Busy one today!!

12:00 Elversberg v Bielefeld | Home Win 1.44–1.75 | SH O1.5 (O2.5: 1.81–1.95)

12:00 Nurnberg v Kaiserslautern | Home Win 1.44–1.75 | SH O1.5 (1.81–1.95)

12:00 Paderborn v Dresden | Home Win 1.44–1.75 | SH O1.5 (1.81–1.95)

12:30 Brighton v Liverpool | O2.5 (1.6–1.95) | Away Win 2.25–3 | Draw 3.76–4 / 4.21–4.95 | O3.5 (1.81–1.95)

12:30 Cardiff v Blackpool | Away Win 2.25–3 | Draw 4.01–4.95 | Home Win 2.01–2.25 | O2.5 1.78–1.95 | O3.5 1.6–1.77 | SH O1.5 1.71–1.8

12:30 Woking v Aldershot | O2.5 1.6–1.95 | Away Win 2.75–3.5 | SH O1.5 1.81–1.95

13:00 Cottbus v Ulm | Away Win 3.01–3.75 | Draw 3.76–4.2 / 4.21–4.95 | FH O1.5 1.6–1.7

13:00 Ingolstadt v Aachen | Draw 3.76–4.2 | FH O1.5 1.6–1.7 | Away Win 3.01–3.75 | Draw 4.21–4.95

13:00 Mannheim v Aue | FH O1.5 1.6–1.7 | Away Win 3.01–3.75 | Draw 3.76–4.2 / 4.21–4.95

13:00 Regensburg v Havelse | Draw 3.76–4.2 | Away Win 3.01–3.75 | Draw 4.21–4.95 | FH O1.5 1.6–1.7

13:00 Elche v Mallorca | Draw 3.25–4.95 | BTTS 1.6–1.77 | FH O1.5 1.6–1.77

13:30 LKS Lodz v Ruch | Away Win 2.25–3 | BTTS 1.71–1.8 | FH O1.5 1.81–1.95 | O2.5 1.78–1.95 | O3.5 1.71–1.8 / 1.78–1.95 | SH O1.5 1.71–1.8

14:30 Bayern v Union | Away Win 2.25–2.75 | Draw 3.76–4 / 4.01–4.95 | FH O1.5 1.6–1.7 | O3.5 1.6–1.7

14:30 Koln v Gladbach | Away Win 2.25–2.75 | Draw 3.76–4 / 4.01–4.95 | FH O1.5 1.6–1.7 | O3.5 1.6–1.7

14:30 Wolfsburg v Bremen | Away Win 2.25–2.75 | Draw 3.76–4 / 4.01–4.95 | FH O1.5 1.6–1.7 | O3.5 1.6–1.7

15:00 Fulham v Burnley | O2.5 1.6–1.95 | O3.5 1.81–1.95 | Away Win 2.25–3 | Draw 3.76–4 / 4.21–4.95

15:00 Bristol C v West Brom | Draw 3.76–4 | FH O1.5 1.6–1.7 / 1.81–1.95 | O2.5 1.6–1.95 | O3.5 1.6–1.7

15:00 Hull v Sheff Wed | FH O1.5 1.6–1.7 | O2.5 1.6–1.95 | O3.5 1.6–1.7 | Draw 3.76–4 | FH O1.5 1.81–1.95

15:00 QPR v Portsmouth | Draw 3.76–4 | FH O1.5 1.6–1.7 / 1.81–1.95 | O2.5 1.6–1.95 | O3.5 1.6–1.7

15:00 Watford v Leicester | FH O1.5 1.81–1.95 | O2.5 1.6–1.95 | Draw 3.76–4 | FH O1.5 1.6–1.7 | O3.5 1.6–1.7

15:00 Barnsley v Doncaster | Away Win 2.25–3 | O3.5 1.6–1.77 | Draw 4.01–4.95 | Home Win 2.01–2.25 | O2.5 1.78–1.95 | SH O1.5 1.71–1.8

15:00 Lincoln v Rotherham | O3.5 1.6–1.77 | SH O1.5 1.71–1.8 | Away Win 2.25–3 | Draw 4.01–4.95 | Home Win 2.01–2.25 | O2.5 1.78–1.95

15:00 Mansfield v Northampton | O2.5 1.78–1.95 | Away Win 2.25–3 | Draw 4.01–4.95 | Home Win 2.01–2.25 | O3.5 1.6–1.77 | SH O1.5 1.71–1.8

15:00 Fleetwood v Crawley | Away Win 2.76–3.25 | Draw 3.76–4.2

15:00 Grimsby v Barrow | Draw 3.76–4.2 | Away Win 2.76–3.25

15:00 Notts Co v Cheltenham | Draw 3.76–4.2 | Away Win 2.76–3.25

15:00 Boreham Wood v Gateshead | Away Win 2.75–3.5 | O2.5 1.6–1.95 | SH O1.5 1.81–1.95

15:00 Carlisle v Boston | O2.5 1.6–1.95 | SH O1.5 1.81–1.95 | Away Win 2.75–3.5

15:00 Forest Green v Wealdstone | Away Win 2.75–3.5 | O2.5 1.6–1.95 | SH O1.5 1.81–1.95

15:00 Rochdale v Tamworth | Away Win 2.75–3.5 | O2.5 1.6–1.95 | SH O1.5 1.81–1.95

15:00 Sutton v Truro | O2.5 1.6–1.95 | Away Win 2.75–3.5 | SH O1.5 1.81–1.95

15:00 York v Brackley | Away Win 2.75–3.5 | O2.5 1.6–1.95 | SH O1.5 1.81–1.95

15:00 Hearts v Dundee | Home Win 1.44–2.5 | O2.5 1.6–1.95

15:00 Motherwell v Hibs | Home Win 1.44–2.5 | O2.5 1.6–1.95

15:00 Arbroath v QP | FH O1.5 1.6–1.95

15:00 Peterhead v Montrose | BTTS / FH O1.5 / O2.5 / O3.5 (1.6–1.77) | O3.5 1.81–1.95

15:00 QoS v East Fife | BTTS / FH O1.5 / O2.5 / O3.5 (1.6–1.77) | O3.5 1.81–1.95

15:00 Stenhousemuir v Kelty | O3.5 1.81–1.95 | BTTS / FH O1.5 / O2.5 / O3.5 (1.6–1.77)

15:00 Dumbarton v Annan | FH O1.5 / O3.5 (1.6–1.77) | FH O1.5 1.71–1.8 | Home Win 1.44–2.5 | O2.5 1.78–1.95 | O3.5 1.71–1.8

15:00 E Kilbride v Stirling | FH O1.5 1.6–1.77 / 1.71–1.8 | Home Win 1.44–2.5 | O2.5 1.78–1.95 | O3.5 1.6–1.77 / 1.71–1.8

15:00 Edinburgh v Elgin | FH O1.5 1.6–1.77 / 1.71–1.8 | Home Win 1.44–2.5 | O2.5 1.78–1.95 | O3.5 1.6–1.77 / 1.71–1.8

15:30 Verl v Saarbrucken | Draw 3.76–4.2 | Away Win 3.01–3.75 | Draw 4.21–4.95 | FH O1.5 1.6–1.7

15:30 Zalaegerszegi v Ujpest | SH O1.5 1.78–1.95 | FH O1.5 1.6–1.7 | Home Win 1.44–1.75 / 2.01–2.25 | SH O1.5 1.71–1.8

15:30 Sittard v Twente | O3.5 1.6–1.95 | SH O1.5 1.6–1.95

16:00 Toulouse v Lorient | Draw 4.21–4.95 | O3.5 1.6–1.7

16:30 Lechia v Pogon | BTTS 1.71–1.8 / 1.78–1.95 | Draw 4.21–4.95 | FH O1.5 1.6–1.7 / 1.81–1.95 | O2.5 1.6–1.95 | O3.5 1.81–1.95 | SH O1.5 1.6–1.77

17:00 Servette v Grasshoppers | Draw 3.76–4 | Home Win 1.76–2 | Away Win 2.25–4.95 | O3.5 1.81–1.95

17:00 Zurich v Thun | Draw 3.25–4.95 | BTTS / FH O1.5 / O3.5 / SH O1.5 (1.6–1.95)

17:00 Aarau v Xamax | BTTS 1.78–1.95 | Draw 3.25–3.75 / 3.51–3.75 | Home Win 1.76–2 | SH O1.5 1.71–1.8

17:30 Dortmund v HSV | Away Win 2.25–2.75 | Draw 3.76–4 / 4.01–4.95 | FH O1.5 1.6–1.7 | O3.5 1.6–1.7

17:30 Solihull v Halifax | O2.5 1.6–1.95 | Away Win 2.75–3.5 | SH O1.5 1.81–1.95

17:30 Osasuna v Girona | Draw 3.25–4.95 | BTTS 1.6–1.77 | FH O1.5 1.6–1.77

17:45 Rangers v Aberdeen | Home Win 1.44–2.5 | O2.5 1.6–1.95

18:00 Benfica v Guimaraes | FH O1.5 / O2.5 / O3.5 / SH O1.5 (1.6–1.77) | O2.5 1.78–1.95

18:30 Polonia v Tychy | BTTS / O3.5 / SH O1.5 (1.71–1.8) | Away Win 2.25–3 | FH O1.5 1.81–1.95 | O2.5 1.78–1.95 | O3.5 1.78–1.95

19:00 Lokeren v Anderlecht U23 | Draw 3.25–3.75 | FH O1.5 1.71–1.8 | O3.5 1.71–1.8

19:00 Waalwijk v Den Bosch | Home Win 1.76–2 | Draw 4.21–4.95 | Home Win 2.01–2.25 / 2.26–2.5 | SH O1.5 1.71–1.8

20:00 Leeds v Brentford | Away Win 2.25–3 | O2.5 1.6–1.95 | O3.5 1.81–1.95 | Draw 3.76–4 / 4.21–4.95

23:00 Atlas v Queretaro | Away Win 2.25–2.75 | BTTS / FH O1.5 / O2.5 / O3.5 / SH O1.5 (1.6–1.7) | Draw 3.51–3.75 | SH O1.5 1.71–1.8

59 fixtures | 247 markets

Lay Under 1.5:

9f581fea-f788-4e9b-bb69-b578e303d411-image.png

Full house yesterday!

Today's AI LTDs:
Sangju Sangmu vs Gwangju FC 3.5
Sydney FC vs Melbourne City 3.7
Silkeborg vs Vejle 3.75
Roda vs Vitesse 4.2
Helmond vs Cambuur 4.3
Den Bosch vs Jong PSV 4.3
Jong AZ vs Maastricht 5.3

@Lee-Greener No worries, we'll disable the non-scope version of that strategy rule in a future update (like we do with "horse position") as it's literally impossible to use to backtest an upcoming race!

@Adam Ive actually used Deepseek to average the times across all courses and lumped them in to Good to soft and below and good and above. As well as setting them so they trade out around 1f from home. So 2 automations per distance, but for jumps only...

The race completed % rule on BA seems to be proving reasonably accurate for flats. Ive got 1 at the moment but will probably group them into lots of 2 or 3 furlongs to get over the increase in time as the distances get longer.

Its been quite fun to work out so if it doesnt work...at least theres that😁

Ive traded the power play on 2 games in this T20 WC, both With the Black caps batting first....and the kiwis have not let me down!(although went on to lose v South Africa)Screenshot 2026-02-27 135837.png

@Shannon-Townsend said in The Predictable but hopefully successful new year reset...:

@Shannon-Townsend Jan update... just trading LTD when sitting watching or studying stats... 8 pts profit in Jan.

It is dull but i have to remember i am doing this for profit and not just fun.

That is music to my ears! Well done.

Hi all, update for January. I have had an unexpected issue with my car and a holiday to pay for so had to withdraw my bank so i havn't traded this month, i have been recording the results and also looking at other systems i have been paper trading. I will probably start again in March with a £200 bank and build it up again from there hopefully.
Good job i didn't trade as the BTTS i was going to implement would have lost over £200 , and the injury time goal would have lost just over £200 and the only system was good was the new back the home team which would have brought back the deficit as would have won nearly £250.
On the other paper trading systems some very promising early positives in a BTTS at HT if 0-0 and Laying Under 0.5 Half 2 goals will update soon

@Lukáš-Bíňovský what's the multigoal strategy?

I have a similar one, these are my settings:

1b96ccaa-04a5-45e3-a62c-7e32e6f665f0-image.png

I don't bother with the "Sport Specific" ones, and more often than not it trades out for profit after the 1st goal, provided its early enough.

@Adam Fantastic, thanks very much! 🙂

@Shanice-Jackson Here is the tracking sheet https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hagmTEIVEKKxLKFkJ3y-Ap7O7DVPya7irK7HyAOCorI/edit?usp=drive_link

Make sure you click FILE > MAKE A COPY to have your own version.

@Martin Many thanks for your help so far. Appreciated.

@James-Menhenitt Think of xG less as "expected goals" and more like "expectation of a goal". It's basically the probability that a given shot made by the average player will result in a goal.

A value is given to each shot based on tons of factors, including distance and angle to the goal, type of shot (header, volley, etc), position of the keeper, the type of pass that led to the shot, etc. The xG values for each shot are then added together to give an xG value for the whole match.

The Overall > Average > xG in the software then takes the last 10 home matches for the home team and the same for the away team, and gives you the average xG figure per match over that match history.

Happy New Year!

Watched the videos — really good stuff. Had a 7-hour car journey so I smashed through the podcasts as well, some of them more than once.

I’ve been trading LTD and FHG using 2% of the bank and after just two trades this morning I’m already not far off doubling my original bankroll.

I’m big on stats and the software just makes everything feel smoother and easier to manage. I’m pretty strict with discipline too — some days one bet hit the target and that’s it, I was done for the day.

@Martin said in Starting Over:

football

Thanks Martin.

I am still paper trading this but it is throwing up so many ideas. I am amzed how much I have learnt from so few matches, approx 210.

I will update again when I start trading this on Betfair.

@Adam thanks Adam ok will do

@Martin Thanks for the quick reply

@Mark-Burrows great work! To answer your questions re: high scoring leagues in my experience off the top of my head, it can vary

Netherlands, especially the second division
Bolivia
Belguim
Norway
Sweden
Australia
MLS
Denmark
China

@allan-poulsen Hi Allan, I've been running a pre match set & forget strategy here for under 2.5 goals which is delivering +22pts over 138 trades so far.

under 2.5.txt