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Daves FHG Set & Forget

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
180 Posts 7 Posters 31.2k Views
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  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Pickett
    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    This is my Set & Forget FHG strategy. I will try to post the long list every day and the results the day after.

    It is a bit of faffing about because I take the results from the filter and run them through a probability spreadsheet to find matches with over 90% probability of a First Half Goal. (The software may be able to do this, but I couldn't figure it out).

    I then check the odds at the kick-off for games that are between 1.3 and 1.45, I don't back games outside this price range.

    I place an order in the market @1.5 on those games. The longest I have had to wait for an order to match is 11 minutes, but mostly it is under 7 minutes.

    Because the odds are quite low, I set the winning bets as doubles. (So the profit on one game gets added to the stake of the next).

    I have not yet filtered out any leagues and will start to do this when I have around a thousand results, but I have noticed that evening kick offs in Serie A have let me down fairly regularly, so I avoid those games.

    Here are today's games. (The first game has already kicked off, but the starting price was 1.54, too high for me to back.)

    0_1644940558601_a8d96c3a-a1e2-4ee6-9e28-4bd105cc57cd-image.png

    This is not a finished strategy so please run your own tests before placing any money on these selections.

    Cheers

    Dave...

    MartinM ? D 11 Replies Last reply
    1
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Pickett
    wrote on last edited by
    #2

    1/6/22

    I'm going to stop putting the excluded leagues here unless anyone is monitoring them and wants to keep seeing them?

    Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1656392667691_fd4918df-2921-4143-b493-2bb51af59dae-image.png

    Yesterday's Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1656392637215_e1860423-eb30-44e0-bd83-484d0eb32994-image.png

    At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
    Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
    This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.

    Summer Leagues excluded list: Argentina, Ecuador, Faroe Islands, Finland, South Korea, Uraguay, Norway and Sweden.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Pickett
    wrote on last edited by
    #3

    27/6/22

    I've given up on Norway. It is now the worst-performing summer league for this strategy.

    Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1656274022676_9b7ccdce-4adc-4905-9281-5b7b5cd33237-image.png

    Yesterday's Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1656273990755_1ae01662-5147-4d77-ba3a-22c748ff43a1-image.png

    At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
    Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
    This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.

    Summer Leagues excluded list: Argentina, Ecuador, Faroe Islands, Finland, South Korea, Uraguay Norway and Sweden.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Pickett
    wrote on last edited by
    #4

    Last week was a pretty poor week, it basically swallowed up the profits from the week before. Norway is just hanging on by a thread. If it performs poorly again this week I will exclude it.

    0_1656225311026_83aba130-b426-4fa5-874f-9d2e68976c95-image.png

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Pickett
    wrote on last edited by
    #5

    26/6/22

    Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1656225161994_2501aeae-4d24-4deb-9965-c311a8963060-image.png

    Yesterday's Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1656225128035_ea76c514-3948-4ed1-a08a-d592cc62b331-image.png

    At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
    Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
    This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.

    Summer Leagues excluded list: Argentina, Ecuador, Faroe Islands, Finland, South Korea, Uraguay and Sweden.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Pickett
    wrote on last edited by
    #6

    25/6/22

    Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1656148619463_ffd4eae2-af06-4e39-a440-20d02a58e4c1-image.png

    Yesterday's Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1656148589936_c3e2eba9-ed91-42c8-9f87-c40b5ac4f56c-image.png

    At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
    Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
    This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.

    Summer Leagues excluded list: Argentina, Ecuador, Faroe Islands, Finland, South Korea, Uraguay and Sweden.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Pickett
    wrote on last edited by
    #7

    24/6/22

    Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1656016654186_35f6795e-b3ba-4978-b2be-376ebe363829-image.png

    Yesterday's Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1656016618382_0577ee14-bda8-40cc-9e90-f6249653ccfd-image.png

    At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
    Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
    This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.

    Summer Leagues excluded list: Argentina, Ecuador, Faroe Islands, Finland, South Korea, Uraguay and Sweden.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Pickett
    wrote on last edited by
    #8

    23/6/22

    Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1655925976163_29dfd690-bc71-48b1-a4aa-2066c23d264a-image.png

    Tuesdays Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1655925939269_68daf0e2-e931-405a-b225-419088e0842a-image.png

    At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
    Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
    This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.

    Summer Leagues excluded list: Argentina, Ecuador, Faroe Islands, Finland, South Korea, Uraguay and Sweden.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Pickett
    wrote on last edited by
    #9

    21/6/22

    Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1655760341562_291e5b74-6c1a-4c2b-a579-7392c58ededd-image.png

    Yesterday's Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1655760303422_e33f69b8-b94e-422e-8da1-f2fce2c4c464-image.png

    At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
    Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
    This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.

    Summer Leagues excluded list: Argentina, Ecuador, Faroe Islands, Finland, South Korea, Uraguay and Sweden.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Pickett
    replied to Martin on last edited by David Pickett
    #10

    @martin I didn't reinstate the stop time after I'd been tweaking, so it sat there waiting for crappy games to enter the correct odds ranges and then backed them 😞
    I comfort myself by remembering that my whole bank used to belong to bookies! 🙂

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to David Pickett on last edited by
    #11

    @david-pickett jesus what happened with that bot any ideas?

    D 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Pickett
    wrote on last edited by
    #12

    20/6/22

    A terrible weekend trading, not helped by my stupid error with my trading 'bot, which cost me over £240 backing teams outside the correct odds range 😞

    Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1655675252921_3e3daa7f-69b1-41dd-bfc1-2369dbb540d1-image.png

    Yesterday's Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1655675209232_33ce8d98-49b5-4ade-ab8e-3dc63ac569a2-image.png

    At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
    Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
    This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.

    Summer Leagues excluded list: Argentina, Ecuador, Faroe Islands, Finland, South Korea, Uraguay and Sweden.

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Pickett
    wrote on last edited by
    #13

    0_1655622218820_35288662-3e5f-4c37-80c9-271a3bd6b12e-image.png

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Pickett
    wrote on last edited by
    #14

    19/6/22

    Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1655622074668_d831b8c8-73e7-4fb3-8b8d-f6cc6ca2676b-image.png

    Yesterday's Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1655621984459_abca12cc-377c-413b-997e-c82b29b85339-image.png

    At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
    Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
    This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.

    Summer Leagues excluded list: Argentina, Ecuador, Faroe Islands, Finland, South Korea, Uraguay and Sweden.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Pickett
    wrote on last edited by
    #15

    18/6/22

    Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1655525960295_501dc8a3-a86b-4a00-a2d5-0abc968e3d43-image.png

    Yesterday's Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    No selections yesterday

    At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
    Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
    This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.

    Summer Leagues excluded list: Argentina, Ecuador, Faroe Islands, Finland, South Korea, Uraguay and Sweden.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Pickett
    wrote on last edited by
    #16

    17/6/22

    Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    No selections today

    Yesterday's Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1655412777393_2a89c301-406f-48d5-994a-62a0ea36ad7d-image.png

    At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
    Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
    This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.

    Summer Leagues excluded list: Argentina, Ecuador, Faroe Islands, Finland, South Korea, Uraguay and Sweden.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Pickett
    wrote on last edited by
    #17

    16/6/22

    Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1655320348076_7143b77c-22a0-4dff-b736-10ce05d0a74f-image.png

    Yesterday's Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    No selections yesterday

    At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
    Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
    This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.

    Summer Leagues excluded list: Argentina, Ecuador, Faroe Islands, Finland, South Korea, Uraguay and Sweden.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Pickett
    wrote on last edited by
    #18

    15/6/22

    Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    No selections today

    Yesterday's Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    No selections yesterday

    At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
    Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
    This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.

    Summer Leagues excluded list: Argentina, Ecuador, Faroe Islands, Finland, South Korea, Uraguay and Sweden.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Pickett
    wrote on last edited by
    #19

    14/6/22

    Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    No selections today

    Yesterday's Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    No selections yesterday

    At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
    Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
    This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.

    Summer Leagues excluded list: Argentina, Ecuador, Faroe Islands, Finland, South Korea, Uraguay and Sweden.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Pickett
    wrote on last edited by
    #20

    13/6/22

    Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    No selections today

    Yesterday's Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1655064169642_7dc475a6-b15c-4b06-80af-8d45bb9a916e-image.png

    At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
    Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
    This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.

    Summer Leagues excluded list: Argentina, Ecuador, Faroe Islands, Finland, South Korea, Uraguay and Sweden.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0

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