Calling all traders......
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There are no wrong or right answer to this but if you can answer with your opinion,
Here are the facts,
Over 7 years of Data as follows:
For 1pt staked :
Year 1 = 0.5 pts profit from 43 trades
Year 2 = 4 pts profit from 38 trades
Year 3 = 7 pts profit from 41 trades
Year 4 = 4 pts profit from 43 trades
Year 5 = 8 pts profit from 41 trades
Year 6 = 5 pts profit from 42 trades
Year 7 = 9 pts profit from 43 tradesLongest consecutive losing run is : 5
Worst losing trend : 8 losing trades out of 13
Best winning consecutive run : 22
with this all in mind, what betting bank % would attribute to each trade. No wrong or right answer but consider the facts a post your answers.
I'm really interested in this experiment.
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@luke-ridger Interesting
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@chris-watts Interesting , what i have done is extract that data in so many ways that i've used staking systems similar to those mentioned, and then back tested to see if it squeezed more profit out, i've trialled it with 5%,10% and 15% and it does work and accelerate profit quite rapidly depending how you use it.
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2%
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Hey Luke,
Because there’s several years of data and the trade quantity is fairly consistent it looks like the edge is increasing. I’d be tempted to try and quantify the edge, probably through the use of Archie score and then use a quarter/half Kelly staking plan. Not sure if that is what your looking for with this but just my initial thoughts on the question.
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Forgot my answer would be 5% per trade
