@Adam thanks very helpful
It just takes soooo long to sort a strat. I had a over 1.5 that I paper tested for about 3 months and had an almost 85% strike rate. Then when I went to start using it I realised the odds for a good chunk of my results where really low π
I changed it to record the odds over 0.5, 1.5 & 2.5 but think I accidentally modified as the strike rate dropped ππ
So got a few variations of it now but not quite hitting the 85% again. I also record a few other strats too. Martins lay over 3.5 and lay away among them. But nothing is really setting the world alight.
I created a little web app to import the all results csv from the software and I enter the scores to keep so I can easily follow lots of strats (the goal times ares stores against the match I'd not the start) but still!! Nothing to right home about. πππ
So... Does any have some more-or-less strats that work they be willing to share. I feel I want to see what things people are using to build there's for ideas to modify mine.
Starting again means waiting 3 or so months to realise if you have something or nothing.
@Martin Ive almost got 3 months of data on the lay away strat i have been researching everygame in the morning on the shortlist and getting rid of any that dont meet any of my criteria i currently have 87 games 76 of them won and 11 lost odds between 3.7 and 5.8 so decently profitable but my question is now some leagues are almost hitting last 6 games in season how do i find the promotions and relegations? I saw its researched on wikipedia? Does anyone have some more information please? Can't seem to find it? Thanks
@Patrick-Murphy please give some examples as I asked for earlier when I replied to your email, without them it's impossible to investigate. thanks
19.00 Kempton
Just Rita looks a decent lay tonight
cant see it troubling Valtellina on known form needs to improve
and why its now favourite is totally beyond me
Laying to liability Win and laying place
Exocet missile for you guys now get on lol
@ross-love Really interesting read this, I love it when members make blogs / threads like this. Holds them to account and gives them an outlet to explain their thoughts!
It also allows others to read it and get motivated by it π
@Simon-Hardy interesting, not tried this but keep me updated with how you get on!
@Martin Hi, thanks yes i think Iβll have to do this as you say to find out. I track the trades so in time should be able to.
I think getting out of a losing trade with the smallest loss could be something i focus more on rather than staying in for slightly greater wins. Kind of the same thing but the opposite.
So while the P&L isn't great, mentally another good week. Have decided for the football, I seem to be better at finding value bets so will follow that philosophy for now rather than using specific strategies.
I have also created a framework for my manual horse bets in the horse racing software and found what I do should be profitable over the long term which is reassuring even if it can't be automated (think it might be but will take more research).
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Sun 14/04/2024 Selections.
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Thanks, Adam, that's really useful to know π it has been bugging me.
@Wayne-Thomas @Martin they have nailed it. Itβs really good. Got its own story which is good. Always thought it was a shame they ruined fallout 76. Would love a fallout 5
@Barry-Dewar Why do you think that is?
Very much interested in this!
@Zain-dharamshi-0 here is a video I made kind of a tutorial on a FHG strategy I made take a look:
@Danny-Bridges Actually I was wrong about it being a backwards compatibility issue.
It's actually being caused by a bug when you include "draw bias" in the individual trades results columns.
I'll fix this today but for now, just exclude that column in your results π
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