Border
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs

Run Forrest Run
Has won over course & distance combo
Moved down a class since LTO
Draw bias = 1.6100000143051147

Rumbled Again
Moved down a class since LTO

I'm Spartacus
Has won at distance
Moved down a class since LTO

Nordic Passage
Has won at distance

Blame Thechampagne
Moved down a class since LTO
Draw bias = 1.690000057220459

Sister Lola
Has won at distance
Moved down a class since LTO
Market mover - Price steamed -52% since last night

American In Paris
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Has won over course & distance combo
Moved down a class since LTO

Imperial Khan
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Moved down a class since LTO

Theriverrunsdeep
Has won at distance

Un Bacio Ancora
Has won at distance

Kuwait Direction
Has won at distance
Draw bias = 5.190000057220459

Maestro Stick
Has won at distance

Born Invincible
Has won at course

York 19:15
Regal Envoy
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Has won at distance

It Just Takes Time
Has won at course
Has won at distance

Good Earth
Has won over course & distance combo

Roundhay Park
Has won over course & distance combo
Market mover - Price steamed -39% since last night

Kuwait City
Has won at course

Quandary
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 6 of last 10 runs
Moved down a class since LTO

Minnesota Lad
Moved up a class since LTO

Sibyl Charm
Has won at distance

Bay Breeze
Has won at distance

Castan
Moved up a class since LTO

Muscika
Has won over course & distance combo

Zaman Jemil
Has won at distance
Moved up a class since LTO

Runninwild
Likes to lead (Pace rating = 10)
Has won at distance
Moved up a class since LTO

Iris Dancer
Likes to lead (Pace rating = 10)
Has won at distance

Dicko The Legend
Dobbed in 10 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Has won at distance
Moved up a class since LTO

Music Society
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Has won at distance

Chepstow 19:20
Magical Merlin
Moved down a class since LTO

Macs Dilemma
Has won at course
Moved down a class since LTO

Cork 19:40
Karsavina
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Moved down a class since LTO

York 19:50
Zarabanda
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs

Chepstow 19:55
Fact Or Fable
Has won at course

Headshot
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs

Kenstone
Has won over course & distance combo

Romanovich
Has won at course

Kilbeggan 20:00
Pakens Rock
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Has won at course

Ebasari
Moved up a class since LTO

Banjaxed
Moved up a class since LTO

Broken Ice
Moved up a class since LTO

Presenting Lad
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 7 of last 10 runs

Room To Roam
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Moved up a class since LTO

Favori Logique
Moved up a class since LTO

Marelly
Moved up a class since LTO

Sandown 20:10
Whitcombe Rockstar
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Has won at course
Has won at distance

Island Bandit
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Has won over course & distance combo
Draw bias = 1.6299999952316284

Plantadream
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Has won at distance
Moved down a class since LTO

Lyndon B
Has won over course & distance combo

War Chant
Has won at distance
Moved up a class since LTO

York 20:20
Ganesha
Moved down a class since LTO

The Coffee Pod
Has won at course

Vince L'Amour
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs

Je Ne Sais Quoi
Draw bias = 1.8200000524520874

Make It Easy
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 6 of last 10 runs
Beaten Fave LTO
Moved up a class since LTO

Ticktyboo
Moved up a class since LTO

Travel Candy
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs

Scoops Ahoy
Moved up a class since LTO

Stash The Cash
Beaten Fave LTO
Moved up a class since LTO

Kilbeggan 20:30
Finnians Row
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Moved down a class since LTO

Crowsatedappletart
Moved down a class since LTO

Ivane
Moved down a class since LTO

Coco Lightning
Dobbed in 8 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Moved down a class since LTO

Cullenwaine
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs

Daicheadacuig
Has won at course

Joe's Turn
Moved down a class since LTO

Likable Chancer
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 6 of last 10 runs
Moved down a class since LTO

Justakeg
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs

Kadys Dirha
Moved down a class since LTO

Coastguard Lady
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Moved down a class since LTO

Sandown 20:45
Diddy Man
Moved down a class since LTO

Chepstow 20:55
Early Morning Dew
Has won at distance
Moved down a class since LTO

Flame Of Kodiac
Has won at course

Jenson Benson
Has won at distance
Moved down a class since LTO

Bobacious
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Likes to lead (Pace rating = 10)
Beaten Fave LTO

City Escape
Dobbed in 7 of last 10 runs
Trobbed in 5 of last 10 runs
Has won at distance

Thanks,

Martin
Betfair Trading Tutor

Here are the stats highlights from our software today!

Football - User Guide Here: https://new.betfairtradingcommunity.com/football-trading-stats/

Note that stats software uses home results for home team and away results for away team. League form only.

Terms Glossary:

HT = Half-Time

FT = Full-Time

FHG = First Half Goal

SHG = Second Half Goal

O1.5, O2.5 etc  = Over 1.5, Over 2.5 (usually goals)

U1.5, U2.5 etc  = Under 1.5, Under 2.5 (usually goals)

High ELO difference = Big difference in the ratings of the two teams (Think Liverpool vs Chester)

High action match possible = Could be an end to end game with lots of action

High Goal Expectation = Could be a high scoring game

No-lose streak = Team has not lost in X amount of games

No-win streak = Team has not won in X amount of games

26/07/24 00:00 | Brazil - Serie A | Corinthians vs Gremio:
Home team is on a 5 match no-lose streak

26/07/24 01:30 | Brazil - Serie B | Ceara vs Botafogo SP:
Away team is on a 3 match losing streak

26/07/24 11:30 | South Korea - K League 1 | Jeju Utd vs Ulsan Hyundai:
Home team is on a 3 match winning streak
Home team is on a 3 match winning streak
Home team is on a 3 match no-lose streak

26/07/24 12:35 | China - Super League | Shanghai SIPG vs Nantong Zhiyun:
High home Elo (1836)
High Elo difference (1836 vs 1441)
Home team is on a 5 match winning streak
Home team is on a 5 match winning streak
Home team is on a 5 match no-lose streak
55% of their match history had a goal in the last 10 mins
95% of their match history had 2 or more goals

26/07/24 13:00 | China - Super League | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Beijing Guoan:
High away accuracy advantage (50)
Home team is on a 3 match no-lose streak

26/07/24 17:00 | Poland - Ekstraklasa | Puszcza vs Gornik Zabrze:
Away team is on a 3 match losing streak
Home team is on a 5 match no-lose streak

26/07/24 18:00 | Denmark - Superliga | Sonderjyske vs Lyngby:
Home team is on a 5 match no-lose streak

26/07/24 18:30 | Switzerland - Challenge League | Stade Nyonnais vs Bellinzona:
Away team is on a 3 match no-lose streak

26/07/24 19:00 | Peru - Liga 1 | Union Comercio vs Grau:
60% of their match history had a goal in the last 10 mins

26/07/24 19:15 | Switzerland - Challenge League | Etoile-Carouge vs Xamax:
Away team is on a 3 match no-lose streak

26/07/24 19:30 | Poland - Ekstraklasa | Lechia Gdansk vs Motor Lublin:
Home team is on a 5 match winning streak
Home team is on a 5 match winning streak
Home team is on a 5 match no-lose streak

26/07/24 21:15 | Peru - Liga 1 | Comerciantes Unidos vs Carlos Mannucci:
39% of their match history had a goal in the last 10 mins

27/07/24 00:00 | Peru - Liga 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys:
Away team is on a 3 match losing streak

27/07/24 01:30 | Brazil - Serie B | Ituano vs Vila Nova FC:
Home team is on a 3 match no-lose streak

27/07/24 02:30 | Peru - Liga 1 | U. de Deportes vs Alianza Lima:
Home team is on a 5 match winning streak
Home team is on a 5 match winning streak
Home team is on a 5 match no-lose streak
50% of their match history had a goal in the last 10 mins

27/07/24 11:00 | South Korea - K League 1 | Gwangju FC vs Suwon City:
Away team is on a 3 match winning streak
Away team is on a 3 match winning streak
Away team is on a 3 match no-lose streak
45% of their match history had a goal in the last 10 mins

27/07/24 12:00 | China - Super League | Changchun Yatai vs Shijiazhuang:
Away team is on a 3 match losing streak
Home team is on a 5 match no-lose streak
85% of their match history had a goal in the last 10 mins

27/07/24 12:35 | China - Super League | Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao West Coast:
Away team is on a 3 match losing streak

27/07/24 13:45 | Poland - Ekstraklasa | Stal Mielec vs GKS Katowice:
Away team is on a 3 match winning streak
Away team is on a 3 match winning streak
Home team is on a 3 match no-lose streak
Away team is on a 5 match no-lose streak

27/07/24 14:00 | Sweden - Allsvenskan | Norrkoping vs Kalmar:
Only 5% of their match history had a goal in the first 10 mins

27/07/24 15:00 | Denmark - Superliga | Nordsjaelland vs Midtjylland:
Home team is on a 5 match no-lose streak
Away team is on a 3 match no-lose streak

27/07/24 15:00 | Norway - Eliteserien | K. Oslo vs Bodo/Glimt:
High away Elo (1825)
High away Elo (1825)
High Elo difference (1533 vs 1825)

27/07/24 16:30 | Sweden - Allsvenskan | Malmo FF vs Sirius:
High home Elo (1804)
High Elo difference (1804 vs 1600)
Home team is on a 5 match winning streak
Home team is on a 5 match winning streak
Home team is on a 5 match no-lose streak

27/07/24 16:30 | Sweden - Allsvenskan | Goteborg vs Brommapojkarna:
Home team is on a 3 match no-lose streak

27/07/24 16:30 | Poland - Ekstraklasa | Radomiak Radom vs Jagiellonia:
Home team is on a 3 match losing streak
95% of their match history had 2 or more goals

27/07/24 17:00 | Norway - Eliteserien | Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg:
Away team is on a 3 match losing streak
Home team is on a 5 match no-lose streak

27/07/24 17:00 | Switzerland - Super League | Sion vs Lausanne:
Home team is on a 3 match winning streak
Home team is on a 3 match winning streak
Home team is on a 5 match no-lose streak

27/07/24 17:00 | Romania - Liga 1 | Poli Iasi vs Gloria Buzau:
Only 5% of their match history had a goal in the first 10 mins

27/07/24 17:30 | Chile - Primera Division | Copiapo vs Coquimbo:
Away team is on a 3 match winning streak
Away team is on a 3 match winning streak
Away team is on a 5 match no-lose streak

27/07/24 19:00 | Peru - Liga 1 | Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano:
Home team is on a 5 match winning streak
Home team is on a 5 match winning streak
Home team is on a 5 match no-lose streak
Away team is on a 3 match no-lose streak

27/07/24 19:30 | Switzerland - Super League | Basel vs Lugano:
Home team is on a 5 match no-lose streak

27/07/24 20:00 | Chile - Primera Division | U. Espanola vs Cobresal:
Away team is on a 3 match no-lose streak

27/07/24 20:00 | Romania - Liga 1 | Sepsi vs Din. Bucuresti:
Home team is on a 3 match no-lose streak

27/07/24 21:00 | Brazil - Serie B | Coritiba vs Chapecoense-SC:
Only 5% of their match history had a goal in the first 10 mins

27/07/24 21:00 | Brazil - Serie B | Mirassol vs Operario:
Home team is on a 5 match no-lose streak

27/07/24 21:15 | Peru - Liga 1 | ADT Tarma vs Los Chankas:
Home team is on a 4 match winning streak
Home team is on a 4 match winning streak
Home team is on a 5 match no-lose streak

27/07/24 23:00 | Brazil - Serie A | Palmeiras vs Vitoria:
High Elo difference (1724 vs 1472)
Home team is on a 5 match winning streak
Home team is on a 5 match winning streak
Away team is on a 3 match losing streak
Home team is on a 5 match no-lose streak
Only 5% of their match history had a goal in the first 10 mins

27/07/24 23:00 | Brazil - Serie A | Juventude vs Criciuma:
Away team is on a 4 match losing streak
Home team is on a 5 match no-lose streak

Thanks,

Martin
Betfair Trading Tutor

@Adam @Martin

Hello Adam and Martin! Which programs would you recommend that provide the best value for money and user-friendliness? By that, I mean the simplicity of programming and finding information and templates for how to get an automated execution running. My instinct tells me that Betfair Bot Manager is superior, but I have also looked at Fairbot and the slightly more expensive Betangle. What do you think would be best? I believe the last two mentioned also contain other trading tools compared to Betfair Bot Manager. All recommendations are welcome. Thanks for your time.

So I am currently looking to test/try out a late goal strategy.
This is my current filter.

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Will most likely tweak it once more leagues are up and running. Just curious what peoples thoughts are on this and if they would change it in any way?
Also would be helpful to know how some people go about trading late goals such as number of shots on target in 2nd half before 70mins etc. I am also thinking of entering half stake around 70mins then other half around 80mins.

Couple more selections to add (inc. the last one as well):

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Lay all home unless odds less than 1.9.

@Akiva-Anderson I do so of my own volition. Knowledge is power and understanding of the world around you paramount. Bigotry of any persuasion is heinous.

The interview between Badiel and Margoyles was particuarly interesting as they both had very different viewpoints on some things and of course the same on others.

You don't have to agree on everything but you must be able to debate everything calmly.

@Joseph-Henderson said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:

@John-Folan hi John. Would you be able to share you latest results table for the DOBS and TROBS that is included at the top of this thread? Cheers

Will do at the end of the month matey. Sorry been busy for a few days.

How happy we were in that first pic lol

I reckon there are different ways to develop and work the playing model.
When you are in the stock market you have certain tools to test your idea or approach.
Stock traders use simulation software to test their trading model on fictive but realistic price movements that are identical to real-world data.
That way they don’t waste learning money or take unnecessary risks.
You can also find trading angles that give a long-term positive return on investment.

Is the same as the exchange

And today I made a decision.
I will use some out-of-the-box proven-to-work solutions that are being offered.
And develop my own on various statistical assumptions.

I like the idea of Richard’s method. I will turnaround and develop value or what I estimate and decide to have true value after some raw testing with around 500 placed trades into simulation software.
And the high light is a raw test and now is the time to fine-tune and tailor the trading approach and do another 500 placed trades into the simulation software.

Want to make a point here, that creating a painting requires good basic and introduction preparation to get and good and solid final result.
So the preparation process is crucial before starting the time-consuming simulation process.

First I play around with some parameters and have to solve some trading angles to get the most out of the simulation process.
I use TIME VALUE and not COMBACK VALUE but in the end both are the same thing and equally effective based on my raw test simulation that gave me a true edge.
So the part I will explore now before continuing this topic is the relay part and where to best get value if the score goes 1-2 after the U-dog has been leading by +2 goals.
I see it as a second change to an very low price and that screams risk mitigation and I love that word.

Will update soon …

July results early as holiday time for me...

Lay u1.5 goals - now 34pts up so down 2pts in July but that was basically one game

LTD 1st half only - now 28pts up so down 3 pts in June - again that was 2 losses in a row and not enough selections to get it back

BTTS - now 43 pts up so up 4pts in June - seems to be a good one for the summer leagues continuing £1 stakes on this

Lay Away - still on 21 pts

looking forward to more selections but feel the summer has been useful for learning and looking at odds, with BBTS i now wait about 10 mins before entering to get odds at evens, i seem to really prefer bigger odds on things rather than chasing a really high strike rate.

@Patrik-Mellqvist said in Help to solve some filter options settings!:

But with the options, I get ALL GOALS made between the time options and I want to know that 1 goal has been made for each game of the previous five, not the total percentage or total amount.

Use the "Scored in...." / "Conceded in..." stats instead of the goal times, e.g.:

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This will give you the number of matches with a goal, instead of the total goals.

@Robert-Caven said in BTC match odds not being recognised:

I got the selectionId by right clicking over the home odds button then selecting inspect. Then scrolling up until I see the word SelectionId where the number was. I now know for the match odds these numbers differ all the time unlike the overs / unders market where the numbers are the same.

That's weird. If I follow the same process, I get the same selectionId as using the graph method. The selectionIds for each team should stay the same I think; must admit I haven't tested it recently with football but in horse racing for example, I've never seen a selectionId change for a particular horse.

Glad you've found a less painful way of getting it working though!

@Wayne-Thomas OK thank you Wayne, I will follow with interst ,I noticed 4 possible bets yesterday and 4 winners.

Added Matt's FHG strategy