The one selection was tonight in Bolivia. A 1-5 winner regardless so that's good to see.

@Martin man utd will make top 4 with amiron at the helm

@Simon-Bates I use few different exchanges. I'm currently using smarkets.

October. On 50, won 33 for a 66% SR and 4 point gain. Missed friday 18th, Saturday 19th as was on holiday. Running total, 27 points to the good...things looking good with filtering to come...

@Jonathan-McDaid I was thinking that this week! Good work.

@Fraser-cord taken stake back, so removed a sizeable red. Not confident from here as NZ 1 wicket from the tail and don't have enough runs IMO.

Probably just leave this now.

These have been doing OK. Not many filters. Let me know what you think/how you get on 🙂

Dobs.json

@Patrik-Mellqvist wise words!

@Ryan
@Martin

Hi,

I’m evaluating some methods with Fair Bot. I won’t run anything on weekdays; I’ll focus on Fridays, Saturdays, and Sundays, from 9 AM to midnight.

I’d like to thank Martin for his video on automation and daily routines, and Ryan for his chat about automating tasks to free up time for other things in life.

I currently have two methods automated and plan to code three more. Scheduling these methods for specific days and times feels right, as there’s more activity on weekends. Running Fair Bot on weekdays seems unnecessary, as there are only occasional opportunities.

Best regards,

@Akiva-Anderson said in Netflix/Amazon/Gaming and Book Recommendations:

Some move from Xbox to put the latest Black Ops game on Game Pass from Day One

I’m a PlayStation boy but my son has an Xbox and I have to say Gamepass is just great value compared to PlayStation plus

@Simon-Bates do you mean when to enter and exit specifically?

Month 22 of trading

September was a real roller coaster for my strategies. Overall a loss which is frustrating as now 2 months on the bounce I have had losing months. They are only small so I need to do a bit of a deep dive as to if it's natural variance or if it's just the fact these strategies aren't as good as I had thought.

Highlights

As a result of my strategies appearing to wane I have started to look at new markets and strategies and collecting data on these. I don't think I have done as much Youtubing or reading around strategy creation as I have recently. I'm currently exploring some back the draw games as the pricing for that outcome always seems to be overvalued which can be taken advantage of. I have also been looking at my successful strategies and trying to look at over markets for them. This basically means the same games can be used and exploited. E.g my over 2.5 goals strategy I'm testing I am also tracking the over 3.5 goals market to see if there is value. This means less work and more profit if it works out.

Lowlights

I'm really struggling to get stuck into INPLAY trading. I think it's partly due to having a full time job still and buying a house. I just don't want/can't find the time to sit at a comp at the moment. Reliable strategies seem to be lagging a bit atm. Hoping for an October bounce back now the seasons are in full swing. Need to test some more strategies and get some inspiration for ideas.

I'm still very excited to keep going with trading and I know that with more testing and thinking outside the box I will make a success of it. I need to try new things and look for better value games. Take things slowly and not panic

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14sQHc1a_-Q92Y0nIh0JIPTU3-hese2svcynRGef9aog/edit?pli=1&gid=328224590#gid=328224590

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12893w4uBdzT0ac0phKa5zCPEXRzBBNsQxGHKEvJVAC0/edit?gid=1643572234#gid=1643572234

@james-everard yes winter leagues about to kick in big time!

@Patrik-Mellqvist Thank you, that is a good bit of reading for me later on, written by people with a lot of experience.

Hi Adam. I was trying to create a back strategy looking for horses that ran below their handicap last time/handicap has been lowered focusing on higher quality handicap races with decent prize money (theory being you know the horses will be trying). My thinking is that a lot of money in these higher quality races will be placed on the favourite/tipped horses by pundits leaving some of the "outsiders" to provide value. Obviously this approach won't be for everyone as there will be long losing runs but wondered if you had any comments on my first stab? Is there any way of testing how it would have performed if the selections had been backed each way? Thanks!

rules_export.json

@Alex-Rendell hello. Thanks for your reply, I have already tweaked both leagues and odds on all of the strategies except the lay the draw set and forget. The last deep dive I did into the strategies was back on January 1st. I think I will have to have another look into the leagues and odds to see if that improves it. But do it in a way that is not an obvious back fit.

Today I will show what I consider a good foundation of estimations or a raw sketch of parameters or criteria considered before the trading opportunity.

Let's say the strategy is as follows

I want a favorite with odds of 1.5 and below and they won more matches than underdog.

I want the ranking table positions to be top to middle top to bottom or middle to bottom and no other ranking positions.

The favorite won 60% out of 10 previous and the underdog won 70% out of 10 earlier on the same surface and would not qualify.
However, a 70% win ratio for the favorite and a 30% or less win ratio for the underdog would give the green light for deeper analyses.

Now we could look into previous games' break points and comeback ratios with the model mentioned above for each game.

Here we can compare to soccer with no goals at the 70-minute mark to make Time Decay Value in Tennis Match and Hedge for a TIE with no loss.

I just sum it up like that and wish all the best as I have no interest in teaching when there is no interest in this topic.
I will just make the winning model and post the results of my winning trades.

Simple as that, Smile ...

Further, if you build an algorithm ... consider the following ...
Tennis Prediction Algorithm

Skills
Head to Head
Rating and countries
Current form
Tiredness and retiring
Tournament

Upon this probability calculation is made

The analysis is split into Three parts

Three Periods

In the first interval, all matches played in the last 365 Days
The second interval, 730 Days excluding the 365
In the third interval, all matches during the career excluding

Full details of tomorrow's update here.

@Victor-Flores Wicked! Thank you for joining, where did you first hear about us?

I am glad you are following what's been laid out that is key as it will get you using the software the best way.

@Patrik-Mellqvist ok so you have completely different filters that is why the selections you expect are not showing.

'H2 over 0.5' means over 0.5 in the second half (either team in the match could score)
'Scored' means the specific team would have to have scored, not either team in the match, so much less chance a team scores 60% of the time, than either team scores 20%.

You need to use the same metric for both filters if you want to get the matches pop up on both. So for example you can choose 'Home' 'Scored in H2' rather than 'H2 over 0.5'.

Hope that makes sense.