Trading Discussion

2.4k Topics 36.0k Posts

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  • Let's smash the tennis trading in here shall we?

    23 Topics
    6k Posts

    Let me and Fairbot run some scalping sessions - after that I can tell more about the procedure - cheers

  • To discuss all things cricket and golf

    13 Topics
    15k Posts

    Might be a little while now on the draw front, will monitor Aus price now pushed out a bit with 2 early wickets.

  • A Place for members to discuss potential ideas and profitable filters or ask for feedback on their ideas

    71 Topics
    1k Posts

    @Najib-Bakhat tagging you as this is the thread that the podcast originated from

  • Our daily pro picks

    2k Topics
    2k Posts

    No selections today

  • We'll replicate our blog posts here and give you a heads up when we do new podcasts!

    198 Topics
    367 Posts

    @Jonathan-McDaid love it cheers!

  • Files, spreadsheets and everything else you need to get trading

    47 Topics
    861 Posts

    BF Bot Manager has in play stats available as parameters and you can automate your trading using them

  • 105 Topics
    5k Posts

    @Clifford-Truss have a look at inplay alerts, only 5 quid per month, you can set up your strategy in there and it will send you telegram alert when your selected games qualify.

    It’s a good product to use alongside any in play BTC strategies.

  • Weight of Money Help.

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    1 Posts
    203 Views
    No one has replied
  • Simons April Trades

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    54 Posts
    4k Views

    @gary-brown hi Gary, yeah I rarely actually LCS. I either back the next overs when it reaches 1.6, or I LTD if it’s a draw. Keeps liabilities down, I’m comfortable at these odds and more importantly, it seems to be profitable. Shame about my another strategies haha!

  • Newbie Matched Betting Insurance

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    1 Posts
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    No one has replied
  • Automation/VPS/Servers

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    1 Posts
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    No one has replied
  • Trade Post Mortem Thread

    1 Votes
    8 Posts
    944 Views

    I could fill a couple of really boring books with all the dumb things I did in the first few years after 'discovering' that i could actually trade on betfair.

    My biggest single loss ever wasn't on horses though (although when on tilt a couple of times blew my entire bankroll in a single afternoon of racing) but on the T20 World Cup cricket when England played West Indies. I had a very substantial initial wager on England, quadrupled it at the end of the England innings and then even added more after Windies lost early wickets at some stupidly low price. I am embarrassed to say that I left it all out there...didn't even bother to eliminate my liability and then watched it evaporate in the last over.

    I look at that now and cringe......sheer greed and arrogance and probably a desperate need to recoup losses on some 'system' that I was staking 15-20% of my bankroll on after a few successful trades.

  • Rugby League Trading

    1 Votes
    6 Posts
    470 Views

    @col I’ve been an NRL punter previously but keen to explore trading angles.

  • Traderline (Mobile APP)

    1 Votes
    6 Posts
    466 Views

    @martin-futter me too but needs must at the moment i'm afraid!

  • Multiple Betfair Accounts

    0 Votes
    11 Posts
    729 Views

    @martin-futter 1 in the car, 1 in the living room & 1 in the bog? 😆

  • TV Specials Trading

    0 Votes
    14 Posts
    796 Views

    @rob-lawton

    I agree that it was funny!! She's a fan favourite as well isn't she so she will do well on that front.

    Melody is 😍

  • NBA trading

    0 Votes
    6 Posts
    770 Views

    I'm hoping someone may be able to point me in the right direction with this, and to anyone who does, I greatly appreciate it. I want to be able to backtest previous games within my own statistics to see the highest prices matched in-play. As we discussed, there are huge swings in NBA. In the picture below and spreadsheet attached are predictions that I currently do not use due to it not being profitable. BUT If I can test at what point they are profitable along with the likelihood of being matched then may be able to make them profitable. As you can see, its -0.89% POT from 2772 games over 12 seasons on corporate/vegas odds (I get my data from bigdataball and they use vegas odds) So Betfair can beat those odds anyway, but knowing ratio of the likelihood of being matched at X odds can make these profitable. So is there a source that says the highest matched prices of completed markets? I tried to get data from https://historicdata.betfair.com/#/home but I couldnt get the file to work at all. If anyone has any helpful info on getting data or even to get the bloody file to open I'd greatly appreciate it!
    0_1547025203319_Betfair ML backtest.png

    0_1547025342067_Betfair moneyline backtest.xlsx

  • Darts - PDC World Championship

    1 Votes
    7 Posts
    474 Views

    Have greened up now. -0.5 pts on White, -1 pt on Suljovic and +5 on Smith. Happy with that.
    Going to let the 9 dart bet run the course. 2 games left, fingers crossed.

  • Deontay Wilder v Tyson Fury

    1 Votes
    3 Posts
    322 Views

    what a fight and result! can't wait for a rematch

  • Realistic Expectations

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    18 Posts
    865 Views

    @keith-anderson yeah before trading I did thin value betting, still do it at the moment but tailing it off as trading is taking up more of my time. So I’m well used to variance, but with betting it’s usually lots of small losses then one big one, whereas with trading it’s lots of small wins. So that for me is taking some getting used to.

  • X-Factor Trading

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    10 Posts
    573 Views

    @janne-rusi In all honesty, that’s the plan. All trading and the like in Q4 all goes towards Christmas.
    Together with this and I’m A Celebrity (backed Harry Redknapp early and secured a nice profit there) she’s in for a treat! 😂

  • Habits

    2 Votes
    10 Posts
    601 Views

    @luke-ridger I can understand this!

  • Calling all traders......

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    7 Posts
    472 Views

    @luke-ridger Interesting

  • Smarkets Pro Tier - New Service?

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    6 Posts
    422 Views

    @martin-futter @Luke-Ridger

    All I want from the Trump campaign is to get online gambling in the states!

  • Usyk v Bellew

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    2 Posts
    274 Views

    @chris-watts said in Usyk v Bellew:

    This is closer than a lot of people think, Usyk is a genius, he’s not a big puncher but his movement and footwork is world class, but he only has 15 or so fights and he’s never fought anyone like Bellew, who looks fitter than ever and always seems to find a way, I fancy Bellew rounds 6 to 8.

    With Usyk trading at 1.24 there could be a reasonable/cheap lay to be had.

    Out at 1.44 for 0.7 points profit.

  • 0 Votes
    22 Posts
    2k Views

    @martin-futter .... sadly not - i wasn't THAT confident!