Update for October which was a poor month, i was hoping that i could start trading a few strategies but that has been put on hold. I am now more leaning to the lightworkssoftware strategies that have been back tested and seem to be having relevant decent profit from the results.
Results below( from this software paper testing only using £10 liabilty or back)

System 1 - Back 1-0 FT cs version Q
Trades 19,won 1, lost 18, s/rate 5.26%, Lost £123.16
Total trades since Feb26- Trades 91, won 15,lost 76, s/rate 16.48% profit £196.88

System 2- Lay Under 2.5 h1 goals ( odds 1.40 lay or below)
October trades 144, won 21, lost 123, lost £339.12
Trades since Jan26- Trades 621, won 109, lost 512, s/r 16.34% Profit £100.45

System 3- BTTS AT HT IF O-0 ( ODDS 3.0+)
October 26- Trades 58, won 16, lost 42,s/rate 27.59% Lost £19.67
Total Since Jan26- Trades 513, won 162, lost 351, s/rate 31.58% Profit £604.04

System 4- Back 2-1 FT CS Version A
October 26- Trades 74, won 8, lost 66, s/rate 10.81% Lost £17.12
Total Trades since July26- Trades 154, won 23, lost 131, s/r 14.93% Profit £649.80

System 5- Back 1-1 FT CS VER B ( Similar league pos+ h2h 20%+)
October 26- Trades 65, won 7, lost 58, s/r 10.70% Lost £99.80
Trades since Nov25- Trades 519, won 75, lost 444, s/rate 14.45% Profit £169.90

System 6- Back the Draw at K/O Version W
October 26 - Trades 24, won 5, lost 18 , s/r 25% lost £10.00
Total trades since Feb26- Trades 188, won 49,lost 139, s/rate 26.06% profit £144.36

System 7 - Injury Time goal last 10 matches
October 26, trades 10, won 2, lost 8 , s/r 20% lost £4.58
Total trades since Jan25- Trades 325, win 86,lost 239, s/rate 26.46% profit £746.02

System 8, BACK THE DRAW FOR THE 1ST HALF ( odds 2.0+)
October 26- Trades 18, won 11, lost 7, s/rate 61.11% profit £65.43
Trades since March 26- Trades 113, won 59,lost 54, s/rate 52.21% profit £185.74

So at a stumbling block this month , not prepared to put any money on any of the above strategies , maybe the back the draw 1st half i may start next month with minimal stakes. But i am more interested and think that the lightworks strategy bunker is the way forward which i am building and testing loads of strategies on their and it seems much more profitable when you can filter tightly.
So hopefully something to start next month with real money

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

Lay Under 1.5/Under 2.5:

fd80b94b-bea1-46ec-bdab-1824a1506133-image.png

A great start to the new month. Reached a new high on over 2.5.

Over 1.5 is on a slow recovery. Had a bit of a wobble but I think most important thing is stay consistent now unless I see anything that screams NO!! at me

@Ryan @Martin @Adam

I want to say Thanks for the time.
I use Sportmarket and Betfair clone.

I just want to say one thing to Ryan.
One metod is the second best advise.
The best advice ever is to use TRY & ERROR with an trading idea - spreadsheet - make the Journey collecting stats - with the lesson that is not allesys what You expected that creates +EV.

Now when i feel i master the most angels and have my own methods with +EV i decide to blogg about my own Journey.

Find anoter talorid set up that match me.
So Happy winnings to You all and keep up the good work.

V

@Adam thanks so much for the reply Adam, congratulations on the stunning new software.

@Richard-Futter easy money well done!

@Robert-Horton Possibly, I'm not sure if they have an integration for TPD. You may need to ask BFBM.

@Everyone

Would you guys freaking hate it if we moved the forum to discord?

Tennis Trading for a 10-Year-Old Part 7: The Complete Trading Plan

Now let's put everything together.

Imagine you are learning to ride a bicycle.

You don't try tricks on day one.

You learn the basics first.

The article says the same thing.

Step 1

Choose a good match.

Look for:

✓ Similar skill levels

✓ Competitive match

✓ Good liquidity

✓ Chance of service breaks

Avoid:

✗ Huge favourites

✗ Very low odds favourites

✗ Poor liquidity

Step 2

Pick Only 2 or 3 Entry Points

Do not trade every score.

The article specifically recommends focusing on a few situations.

Examples:

15-15

15-30

0-30

Learn those first.

Become comfortable.

Master them.

Step 3

Enter The Trade

Place your back or lay position.

Before the next point starts.

Now wait.

Step 4

Watch The Next Point

This is important.

You are not predicting the whole match.

You are mostly trading the next point.

If the point goes your way:

Great.

Take profit.

Or continue if the next score creates another strong setup.

Step 5

Cut Losses Quickly

This is where beginners struggle.

The article repeats this idea many times.

If the point goes against you:

Exit.

Take the small loss.

Move on.

Do not hope.

Do not pray.

Do not argue with the market.

Just exit.

Step 6

Hedge

After the trade finishes:

Green up.

Lock in profit.

Reset.

Look for the next opportunity.

The Biggest Mistake Beginners Make

Beginners often think:

"I need to be right every time."

Wrong.

Professional traders know they will lose many trades.

The goal is:

Lose small.

Win bigger.

Repeat.

The Entire Strategy In One Paragraph

Find score situations where a break of serve might happen.

Enter trades where the possible profit is larger than the possible loss.

If the next point goes against you, exit immediately.

If it goes your way, take profit or continue when the next score creates even more pressure.

Repeat this process many times during the match while protecting your money with small losses and disciplined exits.

That is the entire strategy explained as simply as possible.

I have this problem with the French Open - no odds data in the stats

@John-Folan Vader is back!

six winnings in a row - WOPS

Cheers

Daily Recap - Sunday 10 May 2026

Netherlands Eredivisie
Ajax v Utrecht
❌ Draw - lost | 4.30
❌ FH Over 1.5 - lost

Netherlands Eredivisie
Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar
✅ Draw - won | 3.95
❌ FH Over 1.5 - lost

Netherlands Eredivisie
Groningen v Nijmegen
❌ Draw - lost | 3.80

Netherlands Eredivisie
Telstar v Heracles
❌ FH Over 1.5 - lost

Netherlands Eredivisie
Twente v Sparta Rotterdam
❌ FH Over 1.5 - lost

Germany Bundesliga
FC Koln v Heidenheim
❌ Draw - lost | 4.20

Germany 3. Liga
Hoffenheim II v Saarbrucken
❌ Draw - lost | 4.40
✅ FH Over 1.5 - won

Sounds a little like Kelly staking, where your stake is based on your edge over the market odds. The bigger your edge, the bigger your stake.

Great staking plan as long as you're confident about your "true" odds for a selection.

Formula is:

f = (((b-1)*p) – (1-p)) / (b-1)

Where:

f = fraction of your bank roll to stake b = current available betting odds for selection p = true probability of winning

E.g. you have a bank of £1000. Current odds for your selection are 4.0 and you've calculated the true probability as 30%. Your calculation is therefore:

f = (((4-1) * 0.3) - (1-0.3)) / (4-1) f = 0.0667 stake = 0.0667 * 1000 = £66.70

@Ryan I would have cashed out when the underdog scored for a very small loss and that would have meant a profitable day 🙂

My new manta is "protect you bank" which is helping with discipline.

@Chris-King very interested in your selection filters. So what angle do you trade using your filters. I can see that you are identifying a strong underdog. Are you looking to back the dog pre match and hope they make a fast start and win the 1st set?

@Simon-Hardy-0:

To find the higher ranked player, filter on:
Player -> Total -> Rank -> less than -> Total for opposition

The problem is you can't then do "price for this player" unfortunately. You can filter on the BF prices via Betfair -> Odds but only referencing specific selections.

If you have the "BF Prices" tab open in the main view, filter on the rank as above and then click each match in the filter results table, you should be able to narrow it down pretty quick.

Cheers fella

Not updated for a while but LTD still going in right direction just slow due to kids and life in general meaning i am busy when most trades are happening but the ones i catch seem to be generating small profit.

have just started (paper) trading half dobs on the horse racing and if this works then that would be amazing as i am buy my computer all day for these... we will see.

@Lee-Greener No worries, we'll disable the non-scope version of that strategy rule in a future update (like we do with "horse position") as it's literally impossible to use to backtest an upcoming race!

@Lukáš-Bíňovský what's the multigoal strategy?