@Richard-Latimer absolutely! Even if you just pay for one month and cancel after that, you'll be amazed at what it can do for you.

POTENTIAL QUALIFIERS — TUESDAY 14 APRIL 2026

No qualifying trades today.

Hi all update for March , like i have mentioned i am just paper trading loads of systems at the moment in the hope that i can find some profitable strategies from what i am collating data from. Here are the systems so far that look to have potential, all based on £10 stakes.

System 1 - Back home at k/o odds 3.0-3.50
March 26- trades 22 , won 8 , lost 14 , s/rate 36.36% profit £34.44
Total results since august trades 125, won 49, lost 76 , s/rate 37.98% profit £302.23

System 2- Lay under 2.5 h1 goals ( 1.40 odds below)
March 26 - Trades 40, won 7, lost 33, s/rate 17.50%, profit £69.27
Total trades since January 26- Trades 114, Won 21, Lost 93, s/rate 18.42% profit £233.53

System 3 - Back 1-0 FT cs version q
March 26 - Trades 12, won 4 , lost 8 , s/rate 33.33% profit £151.28
Total Trades since February , trade 14, won 4 ,lost 10, s/rate 28.57% profit £131.28

System 4 - Back Draw at k/o Version W
March 26, Trades 30, won 5, lost 25, s/rate 16.66% profit £106.43
Total trades since Feb - Trades 45, won 9, lost 36, s/rate 20% profit £114.52

System 5- Back over 1.5 first half goals ( odds 2.0+) revised to not include h2h
Started system in March - Trades 13, won 6, lost 7 , s/rate 46.15% profit £27.51

System 6 - Back over 1.5 H2 goals odds 2.0+ check h2h
March 26- Trades 4, won 2, lost 2, s/rate 50% profit £0.77p
Total trades since January 26- Trades 29, won 16, lost 13, s/rate 55.17% profit £40.51

System 7 - Back draw for 1st half odds 2.0 +
Started in March - Trades 11, won 6, lost 5 , s/rate 54.54% profit £10.95

System 8 - Injury time goal version B( last 5 matches)
March 26- Trades 45, won 16, lost 29, s/rate 35.55% profit £313.36
Total trades since Feb26, Trades 87, won 27, lost 60, profit £362.76

System 9- BTTS AT HT IF 0-0 ( Odds 3.0+)
March 26, Trades 80, won 26, lost 54, s/rate 32.50% profit £99.94
Trades since January 210, won 71, lost 139, s/rate 33.81% profit £408.30

System 10 - Back over 2.5 goals ft version B( 2.0+ odds check h2h)
March 26- trades 205, won 95, lost 110, s/rate 46.34% profit £53.75
Total trades since November 25, Trades 886, won 425, lost 461, s/r 47.97% profit £624.56

So plenty of potential in these systems and i ones that havn't been profitable on will tighten the filters and then show the results if they improve

Full house yesterday!

Today's AI LTDs:
Sangju Sangmu vs Gwangju FC 3.5
Sydney FC vs Melbourne City 3.7
Silkeborg vs Vejle 3.75
Roda vs Vitesse 4.2
Helmond vs Cambuur 4.3
Den Bosch vs Jong PSV 4.3
Jong AZ vs Maastricht 5.3

@Lukáš-Bíňovský what's the multigoal strategy?

@James-Menhenitt Think of xG less as "expected goals" and more like "expectation of a goal". It's basically the probability that a given shot made by the average player will result in a goal.

A value is given to each shot based on tons of factors, including distance and angle to the goal, type of shot (header, volley, etc), position of the keeper, the type of pass that led to the shot, etc. The xG values for each shot are then added together to give an xG value for the whole match.

The Overall > Average > xG in the software then takes the last 10 home matches for the home team and the same for the away team, and gives you the average xG figure per match over that match history.

@Martin said in Starting Over:

football

Thanks Martin.

I am still paper trading this but it is throwing up so many ideas. I am amzed how much I have learnt from so few matches, approx 210.

I will update again when I start trading this on Betfair.

@Martin Thanks for the quick reply

@allan-poulsen these are member strategies that have been shared with us over the years, not being tracked manually as it would be impossible to track (thousands of inplay data points would need to be tracked live per week manually), though when we have the next big software update (which isn't far off) it will be possible to run them through and find out.

@Alex-Rendell Thank you

@Raj-Kukadia Im not sure what you are asking me here buddy?

@Martin Great, thanks

@Alex-Ionică to get 400 selections a month on a strategy can be difficult, I mean how many matches a day are likely to be value for any given strategy? Maybe 5-10? Then you would have to find them all! It's easier to do this around multiple strategies.

@Dan-Fuller I love that you have done this, this is exactly what I have been preaching for a while 2 people can trade the same strategy a different way and/or spot things that make it slightly different.

Theres been a few you might find some more info on this thread https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/4890/the-winning-edge-challenge-3-simple-steps/162?_=1759395327476

@Alex-Rendell As I was working on the spreadsheet this morning I noticed the formula for the No. of selections was picking up the SHG column - now amended and posted below.

It was interesting as some of the leagues that are struggling with FHG were 100% on SHG.

Also have removed about 12 leagues

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hG_FE5mCqXqdtyMRH3ler8r3-ZvdG5_4YEmnzhmIKPE/edit?usp=sharing

@Richard-Latimer just finally working through the 951 results from the FHG Winning Edge strat so it wasn't my original but will be edited by me - hope that counts.

Trying to take some of the volatility out of it by reducing leagues & Odds, should be ready in time.......although I might change my mind in the next 3 days 😆

@Martin been going nearly two weeks. Chose to start on the 1st of August. Starting Bankroll just £100 with 2-3% Stakes. So far so good. Will post an update early September.

@Justyna ah right fair enough then, I don't like youth teams in general playing in the adult leagues tend to avoid them but that's personal preference.

@sam-ratcliffe sure no problem 🙂 I've done this for you