MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY
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Thought it was time for me to follow in the footsteps of others and start my own personal trading blog to help me track where i am going right or wrong ,and hopefully have some feedback from you guys regards to any improvements i can make.
I have had some personally issues i have been dealing with over the last couple of months but feel in a much better place now. During this period it has allowed me to try to change my gambling habits and i feel much more controlled now. So now is the time for me to be try and be part again of this fantastic forum and bounce ideas off each other again.
I have been trading the last couple of weeks on greyhound racing ( i know not everyone's cup of tea) in the evening which so far on the strategy i am working on seems to be paying dividends for the last 2 weeks i have been doing the system.
I have also a few football strategies i am working on , the best i feel will be ltd , back over 1.5 goals at ht and the late goal strategies. These three football systems i believe with a few tweaks here and there will be good systems.
The way i trade now is i don't lay odds above 3.0 anything above effects my mindset . On the ltd i think i may need some advice please i was going in around the 60min mark when odds are below 2.38 and then split staking the lays on 70 and 85mins . What i am finding though especially yesterday that there are a lot of goal scored between 45-60mins . When people trade the ltd do they do 100% stake at half time irrespective of the odds and if so what is the max odds they go for or do you split stake ? It is great the system when you get a 88th min winner but will the matches that have goal between 45-60mins profits outweigh this ? -
Hi all update for March , like i have mentioned i am just paper trading loads of systems at the moment in the hope that i can find some profitable strategies from what i am collating data from. Here are the systems so far that look to have potential, all based on £10 stakes.
System 1 - Back home at k/o odds 3.0-3.50
March 26- trades 22 , won 8 , lost 14 , s/rate 36.36% profit £34.44
Total results since august trades 125, won 49, lost 76 , s/rate 37.98% profit £302.23System 2- Lay under 2.5 h1 goals ( 1.40 odds below)
March 26 - Trades 40, won 7, lost 33, s/rate 17.50%, profit £69.27
Total trades since January 26- Trades 114, Won 21, Lost 93, s/rate 18.42% profit £233.53System 3 - Back 1-0 FT cs version q
March 26 - Trades 12, won 4 , lost 8 , s/rate 33.33% profit £151.28
Total Trades since February , trade 14, won 4 ,lost 10, s/rate 28.57% profit £131.28System 4 - Back Draw at k/o Version W
March 26, Trades 30, won 5, lost 25, s/rate 16.66% profit £106.43
Total trades since Feb - Trades 45, won 9, lost 36, s/rate 20% profit £114.52System 5- Back over 1.5 first half goals ( odds 2.0+) revised to not include h2h
Started system in March - Trades 13, won 6, lost 7 , s/rate 46.15% profit £27.51System 6 - Back over 1.5 H2 goals odds 2.0+ check h2h
March 26- Trades 4, won 2, lost 2, s/rate 50% profit £0.77p
Total trades since January 26- Trades 29, won 16, lost 13, s/rate 55.17% profit £40.51System 7 - Back draw for 1st half odds 2.0 +
Started in March - Trades 11, won 6, lost 5 , s/rate 54.54% profit £10.95System 8 - Injury time goal version B( last 5 matches)
March 26- Trades 45, won 16, lost 29, s/rate 35.55% profit £313.36
Total trades since Feb26, Trades 87, won 27, lost 60, profit £362.76System 9- BTTS AT HT IF 0-0 ( Odds 3.0+)
March 26, Trades 80, won 26, lost 54, s/rate 32.50% profit £99.94
Trades since January 210, won 71, lost 139, s/rate 33.81% profit £408.30System 10 - Back over 2.5 goals ft version B( 2.0+ odds check h2h)
March 26- trades 205, won 95, lost 110, s/rate 46.34% profit £53.75
Total trades since November 25, Trades 886, won 425, lost 461, s/r 47.97% profit £624.56So plenty of potential in these systems and i ones that havn't been profitable on will tighten the filters and then show the results if they improve
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Hi all, update for January. I have had an unexpected issue with my car and a holiday to pay for so had to withdraw my bank so i havn't traded this month, i have been recording the results and also looking at other systems i have been paper trading. I will probably start again in March with a £200 bank and build it up again from there hopefully.
Good job i didn't trade as the BTTS i was going to implement would have lost over £200 , and the injury time goal would have lost just over £200 and the only system was good was the new back the home team which would have brought back the deficit as would have won nearly £250.
On the other paper trading systems some very promising early positives in a BTTS at HT if 0-0 and Laying Under 0.5 Half 2 goals will update soon -
Afternoon All, update for December. Unfortunately from a brilliant November , December was a losing month. With the injury time goal it is very much swings and round abouts either a small loss or huge profit. The Back the draw for half time strategy had a 4 monthly loss on a row, so i will go back and amend the filter slightly and paper trade to see if this improves.
The trading bank at the start of December was £2611.77 with 1% liability stakes of £26.11System 1 - Back the Draw for 1st half (odds 2.0-2.30) check h2h 50% plus
Trades 18
Won 7
Lost 11
S/rate 38.88%
Lost £80.19System 2- Injury time goal last 5 matches ( enter 90mins laying under goals market 1.30 below)
Trades 38
Won 7
Lost 31
S/Rate 18.42%
Lost £20.01So the new trading bank has been reduced to £2511.57 , new 1% liability stakes of £25.11.
I have mentioned before, i have been paper trading lots of other systems of which one i am going to start implementing this month .
I am going to backing Home team at k/o odds 3.0-3.50 ,I have been testing for a while i don't have many matches per month but overall i have a recorded data for 66 trades , won 24,lost 42, s/rate 36.36% and based on £10 tests i would be up £107.28. -
@james-everard wowser! that late goal strategy has been immense
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Evening all , update for November , after a poor 1st week and then the international break slowed trading down , i recovered excellently for the second half of the month
The back the draw for 1st half made a small loss overall , which was the 3rd month in a row of losses but the previous two months before i started using money was very profitable so i will carry on for one more month with this system.
The injury time goal strategy had the best returns for a month to date so was really pleased with this.System 1 - BACK THE DRAW FOR THE 1ST HALF(2.0-2.30 ODDS) CHECK H2H 50% PLUS
TRADES 16
WON 6
LOST 10
S/RATE 37.50%
LOST £13.86SYSTEM 2- INJURY TIME GOAL LAST 5 MATCHES (ENTER 90MINS ODDS 1.30 BELOW ON LAYING UNDER NEXT GOAL MARKET)
TRADES 51
WON 18
LOST 33
S/RATE 35.29%
PROFIT £612.86Like i have mentioned before, i have been paper trading loads of other systems for the last few months, some i only recently started tracking so will need another couple of months of data and a couple one more month.
Anyway my new trading bank for Decmeber is £2611.77 and the new 1% liability stakes will be £26.11
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@james-everard brilliant to hear!
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@Alessandro-Imbrescia said in MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY:
@james-everard
Hi James,
thanks a lot for sharing your strategy with me, I really appreciate it. I’m going to test it straight away.After a poor start to the month , i Had superb weekend on the injury time goal filter will update Tomorrow evening or Monday once i finish off my recording for November
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@Alessandro-Imbrescia said in MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY:
@james-everard
Hi James,
thanks a lot for sharing your strategy with me, I really appreciate it. I’m going to test it straight away.If i was you i would paper trade for a month just to record the results so you can build confidence in the strategy
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@james-everard
Hi James,
thanks a lot for sharing your strategy with me, I really appreciate it. I’m going to test it straight away. -
@Alessandro-Imbrescia said in MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY:
Hi James.
I’ve been trading using the LTD strategy up until now, but after losing my weekly profits during the Champions League matches, I’ve decided to take a step back and study other approaches to improve my method.
I saw that you’re using the “Goal in Injury Time – Version B” strategy (entering around the 90th minute or when odds drop below 1.30).
It really caught my attention — do you have any tips or key points to keep in mind when applying it?Thanks a lot in advance, and congrats on the solid work you’re doing!
hi Alessandro, firstly my trading is purely based on stats from this site so i don't trade cup matches or internationals as they won't be found on the filters.
I purely use the following filter for my injury time goal strategy it is a very basic filter but has been the only long lasting strategy that has worked month on monthOverall matches played 5 or more
Home goals for 91+ + away goals for 91+greater or equal to 3
Overall goals 91+ Greater or equal to 5
Restrict to current season
Exclude play offs
Scope last 5 matches -
@Alessandro-Imbrescia may be worth just trading league games, more relevant data I find, I'm extremely careful with cup matches.
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Hi James.
I’ve been trading using the LTD strategy up until now, but after losing my weekly profits during the Champions League matches, I’ve decided to take a step back and study other approaches to improve my method.
I saw that you’re using the “Goal in Injury Time – Version B” strategy (entering around the 90th minute or when odds drop below 1.30).
It really caught my attention — do you have any tips or key points to keep in mind when applying it?Thanks a lot in advance, and congrats on the solid work you’re doing!
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Hi update for October, down on both strategies but nothing to concern me too much. Only the second month with loses on the injury time goal system and backing the draw i am giving another month after two consecutive losing months
System 1- BACK DRAW FOR 1ST HALF CHECK H2H 50%+ ODDS 2.0-2.30
TRADES 27
WON 12
LOST 15
S/RATE 44.44%
LOST £36.72System 2
INJURY TIME GOAL LAST 5 MATCHES ODDS 1.30 BELOW ( LAY UNDER NEXT GOALS MARKET)
TRADES 39
WON 8
LOST 31
S/RATE 20.51%
LOST £19.74New trading bank has been reduced to £2012.95, new liability stakes of £20.12
Still testing various other strategies 2 or 3 looking promising after 3 months
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@james-everard blimey that's brilliant!
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@Martin said in MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY:
@james-everard injury time one did well! has that been a good performer in general?
Hi Martin , this is my main strategy that has performed month on month ( apart from 1 poor month)
Trades 884
won 241
lost 643
S/rate 27.26%
Profit £2197.02 -
@james-everard injury time one did well! has that been a good performer in general?
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Evening all, update for September.
System 1- Lay home at k/o odds 5.0-7.0 check h2h
Trades 11
won 9
lost 2
s/rate 81.82%
lost £3.92System 2 - Lay under 2.5 Half 2 goals (odds 1.30 below)
Trades 7
Won 0
Lost 7
S/Rate 0%
Lost £145.67System 3- Lay Under 2.5 Half 1 goals (odds 1.30 below)
Trades 16
Won 2
Lost 14
S/Rate 12.50%
Lost £138.36System 4 - Injury Time goal Version B( Enter 90mins or when odds 1.30 below)
Trades 34
Won 11
Lost 23
S/Rate 32.35%
Profit £294.97System 5- Back Draw for 1st Half( Odds 2.0-2.30) Check h2h 50% plus
Trades 20
Won 9
Lost 11
S/rate 45%
Lost £15.39As mentioned half way through the month i was having a poor month, so much so i will be back paper trading the Laying under 2.5 1st half and second half strategies. I rushed into trading these systems after 3 months of data, so i will carry on testing.
Laying the home side at k/o i was giving 1 more month, and another small loss that is now 5 losses from the last 6 months so i have decided to scrap this system as you need such a high strike rate to make any money
So i will be trading the back the draw for the 1st half and the injury time system which is proving a very valuable system.
My new trading bank is £2069.41 and new liability stakes of £20.69 -
@Shannon-Townsend Very impressive but having a mare this month , hopefully just a blip and the winter leagues will start coming up on my filters very soon i can get back to being profitable
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@james-everard really impressive figures... Good work.
