Interesting topic.
One thing i have mentioned in past couple of weeks is the possibility of going to a few domestic limited over games this season and maybe doing a bit of 'courtsiding'. Nobody responded to my comment, which led me to investigate via the Internet, and found that it is NOT illegal in UK to do so.
So, my thought is ... 1) Batter skies the ball in the air towards, say, fine leg, where there is a fielder - this may take 2/3 secs to get caught - if you were to press the Lay/Back button at the 1 second mark, then you will likely have a 1-2 sec advantage over the Betfair delay.
Does this sound feasible? or has anybody ever done this?
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2x U1.5 lays. One in an exotic league but as no league filtering applied we’ll include it:
12pm - Bali Utd v Malut Utd @ 4.4
3pm - Univ Cluj v Unirea Slobozia @ 3.5
@Paul-Sheridan This will be running always now, we wanted to try and make BTC as easy to use as possible working through it like this we think is the way. I will send you a DM now.
@Tony-Hastie It would be bloody great!
BET 1: Arema v PSS Sleman (pre match) over 2.5 goals @ 2.14 odds
Rubbish weekend. I'll update and post tomorrow.
Here is the strategy download from the Lay The Home Team youtube video this week:
You can upload this to your own software by copying the test from the file and pasting it here, then click 'import':
Screenshot (84).png
Give it a name and click 'save' to save it.
Or if you would like me to add it for you, just let me know in the comments below.
@Samuel-Barrett Not sure if you have seen this website but shows average SR on draws for all global leagues for numerous years
https://www.progressivebetting.co.uk/statistics/football_statistics/leagues-over-25/
Good place to start but clearly you need average odds and ideally average odds for winners.
I’ve been tracking a few other leagues recently. The Swiss super league interestingly is the one that seems to be flagging as the biggest opportunity outside of the leagues you are already working with. Decent odds and reasonable SR so far
@Tony-Hastie said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
I chucked the back home and back away strategies into the football software to see what they brought up...got this a few times now. Back the draw?😁Screenshot 2025-01-14 132032.png
to be fair you would have made a profit backing both as the winner was 3.0+ odds 😄
@Peter-Adams there aren't any SHG specific stats in the ratings, they tend to cover 90mins
@james-everard Well there have been 5 posts today already, so things are hotting up 🙂 but seriously it would be great to see what people are up to, not to copy them but to learn a few tricks of the trade (pun intended :))
This conclusion is based on my experience and testing.
You might get results other than mine and are free to speak up.
First out ...
SHG "any score line" at 1.4 between 60/64 min mark.
Run several weekends with Fairbot and it did not perform as expected.
Update with the next test ...
Richards SHG at 1.2 Set & Forget
Cheers
@Patrik-Mellqvist nice one how is it going?
That is great input and information.
See the free option works very well.
Cheers
Hi,
I’m evaluating some methods with Fair Bot. I won’t run anything on weekdays; I’ll focus on Fridays, Saturdays, and Sundays, from 9 AM to midnight.
I’d like to thank Martin for his video on automation and daily routines, and Ryan for his chat about automating tasks to free up time for other things in life.
I currently have two methods automated and plan to code three more. Scheduling these methods for specific days and times feels right, as there’s more activity on weekends. Running Fair Bot on weekdays seems unnecessary, as there are only occasional opportunities.
Best regards,
@Alex-Rendell hello. Thanks for your reply, I have already tweaked both leagues and odds on all of the strategies except the lay the draw set and forget. The last deep dive I did into the strategies was back on January 1st. I think I will have to have another look into the leagues and odds to see if that improves it. But do it in a way that is not an obvious back fit.
If your entry/exit conditions present themselves multiple times in a match and you're within the boundaries of whatever you've decided to risk on that match then sure.
There's no set "correct" number of trades to place per market, you just need to be re-evaluating as the match progresses based on what's happening in the game and be aware of the increased risk the later it gets due to "dangerous" events making the prices swing wider.
Don't evaluate the next trade based on confidence built in the last one. Evaluate the current conditions on their own merit. Ask yourself whether you'd still be placing that next trade if it was the first trade you were placing for that match.
@Simon-Bates I personally rarely let a bet run, but there's nothing wrong with doing so if you think you have decent value from the bet.
Hedging or partial hedging will remove some or all liability. If you're dripping in your backs then you could drip in your hedge bets as well.
If you want to keep it really simple you could just lay for the exact same stake as you backed, which creates a free bet on that selection (if your selection wins you make a profit, if it doesn't then you lose nothing).
There's no right or wrong answer really, other than ensuring the price is right in the first place, but I wouldn't use the cashout button as you'll never really get a favourable price, as convenient as it is.
Also keep an eye on dangerous match events that could send the price flying if you're betting late in the market.
