@Tony-Hastie I'll tag @Adam
Trading Discussion
@John-Folan thanks mate top man!
It's that time of the year! The Betfair TC Fantasy NFL Bowl is back!
I'm determined to win back my crown this year after a poor season last year.
Can you win it?
If you are an NFL fan you will enjoy competing against Ryan, myself and other members.
The winner gets a trophy!
Draft night is the 31st August at 8pm, don't worry if you miss it as it will autopick you a team and people have own with autopicked teams!
To join the league click here:
Good luck!
Thanks,
Martin
@Terry-Heller thanks for that Terry, its really useful and not something i had considered. I watch alot of his Youtube videos but hadnt seen that one before.
Im using the rule condition to enter bets as well as greening up so hopefully the issue with Fairbot not tracking goals doesn't happen too often
So the 1st fight I will potentially trade is the spence v crawford fight although it will be on at around 5am, so will see how it goes.
I see spence as the stronger, bigger guy who will try to impose himself on crawford and may do so in the early rounds. However crawford I think is superior technically and has a slight edge with speed. Both have decent power and are capable of hurting one another.
The current odds are spence 2.5 and crawford 1.8, I would say crawford should be closer to 1.7 in my opinion.
Anyway I see this as close fight around 60/40 in favour of crawford.
My plan currently is to potentially lay crawford before the start of the fight if the price drops below 1.7 as he is prone to starting slowly, while he figures his opponent out.
If I don't see an opportunity either pre fight or in the 1st round or 2, I will most likely wait to see if his price goes over 2.5 then provided there are no big warning signs I will back him and look to get out around 1.4/5.
@Adam said in pre season trading:
@james-everard said in pre season trading:
Interesting for a potential accumulator if you can find a site that has Nat North , find hardly any betting sites go below the conference national which is a shame as i like my non league football. Had a look and can't find any sites
Agreed! Some of the best opportunities for football in the non-league games. Paddy and Coral used to do it and there used to be some Irish bookies that offered them but I can't find them now.
Odds are usually decent as well, faves pretty much always over 1.5 even though they generally win over 70% of the time.
i think i did an accumulator last season with a bookies that went down to Conference South/North level but can''t find anyone this season .
Will look at potential trading nearer to the season start (taking the advice as will know better once most of the transfers have occurred )
Hi Martin - would it be possible to get a copy of your sheet for the Super Late Goals filter? I can't seem to find it on the shared profitable members sheet. Thanks
@patrick-McConville thanks for that! You are right about the members, such a great group of people here!
I used to believe winning the battle each day was the key to being profitable with trading. Turns out you winning the long term war is far more important.
@Akiva-Anderson You're doing god's work my friend, thank you.
@james-heathcote-0 Hi James. I came across your post about your automated pre-match scalping (2 years ago). Are you still implementing this? I would love to implement myself if you wouldn't mind sharing? does it take into account the weight of money or anything like that?
Ill have a look when I have a few days off and can sit and watch and make sure its doing what I want in real time just in case I set thee automation wrong
PG= Per Tor
PM= Per Spiel
Durchschnittliche Scoring Time kann man auch in BTC Statistiken finden:
0_1681333269432_61cb067d-6924-4dbc-8a69-8c4dffd02d03-image.png
@conor-medlyn Hey buddy,
I will speak with Martin about this one as it's my strategy but I didn't track it on those sheets, Martin did.
I have been running it since the start all those years ago 16/17 now, which is scary. It's always been profitable year on year for me hence why I still use it.
It is a riskier long term strategy as the losses hurt more because of laying.
Might lay France to win the world cup after that performance today. Odds of about 4 atm.
Hi All, does anyone use Pinnacle to try and determine true odds / value ?
and if so what bet broker do you use to access it ? #curious
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