@Alastair-Todd said in 🔮⚽ Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! ⚽🔮:

@Andy-Donnelly said in 🔮⚽ Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! ⚽🔮:

@Alastair-Todd Yeh my u1.5 lay strat had both as well. Very annoying. Aus league usually good for goals as well

And now a third one in a row for the 0.5 strategy...

Crikey!!!! That almost never happens but it has blown an Australian size hole in my bank this morning.

8c86a476-fc99-4ef9-bd94-8fe3d61d2eab-Screenshot 2025-04-26 at 12.43.40.png

Lay Away:

303fb4a0-911c-4619-af73-68c55993a0d9-image.png

COL neeeds to drift a littl to over 5.0

Everything else seems ok at the moment although data is limited in National League and Portugal 2

@Martin Yeh I’d be up for that

How's April going for everyone? The end of season stuff has been very up and down for me. Can't wait for the summer leagues to properly kick in!

@Nikki-HALSALL
Thanks for your reply. Good to hear from someone in the same situation as myself. This evening was a rare spot of free time for me so I followed live the three selections that the FHG strategy generated.

Stuttgart v Heidenheim Pre-match price 1.28 so I added 20 ticks and set my bet at 1.48. The live 15 minute price was 1.61, so I undershot there.
Termalica v Wisla The corresponding prices were 1.34, 1.54 and 1.58, so that was closer
PSG v Nice 1.27, 1.47 1.42. Closer again but I would not have been matched until 18th minute,

The Stuttgart game was 0-0 at HT. The FT 0.5 price was 1.22 at that point. Potential here for a live follow on SHG trade I think, especially if the FH stats suggest it's a lively game. On that note, Hoffenheim have just scored (89th minute)!!

@Adam Then I will be alive again and can take their inheritance back....

@Jakub-Zielinski I use a PC with two screens, 16gb ram and works great for me.

@MICHAEL-ROBERTS said in Masterclass Training Lesson 1: Win Big on Betfair - Betfair Trading Explained:

MINDSET:
a. Stop chasing loses, learn to expect them..... its not a bad thing!
b. Stop sulking, it doesnt get you anywhere!
c. Stick to your trading plan
d. Stick to your staking plan
e. Learn to walk away
f. You dont have to trade hundreds of trades to be successful

Patience and sticking to the plan, i'd say even higher-than-normal level of patience is required here. Best example - today's Liverpool game...they were all over "Foxes", yet only one goal, and pretty late-ish in the game.

Let me and Fairbot run some scalping sessions - after that I can tell more about the procedure - cheers

@Richard-Hazeltine it's fine to post here 🙂

@Nikki-HALSALL said in Winning Edge Teams & XP Tracker & Leaderboard:

This strategy is proving tricky for me, being present to place at 10 mins is not possible as I work full-time so I tried a set and forget at 1.45 to 1.51 odds ish depending on pre-match price but there are a lot of goals scored before 10 mins and a lot that finish 0-0 at half time so..........not quitting but having a cull of leagues.

I am cutting.....

Premier League ENG - I know!!!!!
Mexico Liga Mx
Netherlands Eerste & Eredivisie

These 3 leagues are really affecting the overall success rate and although only 350 matches so it could just be variance they are out.

Turkey Super Lig is close to being cut but will give it more time

I guess in these situations with a small sample it is good to monitor the cut leagues still just in case it was just a bad run so will do that.

I see and I read what you say - better listen to Ryan - but I will share my opinion - you can put Set & Forget with Keep option with 25 ticks above staring price - then you get the optimal price at 15 min mark - if you want 10 min mark I can simulate and see how many ticks the market move - easy - work is not an obstical - just mindset - cheers

@Andrew-Hopkins said in help in using Betfair bot manager:

is there anywhere on here i may find help to guide me through automation , ive just purchased a laptop and would like to put the horse racing systems i follow onto Betfair bot manager, ive recently joined Lightspeed stats
many thanks
Andrew.

Hint

A Complicated Journey
I live as I learn and equal the truth when I speak

Fairbot
You get one method coded once each week
No other offers this task and talk to them all

Now you get the best of two worlds

You're up and running at no time with a new proven method each week

You can relax and read, and study to make your own coding without hope for other people's support

The best of two worlds

Summary

You soon have a trading portfolio up and running 24/7
As @Ryan @Adam @Martin making monthly income

Fairbot and VPS

Betangle BFBM others don't give Value for money

Good luck and be clever

Test cricket is back on Sunday with Bang v Zimbabwe. Bit of rain around on the long range forecasts, but draw price is fairly low so I'll keep an eye on this one in the next few days.

@Ryan

Yes I’m tracking my result on the spreadsheet. Unfortunately the selections from the challenge had a goal before 15 mins. lol.

So hope this weekend I can start it.

@CHRISTOPHER-JAMIESON tagging you incase you have not seen this yet

Ive decided to put an end to this after 2 years(wow!). Im not the greatest at recording stuff and I simply cant be arsed doing it anymore! Ive also found the lack of number of games(and the volume in them) frustrating. Final nail in the coffin was my bot putting a fiver on a super pacific team I thought would lose....and did!

Its was (initially) fun but have become more focused on horse racing in the last few months, so something had to give. I leave this rugby experiment 11 points to the positive and am happy to share the results to date on the(very basic) spreadsheet I have created....if I can work out how😂

Im off to the races🐎

@Najib-Bakhat tagging you as this is the thread that the podcast originated from

@Patrik-Mellqvist be interested to see how it performs!

@Jakub-Zielinski welcome great to have you here!

I learn from my own wisdom LOL

I will use the 12-minute mark entering for trade as Each Day 10
But not Scalp/Trade 5/6 min mark for 10% return.

I will test the whole 10 min or when reaching the goal of 20% return.
If possible, I will simulate this today with odds 3,5 to 4,8.
With back-dripping to reduce overall loss ratio, the excellent pendulum effect is achieved.

What is the point - well, this is the point.
Most goals peak statistically at and after the 15-minute mark.
And also read that peaks of goals around the 30 to 45 min mark.
Hey, why 0-0 price drop dramatically - market behaviour.

So instead of 10 to 20 min mark with odds 3 to 4 and back-dripping for 10% i will try do the exact same with the following difference where market and traders overall think differently.

To achieve 20% return with the same methodology.
What is the mechanism that triggers this higher return.
Markets' expectation at 12 min mark to 22 min mark - goal wise -
Markets odds - expectation wise - 3,5 to 4.8 to lay.

That is the theoretical framework for stronger time-decay and drifting price movement against the market's expectation.
The in-play indicators are a key factor here to get a tendency towards matchreading for the present attack mode, tempomode or active/slow or low/high likelihood for goal attempts.

With this saying also mention that one loss with original gave higher loss ration then 1 in 5 with one past trade with this parameters.
But that situation was from the original setup - so potential 20% return and back-dripping I might get around 1 in 4 or less.
That the simulation and real-life trading will tell.

But with a higher liquidity game, I will stick to my original plan.
In lower liquidity games, I will test this out with 10£ trades.
So explore the possibility and see how well my educated guess or framework comes true with real-time stats from live trading.

Cheers