Football Trading

424 Topics 87.0k Posts
  • RULE CHANGES FOR 2023-24

    1 Votes
    16 Posts
    235 Views

    @james-everard said in RULE CHANGES FOR 2023-24:

    @Karl-Pick said in RULE CHANGES FOR 2023-24:

    @james-everard ...We have a New Ground, brilliant Chairman and facilities that are way above the league we are in!
    I do corporate for games and there is 190 sell out every home game at £50 a go, so money is coming in!!!
    BUT, who wants to come and play non league football in the arse end of Lincolnshire? And that lies the problem! Still got 1500 diehard fans at home every week and took 325 away to Buxton 3 hours away, so everythings in place but the players sadly!

    Sounds like you at least have everything in place and 1500 is a good following . My club has potential to be in the football league ( population in borough of 181,000) but we have a chairman who knows nothing about football and is in it for the wrong reasons and a crap council owned athletics stadium been stuck here for 20 years!!

    BUT we do live in the Arse end of Lincolnshire, no duel carriageway here never mind Motorways....nothing else to do here except kill each other obviously, as we are still the murder capital of the UK!

  • In play 2-0 down

    3 Votes
    15 Posts
    320 Views

    Hi Folks. An update on what ive traded and spotted.
    Very much in its infancy and currently not set on a strategy as there are many options, all positive, some could bare some serious fruit!!
    So heres what ive traded on so far. Results, dont dig too deep, im trying to suss out whats best, losses in some cases were avoidable.

    HT FT

    St Johnstone 0-1 0-4 Stirling Albion Odds 6 -1pt
    Rosenburg 0-2 3-2 Odds BK Odds 10 +8pt
    Ponte Preta 2-0 2-2 Victoria Salvador Odds 6 -1pt
    Hibs 0-2 2-3 St Mirren Entry Odds 18 0pt
    Viking 2-2 3-2 Bodo G Entry Odds 8 -1pt

    Sunday also saw Leeds come back from 0-2 to end 2-2. Draw odds were at 12 in Injury time!!!
    Also, Sunderland were 0-2 down falling short at 1-2. None Traded.

    Results: £1 =1 point
    St Johnstone -1pt
    Rosenburg Win Cash Out at 9 +8pt
    Ponte Preta (entry ay 1-2) Let it Run -1 pt (cash out offer of 1.86pt
    Hibs 0pt (entry at 1-2) (odds were at 75 at 65 mins) Cash out at 2-2 for 2.26pt
    Viking H-T Offered 1.94+ cash out. I let it run for -1pt loss.

    There are many variants to these games. How early in the game the deficit occurs is key, its not straight forward. However, even a goal offers profits, and if you look at Hibs who were at 65-70 minutes 2 down, odds at 75, they score 2 to level, on another day they score the winner and your in for a huge win. I think this is all about getting a foot on the Ladder then taking your chance based on the in play stats and how you see it.
    Last week Rosenburg were at 10 at HT and they did win the game 3-2.

    Not a straight forward method regards odds, but this is without a doubt a reccurring theme, its how you play the game that dictates your profitability!

    Answers on a postcard please!!!

  • Some market’s suspended

    1 Votes
    2 Posts
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    @David-Williams back up on another exchange, pain in the backside but you can cover on Smarkets, Betdaq or Matchbook if the market is on there. Worst case scenario use a bookie

  • New here hello

    2 Votes
    3 Posts
    70 Views

    @Stjepan-Bacic welcome to the community! Great to have you here 😄

  • LTD newbie

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    9 Posts
    223 Views

    @David-Williams nice!! that's the issue with the LTD when you get a losing trade it hurts because it wipes out profit and seems like it takes a while to get back then it seems to be on a good run.

  • HI EVERYONE I AM NEW TO THE FOOTBALL FORUM

    4 Votes
    41 Posts
    533 Views

    @Martin onwards and upwards, I hope anyway. Feeling positive about the strategies, I think you will always get some blips along the way. It’s all a learning curve. 👍🏻

  • Attacking Betfair Trading

    11 Votes
    1k Posts
    101k Views

    Sorry for not posting much still be trading but most trades are weekends now and i am training for three peaks and gnr so my weekends have been filled with getting up early and excersing so finding it hard to keep todate will post a EOM review soon

  • Expectations

    1 Votes
    5 Posts
    177 Views

    @Ryan thanks Ryan. I know what you mean about setting a target ROI, I try not to focus on it too much but it can be difficult not to at times!

    How often do you review and change a strategy? In the past I feel as though I've rushed into reducing selections on odds/leagues but have possibly done it just before they improve!

  • Strategy

    Unsolved
    1 Votes
    8 Posts
    219 Views

    @Colin-Bache here is a low scoring 0-20 mins filter filter-settings (12).txt

  • Historic inplay Betfair odds

    1 Votes
    2 Posts
    69 Views

    @Kevin I think you can buy the data from Betfair, maybe email them and find out if that's possible.

  • Which Leagues do you avoid trading and why?

    0 Votes
    13 Posts
    271 Views

    My favourite leagues are the Dutch and Turkish always plenty of goals in both

  • Rigged games can we exploit them?

    0 Votes
    8 Posts
    190 Views

    @Richard-Eckley said in Rigged games can we exploit them?:

    Johor Darul Takzim v Pahang

    Well that didn't pan out ending at 2-0

    The other match I was looking at was Selangor FA vs Kedah which finished 3-2 but, I even managed to mess this up as I backed under 2.5 when I meant over! I really should be more careful.

  • 13 Votes
    685 Posts
    39k Views

    Going to close this thread, I think we should move over to the football thread so as not to confuse. Find it here: https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/4341/new-football-thread

  • Under 2.5 first half goals

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    2 Posts
    144 Views

    @Colin-Bache I responded to this elsewhere 🙂

  • Supertrader

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    2 Posts
    141 Views

    @colin-bache Hey!

    The long form post is here: https://docs.google.com/document/d/149hBjNWDgFw5wS0W1XQPTYApvcyw79LvJUfsHSYNeCk/edit?usp=sharing

    The filter is here: https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/3427/youtube-correct-score-ryans-filter/11

    The spreadsheets are on the resources section in Getting Started section on the forum, where the super trader videos are.

  • The BTC Football Trading Thread

    Locked
    8 Votes
    43k Posts
    3m Views

    @martin said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Keep all of your football trading discussion in here!
    Not sure where to start with football trading? Take a look at our beginners guide: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-ultimate-trading-start-guide
    We have written a guide on what to consider before following any trades, this is a must read before following any trades below: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-betfair-essentials
    https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/trading-strategies - video walkthroughs of all our strategies

    I've had to open a new thread as Adam thinks this being so big may be causing the forum to go down every now and then.

    Find it here: https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/4341/new-football-thread

  • 0 Votes
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    @tony-lee this is something to be a aware of and a bit of a pain in the backside! That said at least you know now, usually on Bet365 it says if they are checking on VAR.

  • 1 Votes
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    @conor-medlyn well if anyone has an update to it then they can let me know but it's hard for me to record that strategy otherwise as it's an inplay one.

  • Am I being too incosistant?

    1 Votes
    16 Posts
    808 Views

    @jamie-wright-0 Yep that podcast is a cracker, stick with it and take your time. trust and enjoy the process

  • 0 Votes
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    385 Views

    @dan-mackinnon Yup I think this time they should finally get the promotion this year, though I wouldn't rule out Notts County they are a very good outfit.

    We played Wrexham away in August and got battered 4 or 5 nil. It was a painful watch and a very quiet journey home! It's a nice ground, the club has got a huge local following and big sponsors like TikTok.

    I think we'll see more buy outs from "big names" in Non-League, even here you won't get much change from a few million. There are some huge clubs down in this league, Oldham, Notts County, Halifax, Wrexham, Scunthorpe etc.

    People say it's the hardest league to get out of.