General Chat

100 Topics 4.8k Posts
  • Food/Diet and training hobbies

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    @Akiva-Anderson This is a big talking point in our household at the moment as we strongly suspect our 8 year old has it. The first podcast I listened to on the subject suggested looking at the family history. Now, it seems my wife shows some tendencies towards it, and so do I....although Im certainly not the on the hyperactive/impulsive side of things. In fact, Lions mane would probably put me straight to sleep🤣

  • 2 Votes
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    @Akiva-Anderson said in Netflix/Amazon/Gaming and Book Recommendations:

    Some move from Xbox to put the latest Black Ops game on Game Pass from Day One

    I’m a PlayStation boy but my son has an Xbox and I have to say Gamepass is just great value compared to PlayStation plus

  • Staking

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    @Patrik-Mellqvist Thank you, that is a good bit of reading for me later on, written by people with a lot of experience.

  • Betfair Exposure/Deposit Limits

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    @Richard-Duff if that happens it's worth getting in touch with CS but I'd only do that as a last resort. Might be my paranoia but I never like alerting them to things, they sometimes seem to not know their arse from their elbow at the best of times!

  • Chat GPT

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    Morning Simon,
    I have been looking into Chat GPT for the very same thing over last month, as completing my spreadsheets is the most time consuming aspect of my trading. I was uploading a spreadsheet to GPT of around 10 matches at a time requesting HT,FT and goal times for the respective matches.
    However even using chat 4o, when I cross referenced the results, I found it to be inaccurate around 50% of time with either incorrect scores and /or goal times. I even directed it to specific websites and it still retrieved incorrect information.
    For me I lost confidence in chat to provide me with accurate info, so have gone back to the manual updates of my spreadsheet.
    Maybe I wasn't using the correct prompts, but to get all 84 matches correct is a game changer..!!

  • Help Ryan and Adam survive the wild!

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    How happy we were in that first pic lol

  • Cannot get football ratings.

  • A help request with filter variable.

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    Thank you very much guys, solved! I'll add the new filter variable, then go through H2H to see if the correct team matches the required criteria. Now, I must find a new reason, why not to bet with this filter.(to improve it)

  • 1 Votes
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    @Martin said in Advance Question About The Long Term Expectation:

    @Patrik-Mellqvist yes 100% and be prepared that a strategy that does well can start to decline.

    Some strategies have more variance than others too.

    @Martin then we have faith in the simulation and statistical playing models before executing those strategies and if a sudden swing we can lay back with the knowledge that our work shows otherwise and continue knowing that we have positive expectations.

    And with our experience doing homework we also know sudden drops in values and know how they can occur so that should not be a surprise when it happens and also have some degree of understanding of what kind of swings to expect based upon that knowledge.

    Here is a small example with summer leagues, I know the majority will perform well and some summers will be less effective but the overall strike ratio will be 83,77%

    2022/2023 94,44%
    2021/2022 85,71%
    2020/2021 71,43%
    2019/2020 75%
    2018/2019 93,33%
    2017/2018 88,24%
    2016/20217 78,26%

    83,77% och tie odds 1,194

    So with that estimated 1200 placed bets and another 2380 placed bets for regular season we can calculate the EDGE and expectation for several years or the long-term EDGE with 3500 placed trades.

    That is what I will do before using my trading strategy and Set & Forget

    Cheers

  • Query on lay beaten fav strategy

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    Thanks for clarifying that, i understand it now.

  • 0 Votes
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    Thanks @Adam you are right in your perspective - I will skip that broker option.
    I know 5-Dime EU allow winners and the same with Pinnacle so I will add them with Smarkets/Betfair.
    Options with backing will work when not using laying options.

    Cheers

  • Any suggestions on which VPN to get for trading overseas?

    Unsolved
    1 Votes
    11 Posts
    71 Views

    You'll be fine in terms of Betfair not having an issue with you logging in in Ireland.

    You might get an extra verification step (SMS or something) the first time you log in though. Personally I would probably also use a VPN for that reason as it would screw up the session on my bot server.

    I currently use Nord, works well.

  • Power automate desktop

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    @alexander-hughes Ah ok, makes sense.

    That was the only thing that jumped out at me when I saw the question 🙂

  • Automation on a mobile

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    I don't think you're going to find a trading bot that works reliably on a mobile. Phones aren't great for anything that needs to run constantly in the background, plus what happens when you lose signal, run out of battery etc?

  • 3 Votes
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    @Martin-Baptiste welcome please test strategies before putting money on though. The presets are just examples to look at rather than tips from us.

  • Data and analysis

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    @Martin I agree with this, 100%.

  • Back for another crack at this.

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    @Andrew-Camp interesting! Let me know how you get on with it, never a market I have cracked BTTS

  • Bankroll Management

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    @Stewart-Oborne Personally i have 1% on each bank is reset daily i do hate saturdays when got around 15 matches kicking off at same time mind

  • BTC NFL Fantasy Football League

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    @Martin said in BTC NFL Fantasy Football League:

    Well done to @Leon-Farrell and @Richard-Coxon we will have a new winner this year!

    I give up. My stars all decided to s**t the bed first week of playoffs ffs! Happens every time I get there 🤦‍♂️

  • Betfair Cashout

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    2 Posts
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    @Stewart-Oborne no Betfair would use the money currently offered in the market for cashout, your bet would still be live and you would not have cashed out, only you could orchestrate that. Thanks