@Martin Thanks for that video. Easy to understand and straight to the point. Now Iknow how to do that 👍
Football Trading
I do wish some leagues had more money in them. Vietnam has been a good league so far on the overs but I've had to get rid as lack of volume and liquidity makes it pointless.
@Richard-Latimer said in 🔮⚽ Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! ⚽🔮:
Just this one on my lay under 1.5's providing enough liquidity and volume which I will update at the time:
2d26141f-e52f-41d1-99ad-718eb3fcedc8-image.png
Not enough liquidity or volume
@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Alastair-Todd I always think with those leagues it must be tough to have a day job then go and play a match at your best.
Agreed Martin, especially when many of the multi-millionaire professionals in the PL can't even hit the back of the net!
05/02/25 (DAY 8):-
As it stands, only the Cluj v Hermannstadt game in Romania and St Gallen v Lugano from Switzerland are potential half-time qualifiers but that could change as the evening progresses.
Nothing showing for the Pre-Match model at the moment.
@Samuel-Barrett Not sure if you have seen this website but shows average SR on draws for all global leagues for numerous years
https://www.progressivebetting.co.uk/statistics/football_statistics/leagues-over-25/
Good place to start but clearly you need average odds and ideally average odds for winners.
I’ve been tracking a few other leagues recently. The Swiss super league interestingly is the one that seems to be flagging as the biggest opportunity outside of the leagues you are already working with. Decent odds and reasonable SR so far
@Tony-Hastie said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
I chucked the back home and back away strategies into the football software to see what they brought up...got this a few times now. Back the draw?😁Screenshot 2025-01-14 132032.png
to be fair you would have made a profit backing both as the winner was 3.0+ odds 😄
@Peter-Adams there aren't any SHG specific stats in the ratings, they tend to cover 90mins
@james-everard Well there have been 5 posts today already, so things are hotting up 🙂 but seriously it would be great to see what people are up to, not to copy them but to learn a few tricks of the trade (pun intended :))
This conclusion is based on my experience and testing.
You might get results other than mine and are free to speak up.
First out ...
SHG "any score line" at 1.4 between 60/64 min mark.
Run several weekends with Fairbot and it did not perform as expected.
Update with the next test ...
Richards SHG at 1.2 Set & Forget
Cheers
@Patrik-Mellqvist nice one how is it going?
That is great input and information.
See the free option works very well.
Cheers
Hi,
I’m evaluating some methods with Fair Bot. I won’t run anything on weekdays; I’ll focus on Fridays, Saturdays, and Sundays, from 9 AM to midnight.
I’d like to thank Martin for his video on automation and daily routines, and Ryan for his chat about automating tasks to free up time for other things in life.
I currently have two methods automated and plan to code three more. Scheduling these methods for specific days and times feels right, as there’s more activity on weekends. Running Fair Bot on weekdays seems unnecessary, as there are only occasional opportunities.
Best regards,
@Alex-Rendell hello. Thanks for your reply, I have already tweaked both leagues and odds on all of the strategies except the lay the draw set and forget. The last deep dive I did into the strategies was back on January 1st. I think I will have to have another look into the leagues and odds to see if that improves it. But do it in a way that is not an obvious back fit.
If your entry/exit conditions present themselves multiple times in a match and you're within the boundaries of whatever you've decided to risk on that match then sure.
There's no set "correct" number of trades to place per market, you just need to be re-evaluating as the match progresses based on what's happening in the game and be aware of the increased risk the later it gets due to "dangerous" events making the prices swing wider.
Don't evaluate the next trade based on confidence built in the last one. Evaluate the current conditions on their own merit. Ask yourself whether you'd still be placing that next trade if it was the first trade you were placing for that match.
@Simon-Bates I personally rarely let a bet run, but there's nothing wrong with doing so if you think you have decent value from the bet.
Hedging or partial hedging will remove some or all liability. If you're dripping in your backs then you could drip in your hedge bets as well.
If you want to keep it really simple you could just lay for the exact same stake as you backed, which creates a free bet on that selection (if your selection wins you make a profit, if it doesn't then you lose nothing).
There's no right or wrong answer really, other than ensuring the price is right in the first place, but I wouldn't use the cashout button as you'll never really get a favourable price, as convenient as it is.
Also keep an eye on dangerous match events that could send the price flying if you're betting late in the market.
@Patrik-Mellqvist yeah fit it in how you can, or perhaps more importantly how you would like to. I find you have to make sure you are enjoying it to keep motivation!
Nothing wrong with adding in tennis!
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