NFL Strategies
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Just wondering if anyone had strategies that they apply to betting on American Football games?
Link to the BTC Fantasy league: https://fantasy.espn.com/football/league?leagueId=755262117
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@Martin said in NFL Strategies:
@Mr-Emmet-Moorehouse I play a lot in the outrights markets with NFL as game to game can be very unpredictable set and forget.
I like this idea though! Let me know how it gets on!
It needs a bit of research but the basic idea seems reasonable. I'll come back to you after 25 results for an early update.
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@Mr-Emmet-Moorehouse I play a lot in the outrights markets with NFL as game to game can be very unpredictable set and forget.
I like this idea though! Let me know how it gets on!
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Is anyone currently actively trading NFL or college football?
Recently I have been playing with applying a statistical approach to the Total Points market on Betfair. It seems in principle to be similar to football in that I am looking for an estimate of the likelihood of a certain event/events occurring within a defined time frame.
It is at a very basic stage at the moment- average home points + average away points with due consideration given to form, motivation, team news and weather.
Has anyone tried something similar?
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It's that time of the year! The Betfair TC Fantasy NFL Bowl is back!
I'm determined to win back my crown this year after a poor season last year.
Can you win it?
If you are an NFL fan you will enjoy competing against Ryan, myself and other members.
The winner gets a trophy!
Draft night is the 31st August at 8pm, don't worry if you miss it as it will autopick you a team and people have own with autopicked teams!
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Good luck!
Thanks,
Martin
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@Paul-Sheridan it's not confirmed but looks like he should be back next 6-8 weeks, may start season slow
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@Martin Hadn't seen the update on the injury so if it's just that, then not a problem.
They have went out slightly from 10.5/11 to 12 now off the back of it.
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@Paul-Sheridan if it's a calf strain it should'nt be anything too serious be surprised if he isn't back by start of season
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@Martin I was considering chipping away at the Bengals price but then I saw a video from yesterday's training camp of Burrow getting carted off the field.
The guy has no luck. Think that's 4 times he's been injured or taken out of camp - Covid, knee injury, an appendectomy and now this.
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@martin said in NFL Strategies:
@ryan to be fair he has come out and said he wants to be a Jet, guess he was waiting for his McAfee show appearance to do so, would have been better PR to have done it on Monday.
It’s all complete and utter b/s should have been announced a long time ago he was never going to retire in the same year as Brady and enter the HOF in the same year despite what he said.
He’s held the packers and jets to ransom and stopped them doing anything in free agency. To blame the Packers after what they have done for him is beyond a joke.
Aaron Rodgers is interested in one thing only and that is Aaron Rodgers.
The jets are a qb away from having an excellent team but this is not the answer.
If I was Garrett Wilson and Elijah Moore I’d be looking to be traded. Lazard already come in short odds on Randall Cobb to follow.
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@chris-osborne agree I like the Packers and think they are doing the right thing getting rid if possible. People are acting like he is still a great QB but he regressed a lot last year as a passer, nothing suggests to me he is going to turn that around as a 40 year old. Brady is an exception not the rule!
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@ryan said in NFL Strategies:
@chris-osborne You and me both, surely it's time?
I can't believe Green Bay keep letting him take the p**s to honest.
This is getting ridiculous the new nfl year starts tomorrow, free agents can negotiate from yesterday and this idiot is still messing the Packers and Jets around by announcing nothing
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@chris-osborne said in NFL Strategies:
@martin said in NFL Strategies:
@chris-osborne yeah a good deal the only problem is I'm not convinced about Fields, I'd take a QB and start over
I would to and move fields to rb but alot of players around the leage rate him highly.
if he shows nothing this season, they can move on next year, its a rebuild year for the Bears anyway
Yeah it's his throwing ability that worries me, like all running QBs, I guess we will see this season!
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@chris-osborne said in NFL Strategies:
@martin said in NFL Strategies:
@chris-osborne 23 mill for a qb is nothing these days, backups can get over 10 mill so it's worth it as if he has a great year this year we would be on the hook for 50 mill.
Didnt think og it that way, good point Especially if you had to Franchise tag him.
Lamar Jackson's contract is going to reset the qb market although thats just a mess at the minute
Look at what Kyler got and he's got serious personality issues holding him back, it will be all about this season with Tua, if you draft a QB in 2024 23 mill for a backup will be doable, or trade him to someone wanting to take a chance on a relatively cheap starting QB.
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@martin said in NFL Strategies:
@chris-osborne yeah a good deal the only problem is I'm not convinced about Fields, I'd take a QB and start over
I would to and move fields to rb but alot of players around the leage rate him highly.
if he shows nothing this season, they can move on next year, its a rebuild year for the Bears anyway
