@Mark-Burrows That's a great start! What odds ranges are you betting in and what is your current strike rate within those ranges? Only reason I ask is because goals have been free-flowing in most of my own strategies/leagues during December, which probably explains the exceptional performance of your LTD strategy. Just be wary of the inevitable downturn and don't go upping your stakes too soon because you've think you've cracked it; you'll only get stung! Martin is right in saying that your "target" is very ambitious, but that's not necessarily a bad thing, just make sure your expectations haven't been set too high after this very promising start.

Lay Under 1.5:

520921b4-de76-437d-8578-f95dd7898479-image.png

Scoured the statistics of each and every game from top to bottom. Removed a few on this basis that may have me kicking myself if they lose. If 1/2 or god forbid 3 of these lose I'll have to hold my hands up and say I've no idea why. Bad day and go again on the same basis.

@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Alastair-Todd quite interesting that 'match me' anyone been using it?

Not me, that's for sure. It always seems to want to give you a lower back price than you can get if you wait.

@allan-poulsen Hi Allan, I've been running a pre match set & forget strategy here for under 2.5 goals which is delivering +22pts over 138 trades so far.

under 2.5.txt

@james-everard wowser! that late goal strategy has been immense

@allan-poulsen these are member strategies that have been shared with us over the years, not being tracked manually as it would be impossible to track (thousands of inplay data points would need to be tracked live per week manually), though when we have the next big software update (which isn't far off) it will be possible to run them through and find out.

@Adam said in TODAYS BUDGET AND NEW TAXES:

It seems horse racing won't be hit quite as hard, but only because the Horserace Betting Levy already exists:

A new rate of General Betting Duty will be introduced for general bets made remotely (for example online) from 1 April 2027. The remote rate of 25% will apply to all remote betting other than remote bets on UK horseracing which will remain unchanged, in line with land based betting, in recognition that operators contribute 10% towards the statutory Horserace Betting Levy, resulting in an existing de-facto 25% rate for bets on UK horse races

There will be indirect effects though - less sponsorship from bookies, less marketing, fewer bonuses etc.

Casinos are being hit the hardest:

The new duty rate of 40% will apply for accounting periods that begin on or after 1 April 2026 and will be chargeable on profits on remote gaming from that date onwards.

But don't worry, you can avoid remote betting by having a weekend away and betting at the venue instead. Then you just have to pay an extra 3p per mile for driving your EV there and a tourism tax on your Airbnb or hotel.

If you're lucky enough to get a win, make sure you immediately spend it and don't put it in your bank account, or you'll pay an extra 2% tax on any savings you have!

This government will probably tax us for oxygen intake in the next budget!

ahahaha yes! @Darran-Padley

Relish is good though!

@Darran-Padley there's no definitive wrong or right way to trade or bet these games but the best way to find out is to forward test them, using small stakes - I'd stick to one approach for say a couple hundred results and see what you find. You can look to re-assess and adjust your approach after you have a fair idea of how it all works and whether or not it suits you (most important factor of all).

@Shannon-Townsend good idea to trade with no distractions, not surprised it's gone well doing that!

@Sam-roberts made a megathread a while back if you want to run the numbers on these: https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/3531/horse-racing-strategies-megathread/2

@Anthony-Daynes Perfect, haven't spoke with Mike in a long while I remember when he first started out in this world... god I've been around this world too long!

@Alex-Rendell Thank you

@Raj-Kukadia Im not sure what you are asking me here buddy?

@Alex-Rendell said in Hi!:

@Alessandro-Imbrescia I personally think it matters less what you actually do in terms of staying in or trading out; the most important thing for me is staying consistent and adopting the same approach during every single trade.

priceless advice!

@Lee-Greener might be worth contacting BFBOT customer service and seeing what changed on the new version?

@Martin Great, thanks

@Alex-Ionică to get 400 selections a month on a strategy can be difficult, I mean how many matches a day are likely to be value for any given strategy? Maybe 5-10? Then you would have to find them all! It's easier to do this around multiple strategies.

@Patrik-Mellqvist An excellent read.

@LATUNER-Patrick Thank you!