@Patrik-Mellqvist be interested to see how it performs!

I learn from my own wisdom LOL

I will use the 12-minute mark entering for trade as Each Day 10
But not Scalp/Trade 5/6 min mark for 10% return.

I will test the whole 10 min or when reaching the goal of 20% return.
If possible, I will simulate this today with odds 3,5 to 4,8.
With back-dripping to reduce overall loss ratio, the excellent pendulum effect is achieved.

What is the point - well, this is the point.
Most goals peak statistically at and after the 15-minute mark.
And also read that peaks of goals around the 30 to 45 min mark.
Hey, why 0-0 price drop dramatically - market behaviour.

So instead of 10 to 20 min mark with odds 3 to 4 and back-dripping for 10% i will try do the exact same with the following difference where market and traders overall think differently.

To achieve 20% return with the same methodology.
What is the mechanism that triggers this higher return.
Markets' expectation at 12 min mark to 22 min mark - goal wise -
Markets odds - expectation wise - 3,5 to 4.8 to lay.

That is the theoretical framework for stronger time-decay and drifting price movement against the market's expectation.
The in-play indicators are a key factor here to get a tendency towards matchreading for the present attack mode, tempomode or active/slow or low/high likelihood for goal attempts.

With this saying also mention that one loss with original gave higher loss ration then 1 in 5 with one past trade with this parameters.
But that situation was from the original setup - so potential 20% return and back-dripping I might get around 1 in 4 or less.
That the simulation and real-life trading will tell.

But with a higher liquidity game, I will stick to my original plan.
In lower liquidity games, I will test this out with 10£ trades.
So explore the possibility and see how well my educated guess or framework comes true with real-time stats from live trading.

Cheers

sorry ignore my request as I already have this strategy .

@Adam Lol make Jim from INEOS is in charge?

@Petar-0 welcome! Great to have you here. Your translator seems to be working well. If you need help with anything feel free to ask me any questions 🙂

@Martin said in Netflix/Amazon/Gaming and Book Recommendations:

@Richard-Latimer

A Thousand Blows on Disney+ is best thing they have put out on the service IMO, Stephen Graham and creator of Peaky Blinders.

Stephen Graham is brilliant in almost anything. Adolescence is on my list to watch soon.

@Lee-Greener yeah I use automation for horses for that reason, it depends how much you want to sit in front of the screen I guess!

Friday 28/03/25 (Day 38)

Potential selections today come from the following:-

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon v Hapoel Nof HaGalil (1pm) - this was a LTD and SHG goal trade, ended 1-1 after being 0-0 @ HT so the latter won but the former lost, although it could’ve been traded for a small profit which is something I’m very much looking to do going forward. Volume and liquidity was very poor though so may be a league I’ll be leaving alone in future.

Aalborg v Viborg (6pm) - over 2.5, home lay, lay under under 1.5 and SHG trades all popped up for this one. I obviously didn’t get involved in them all but the home lay and over 2.5 both proved profitable as it ended 0-4.

Red Star v Rodez (7pm) - lay the draw in the first-half and SHG trades came up for this game and although they were both losers (1-1 @ HT and no SHG), there was plenty of opportunity to trade for a good profit in the first half.

MVV Maastricht v Emmen (7pm) - no bet.

Eindhoven v Helmond (7pm) - this came up as a LTD trade and ended 2-2 so a loser if left to run but could easily have taken profit in the second half .

Amstettan v Rapid Wien II (5pm) - no bet.

Cerezo Osaka v Urawa Reds (10am) - lay home trade which came in thanks to a late second half equaliser. 1-1.

Barry v Newtown (7:45pm) - lay the first half draw and BTTS were both successful bets/trades in this game. 2-1.

@Patrik-Mellqvist check the amount of top flight league games taking place this week compared to a "normal" week - it'll all be back to normal at the end of the month.

Done another 18 draws over the weekend and broke even. Continuing to tweak the selection criteria, and also which legs I run with.

I am going to try without d-d, and bring back 0-0 as 3 of my draws were 0-0

Well, today I will start scalping instead of paper trading.

Raw Rules:

Odds for Over 1.5 goals market 1.15 or less.
Most games will have a second half current score line at 6+

Will pick one scalp each day, if available, between time-slots 20:00 to 21:00, where I pick the available game on the list.

If one selected game don't qualified with 6+ odds with current goal market I move to the next game availbal on the list.
If no game is available, no scalping day.

If a winning scalp, I will move into virtual mode using the selection process until a loss occurs and then activate real mode and start entering the next cycle to catch 1 frequency.

This is optional rule, you wait for a fictive win/scalp then enter with real money once, then enter virtual mode until a loss and then repeat the process.
This has to do with how to tackle the Black Swan or when Lady Luck or Variance show its ugly face.
(( I will illustrate both modes with real money))

Today's game 2025-03-08 Spain La Liga
Barcelona vs. Osasuna
Time: 21:00
(( I will apply rule five, so today's game is virtual ))

Summary of this topic:
After showing two real examples with the rules above.
You are free to test and explore on your own.

I know what I intended to do.
2000£ a month.
One scalp each day.
Only picking the market with a turnaround of 100,000£ at the match odds market.
Where the risk is 10,000£ for one Massianello Session.
And the profit 2000£

Why not win 10 to 20 sessions and bust once or less and reach premium charge within one year.
Instead of using multiple trading methods with more work and hours to put in selections each morning, to Fair Bot.

Maybe I test with 5000£ first to get 1000£ if the market's liquidity doesn't cut it ...

All the things I talk about is as close you get to building an algorhtim or marsh using cycles pendulum effect with median values and frequencies.
This is my world to tackle scalping and to reach higher returns with out be a victim of a violated process - thanks to Massianello Formula - and estimated rules and theory ...

@Luke-Edward-Walker you could look at high draw at HT % and then low draw at FT %

@Patrik-Mellqvist yes I agree as I wrote it, it is all about bankroll protection and it is a great way to keep yourself in the game even if you picked a bad strategy to run.

I think quarterly is a good time to do it but you could do it monthly it's really down to what suits the trader.

@Luke-Edward-Walker happens mate! You'll see absolutely everything in this game! As long as you were following a set strategy and stuck to your rules, then there's no reason to shy away from doing it again; it's all about finding something and sticking with it over a long period of time - otherwise you'll never know whether or not it works. Keep at it!

ok thanks martin

Great post, this is something I always keep an eye on, brings home the benefits of longer term testing. If you rely on goals to win in your strategy and you know you're profitable when goals are at usual levels, then just hang in there, because once goals hit 3+ a game then you'll likely benefit hugely.

@Luke-Edward-Walker I sorted it this morning, let me know if you didn't get the email from me 🙂

@Ian-Thompson Always gentle with everybody here matey, this is a safe place.

When it comes to these I always played the day and not the trade, so what I mean by that is that I would research the games for that day and then weigh up the other opportunities against these if these games were in my view a better opportunity then I would stick with them, if not then I would take the losses as usually it was minimal.