@Craig-Greenway, that goal came in the 17th minute what odds did you get

@Martin Something Big, interesting!!!!

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

I'm not about to do this now either (burnt trying this too early in the past) but it looks to me as if a very good system of backing the home underdog (mostly the underdog anyway) could be found in using all the fixtures I exclude from raw data on my filter.

Currently 58% s/r with average odds around 3.5 I reckon. Certainly well over 3.0 (I only have the published lay prices as well as those I was able to obtain myself).

I totally meant 42% (actually 43%). Just forgot to flip around what I was looking for. Still seems very healthy.

@Samuel-Barrett Be aware, if you use SMarkets or Matchbook for backing stuff theres a better than average chance youll lose your 0% commission. That promotion is for matched betting and while theyll allow the occasional back for mistakes, or to cash out of 2ups they dont like repeated use. Matchbook especially is very strict on it....

@Martin HI Martin i started off last November again with a trading bank of £100 using 1% liability stakes so still have a healthy bank from then. Just hoping it was a one off terrible month on the injury time goal market as every other month has been profitable until then. I want to paper trade this system for November though just incase .

@Patrik-Mellqvist wise words!

@Ryan
@Martin

Hi,

I’m evaluating some methods with Fair Bot. I won’t run anything on weekdays; I’ll focus on Fridays, Saturdays, and Sundays, from 9 AM to midnight.

I’d like to thank Martin for his video on automation and daily routines, and Ryan for his chat about automating tasks to free up time for other things in life.

I currently have two methods automated and plan to code three more. Scheduling these methods for specific days and times feels right, as there’s more activity on weekends. Running Fair Bot on weekdays seems unnecessary, as there are only occasional opportunities.

Best regards,

@james-everard yes winter leagues about to kick in big time!

@Alex-Rendell hello. Thanks for your reply, I have already tweaked both leagues and odds on all of the strategies except the lay the draw set and forget. The last deep dive I did into the strategies was back on January 1st. I think I will have to have another look into the leagues and odds to see if that improves it. But do it in a way that is not an obvious back fit.

If your entry/exit conditions present themselves multiple times in a match and you're within the boundaries of whatever you've decided to risk on that match then sure.

There's no set "correct" number of trades to place per market, you just need to be re-evaluating as the match progresses based on what's happening in the game and be aware of the increased risk the later it gets due to "dangerous" events making the prices swing wider.

Don't evaluate the next trade based on confidence built in the last one. Evaluate the current conditions on their own merit. Ask yourself whether you'd still be placing that next trade if it was the first trade you were placing for that match.

@Simon-Bates I personally rarely let a bet run, but there's nothing wrong with doing so if you think you have decent value from the bet.

Hedging or partial hedging will remove some or all liability. If you're dripping in your backs then you could drip in your hedge bets as well.

If you want to keep it really simple you could just lay for the exact same stake as you backed, which creates a free bet on that selection (if your selection wins you make a profit, if it doesn't then you lose nothing).

There's no right or wrong answer really, other than ensuring the price is right in the first place, but I wouldn't use the cashout button as you'll never really get a favourable price, as convenient as it is.

Also keep an eye on dangerous match events that could send the price flying if you're betting late in the market.

@Patrik-Mellqvist yeah fit it in how you can, or perhaps more importantly how you would like to. I find you have to make sure you are enjoying it to keep motivation!

Nothing wrong with adding in tennis!

@John-s it's underused as it's overshadowed by the strategy creation tool but it's an excellent bit of kit!

@Martin

Got it, thanks

@Simon-Bates yes you can trade out manually there, the odds are quite close together

@Christopher-Mcintosh what odds do you get on average for that lay?

All,

I've copied a link below to a template of the spreadsheet I use to track my football bets/data - the only fields you'll need to edit are the ones highlighted in yellow. Hopefully it's of some use to people; if you have any questions at all then give me a shout! The best way to add another line of data is to copy the bottom row and paste it immediately below and then simply change the yellow cells. Cheers!

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1jVavFEg9A9PYieOmCPTiE2H49Ac-0vLnYYoVeC9KqXk/edit?usp=sharing

Please just copy and paste/create a duplicate into your own google sheet and save as a new file before editing 🙂

I use Flashscore for tennis trading in play stats . Very accurate and scores are only slightly behind bet 365. Bet 365 is my scoreboard and Flashscore for in play. It is very reliable 👍