Chat GPT predicted France v Croatia FHG and Italy v Germany FHG. It was correct on both counts.

@Everyone how are you all getting on?

I am putting together the finishing touches to the team element of this 😉

You all ready for some friendly competition!

@Nikki-HALSALL said in 🔮⚽ Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! ⚽🔮:

@Martin I used to 😂 hate them, now I am learning to trade I loath them

haha love that!

Thursday 20/3/25 (DAY 36):-

No bets/trades for today.

Quick update during the quiet (infuriating) international break - I'm still fully committed to my trading and my strategies, but I've realised I need to step back slightly from the journaling side of things. Between family, kids, a full-time job and everything else that life has to offer, I don't have the time to track every detail like I was before and then have to share it here on this page.

Nothing has changed with my setup or approach, the following strategies continue to run: (pre-match) lay the draw, over 2.5 goals, first and second-half goals, home wins, and a couple of lay strategies in the under 1.5 and home win markets, alongside the in-play system which looks for value at half-time when the score is 0-0. The dataset remains the same and since starting this "diary", it has helped me realise the need to streamline my process to make it more manageable long-term (something that I've already implemented within the first 30 days).

The main difference is that my updates will be less detailed. I won't be tracking individual bet stats like average odds, strike rates or game-by-game breakdowns but instead I'll look to provide regular (weekly) performance overviews so I can still look back on this and assess my progress.

Everything is still going on in the background, but I need to be realistic about my time if I want to sustain this for the full 100 days (and beyond). I'll still be posting, just in a more condensed format.

Cheers.

Lay Away:

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@ellis-slater here is a template you can use to track it:

Here is the tracking sheet https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hagmTEIVEKKxLKFkJ3y-Ap7O7DVPya7irK7HyAOCorI/edit?usp=drive_link

Make sure you click FILE > MAKE A COPY to have your own version.

@Luke-Edward-Walker you could look at high draw at HT % and then low draw at FT %

@james-everard that is fantastic! Well done mate

@Luke-Edward-Walker happens mate! You'll see absolutely everything in this game! As long as you were following a set strategy and stuck to your rules, then there's no reason to shy away from doing it again; it's all about finding something and sticking with it over a long period of time - otherwise you'll never know whether or not it works. Keep at it!

February was a shocking month with all the profits from previous months wiped out. I think for next season flat staking would be the way to go, rather than 2% of the bank each month.

However, that was my challenge, so staking back to 2%

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Serie A and Liga Portugal both still in profit

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But the Prem has fallen right off

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Will see what March brings!

ok thanks martin

Great post, this is something I always keep an eye on, brings home the benefits of longer term testing. If you rely on goals to win in your strategy and you know you're profitable when goals are at usual levels, then just hang in there, because once goals hit 3+ a game then you'll likely benefit hugely.

Here is the strategy download from the Lay The Home Team youtube video this week:

Lay Home Team Strategy.txt

You can upload this to your own software by copying the test from the file and pasting it here, then click 'import':
Screenshot (84).png

Give it a name and click 'save' to save it.

Or if you would like me to add it for you, just let me know in the comments below.

@Tony-Hastie said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

I chucked the back home and back away strategies into the football software to see what they brought up...got this a few times now. Back the draw?😁Screenshot 2025-01-14 132032.png

to be fair you would have made a profit backing both as the winner was 3.0+ odds 😄

@Peter-Adams there aren't any SHG specific stats in the ratings, they tend to cover 90mins

@james-everard Well there have been 5 posts today already, so things are hotting up 🙂 but seriously it would be great to see what people are up to, not to copy them but to learn a few tricks of the trade (pun intended :))

This conclusion is based on my experience and testing.
You might get results other than mine and are free to speak up.

First out ...
SHG "any score line" at 1.4 between 60/64 min mark.
Run several weekends with Fairbot and it did not perform as expected.

Update with the next test ...
Richards SHG at 1.2 Set & Forget

Cheers

@Patrik-Mellqvist nice one how is it going?

That is great input and information.
See the free option works very well.

Cheers