@Patrik-Mellqvist be interested to see how it performs!

sorry ignore my request as I already have this strategy .

Friday 28/03/25 (Day 38)

Potential selections today come from the following:-

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon v Hapoel Nof HaGalil (1pm) - this was a LTD and SHG goal trade, ended 1-1 after being 0-0 @ HT so the latter won but the former lost, although it could’ve been traded for a small profit which is something I’m very much looking to do going forward. Volume and liquidity was very poor though so may be a league I’ll be leaving alone in future.

Aalborg v Viborg (6pm) - over 2.5, home lay, lay under under 1.5 and SHG trades all popped up for this one. I obviously didn’t get involved in them all but the home lay and over 2.5 both proved profitable as it ended 0-4.

Red Star v Rodez (7pm) - lay the draw in the first-half and SHG trades came up for this game and although they were both losers (1-1 @ HT and no SHG), there was plenty of opportunity to trade for a good profit in the first half.

MVV Maastricht v Emmen (7pm) - no bet.

Eindhoven v Helmond (7pm) - this came up as a LTD trade and ended 2-2 so a loser if left to run but could easily have taken profit in the second half .

Amstettan v Rapid Wien II (5pm) - no bet.

Cerezo Osaka v Urawa Reds (10am) - lay home trade which came in thanks to a late second half equaliser. 1-1.

Barry v Newtown (7:45pm) - lay the first half draw and BTTS were both successful bets/trades in this game. 2-1.

@Patrik-Mellqvist check the amount of top flight league games taking place this week compared to a "normal" week - it'll all be back to normal at the end of the month.

@Luke-Edward-Walker you could look at high draw at HT % and then low draw at FT %

@Luke-Edward-Walker happens mate! You'll see absolutely everything in this game! As long as you were following a set strategy and stuck to your rules, then there's no reason to shy away from doing it again; it's all about finding something and sticking with it over a long period of time - otherwise you'll never know whether or not it works. Keep at it!

ok thanks martin

Great post, this is something I always keep an eye on, brings home the benefits of longer term testing. If you rely on goals to win in your strategy and you know you're profitable when goals are at usual levels, then just hang in there, because once goals hit 3+ a game then you'll likely benefit hugely.

@Peter-Adams there aren't any SHG specific stats in the ratings, they tend to cover 90mins

@james-everard Well there have been 5 posts today already, so things are hotting up 🙂 but seriously it would be great to see what people are up to, not to copy them but to learn a few tricks of the trade (pun intended :))

@Patrik-Mellqvist nice one how is it going?

That is great input and information.
See the free option works very well.

Cheers

@Patrik-Mellqvist wise words!

@Alex-Rendell hello. Thanks for your reply, I have already tweaked both leagues and odds on all of the strategies except the lay the draw set and forget. The last deep dive I did into the strategies was back on January 1st. I think I will have to have another look into the leagues and odds to see if that improves it. But do it in a way that is not an obvious back fit.

If your entry/exit conditions present themselves multiple times in a match and you're within the boundaries of whatever you've decided to risk on that match then sure.

There's no set "correct" number of trades to place per market, you just need to be re-evaluating as the match progresses based on what's happening in the game and be aware of the increased risk the later it gets due to "dangerous" events making the prices swing wider.

Don't evaluate the next trade based on confidence built in the last one. Evaluate the current conditions on their own merit. Ask yourself whether you'd still be placing that next trade if it was the first trade you were placing for that match.