MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY
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Thought it was time for me to follow in the footsteps of others and start my own personal trading blog to help me track where i am going right or wrong ,and hopefully have some feedback from you guys regards to any improvements i can make.
I have had some personally issues i have been dealing with over the last couple of months but feel in a much better place now. During this period it has allowed me to try to change my gambling habits and i feel much more controlled now. So now is the time for me to be try and be part again of this fantastic forum and bounce ideas off each other again.
I have been trading the last couple of weeks on greyhound racing ( i know not everyone's cup of tea) in the evening which so far on the strategy i am working on seems to be paying dividends for the last 2 weeks i have been doing the system.
I have also a few football strategies i am working on , the best i feel will be ltd , back over 1.5 goals at ht and the late goal strategies. These three football systems i believe with a few tweaks here and there will be good systems.
The way i trade now is i don't lay odds above 3.0 anything above effects my mindset . On the ltd i think i may need some advice please i was going in around the 60min mark when odds are below 2.38 and then split staking the lays on 70 and 85mins . What i am finding though especially yesterday that there are a lot of goal scored between 45-60mins . When people trade the ltd do they do 100% stake at half time irrespective of the odds and if so what is the max odds they go for or do you split stake ? It is great the system when you get a 88th min winner but will the matches that have goal between 45-60mins profits outweigh this ? -
@james-everard injury time one did well! has that been a good performer in general?
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Evening all, update for September.
System 1- Lay home at k/o odds 5.0-7.0 check h2h
Trades 11
won 9
lost 2
s/rate 81.82%
lost £3.92System 2 - Lay under 2.5 Half 2 goals (odds 1.30 below)
Trades 7
Won 0
Lost 7
S/Rate 0%
Lost £145.67System 3- Lay Under 2.5 Half 1 goals (odds 1.30 below)
Trades 16
Won 2
Lost 14
S/Rate 12.50%
Lost £138.36System 4 - Injury Time goal Version B( Enter 90mins or when odds 1.30 below)
Trades 34
Won 11
Lost 23
S/Rate 32.35%
Profit £294.97System 5- Back Draw for 1st Half( Odds 2.0-2.30) Check h2h 50% plus
Trades 20
Won 9
Lost 11
S/rate 45%
Lost £15.39As mentioned half way through the month i was having a poor month, so much so i will be back paper trading the Laying under 2.5 1st half and second half strategies. I rushed into trading these systems after 3 months of data, so i will carry on testing.
Laying the home side at k/o i was giving 1 more month, and another small loss that is now 5 losses from the last 6 months so i have decided to scrap this system as you need such a high strike rate to make any money
So i will be trading the back the draw for the 1st half and the injury time system which is proving a very valuable system.
My new trading bank is £2069.41 and new liability stakes of £20.69 -
@Shannon-Townsend Very impressive but having a mare this month , hopefully just a blip and the winter leagues will start coming up on my filters very soon i can get back to being profitable
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@james-everard really impressive figures... Good work.
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@Martin said in MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY:
@james-everard I'm not able to access the link in your signature.
Thanks for the update!
Great results by the way, what I wanted to check was the overall profit on the strategies.
HI Martin, sorry i was a while in coming back to you, it took longer than anticipated.
This is what i have recorded for each strategy i am currently trading profit is based off obviously increasing the stakes or decreasing each month to 1% of my bank.
INJURY TIME GOAL ( ENTERING ON 90MINS ODDS 1.26 or Below)
TRADES 850
WON 230
LOST 620
S/RATE 27.06%
PROFIT £1902.05LAY UNDER 2.5 HALF 2 GOALS (1.30 ODDS OR BELOW)
TRADES 70
WON 21
LOST 49
S/RATE 30%
PROFIT £444.12LAY HOME AT K/O ODDS 5.0-7.0
TRADES 309
WON 261
LOST 48
S/RATE 84.47%
PROFIT £153.77LAY UNDER 2.5 HALF 1 GOALS (1.30 ODDS BELOW)
TRADES 62
WON 14
LOST 48
S/RATE 22.58%
PROFIT £132.55So far this month i have had a bad start hopefully things pick up though
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@james-everard don't put yourself out mate, glad it's going well!
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@Martin said in MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY:
@james-everard I'm not able to access the link in your signature.
Thanks for the update!
Great results by the way, what I wanted to check was the overall profit on the strategies.
Hi Martin, i set up my link a couple of years ago when i started recording stats then it went wrong and couldn't update my results any more. I am doing the old git way of paper recording the results, i can go through the strategies i am trading as i have this info saved for each months results, could take a while leave it with me mate
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@james-everard I'm not able to access the link in your signature.
Thanks for the update!
Great results by the way, what I wanted to check was the overall profit on the strategies.
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Also i will be adding another stategy to my portfolio for August , which is backing the draw for 1st half odds 2.0-2.30 ,checking the h2h.
Back to paper trading the back over 1.5 first half goals system -
Afternoon all, a rather mixed bag for August but still slightly up. These things happen especially with the strategies i am trading. Update for August
System 1- Lay under 2.5 half 1 goals (odds 1.30 below)
Trades 12
won 0
Lost 12
s/rate 0%
Lost £243.36Rather annoying above results after making £120.03, £139.22 and £122.30 the previous 3 months
System 2- Back over 1.5 First half goals odds 2.42+ check h2h
Trades 26
won 8
lost 18
s/rate 30.77%
Lost £112.45Above system i was giving this month for things to turn around after 3 months of consecutive losses so this is now going back to paper trading and tightening the filter slightly.
System 3 - Lay Home at kick off (5.0-7.0 odds)
Trades 13
won 12
lost 1
s/rate 92.31%
Profit £18.82Above i was also giving another month after losing money on the previous 3 months so will carry on trading this
System 4- Lay under 2.5 Half 2 goals( odds 1.30 below)
Trades 9
Won 3
Lost 6
s/rate 33.33%
Profit £97.48System 5 - Injury Time goal version b - last 5 matches bases
Trades 41
won 9
lost 32
S/rate 21.95%
Profit £220.65So new bank is £2080.54 , new liabilty stakes of £20.81
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Afternoon all, update for July
System 1- BACK OVER 1.5 FH GOALS 2.42+ CHECK H2H
Trades 18
Won 6
Lost 12
s/rate 33.33%
Lost £17.17System 2- Lay home at k/o 5.0-7.0 ( check h2h)
Trades 9
won 7
lost 2
s/rate 77.78%
Lost £9.03System 3- Lay Under 2.5 half 1 goals ( 1.30 below)
Trades 22
Won 5
Lost 17
S/rate 22.72%
Profit £122.30System 4 - Injury Time version b- Last 5 matches
Trades 25
Won 8
Lost 17
S/rate 32%
Profit £292.21System 5- Lay under 2.5 half 2 goals ( 1.30 below)
Trades 3
won 2
lost 1
s/rate 66.67%
Profit £105.07So overall a very good month apart from the 1st two strategies . The first two systems are i have lost money each of the last 3 months i will give it one more month on both of these systems as overall still up. The other strategies going great so my new trading bank for August is £2027.84, and my 1% liability stakes will be £20.28
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Afternoon all , update for June, based on £15.56 labiality stakes
System 1 - Injury Time goal version B- Based on last 5 matches overall for each team
Trades 8
won 0
lost 8
s/rate 0%
lost £124.48System 2- Back over 1.5 Half 1 goals (check h2h) odds 2.42 plus
Trades 8
Won 3
lost 5
s/rate 37.5%
lost £7.05System 3- Lay under 2.5 half 2 goals ( odds 1.30 below)
Trades 7
won 1
lost 6
s/rate 14.28%
Lost £20.73System 4 - Lay home side at k/o ( 5.0-7.0 odds) check h2h and elo
Trades 3
won 2
lost 1
s/rate 33.33%
lost £9.13System 5- Lay under 2.5 half 1 goals odds under 1.30
Trades 11
Won 4
lost 7
s/rate 36.36%
Profit £139.22New trading bank for July is £1534.46 , new 1% liability stakes will be £15.34
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@Martin said in MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY:
@james-everard you planning to trade the summer leagues? Good work by the way, shows the value of leaving end of season games!
Hi Martin yes i am trading the summer leagues , just in the last week or so matches have come up on my filters. I will be trading the Swedish,Finish , Norwegian, Lithuanian, south korea , japan and some South American leagues( minus Colombia and Veneuzuala as they have nearly completed their seasons.
I took your advice a while ago regarding not trading leagues that have nearly finished, just have 3 or 4 weeks of little matches similarly to the end of August/September -
@james-everard you planning to trade the summer leagues? Good work by the way, shows the value of leaving end of season games!
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Afternoon all, update for May. Still profitable just , but not much to trade for May with my criteria of not trading the last 5 matches of the season and not enough matches played on some of my filters on the summer leagues
System 1- Back Over 1.5 First half goals - No trades
System 2 - Lay Home at K/o 5.0-7.0 odds check h2h
Trades 2
Won 1
lost 1
s/rate 50%
Lost £12.24System 3 - Injury Time goal last 5 matches
Trades 18
Won 3
lost 15
s/rate 16.67%
Lost £56.68System 4 - Lay Under 2.5 half 1 goals( odds 1.30 below)
Trades 11
Won 4
lost 7
s/rate 36.36%
Profit £120.03System 5- Lay Under 2.5 Half 2 goals (odds 1.30 below) - No trades
Starting bank was £1505.53 , new trading bank for June is £1556.64, new liability stakes £15.56
Still paper trading various systems , one of which i am going to start trading in June, which is a back 1-1 ft cs strategy, no many matches come up for this system but based on 3 months of testing using £10 stakes , i would have made £336.64 profit.
One more month of testing backing aos for Ht which is looking good as well -
Rather late update for April. As decided i have reverted back to paper trading on some of the systems below are the ones i traded in April based on £12.82 liability stakes (Starting bank £1282.32)
System 1 - Lay Home at K/O (5.0-7.0)check h2h
Trades 10
Won 8
Lost 2
S/rate 80%
Lost £4.96System 2 - Lay Under 2.5 Half 1 goals( Odds 1.30 below)
Trades 6
won 2
lost 4
s/rate 33.33%
Profit £65.71System 3 - Back Over 1.5 FH Goals (odds 2.42+check h2h)
Trades 8
Won 2
Lost 6
S/rate 25%
Lost £42.66System 4- Injury Time Goal version B( Ent 90mins, last 5 matches based)
Trades 22
Won 6
Lost 16
S/rate 27.27%
profit £205.12New trading bank is £1505.53 ( New liabilty stakes based on 1% will be £15.05).
It has slowed down a lot for April not many leagues to trade now the winter season is closing. Have the Egypt, Japanese , Korean and a couple of South American leagues for the next month then the Scandinavian filters should start picking up matches -
Evening all an update for April. A very poor month indeed so much so i will be cutting back on some of the systems to paper trade these instead for a while
System 1 -Back under 1.5 goals ft version D (3-0-3.55 Odds) check h2h
Trades 18
won 5
lost 13
s/rate 27.78%
Lost £75.87System 2- Back draw at k/o version M(H2H Based)3.80-4.50 odds, check elo and league positions
Trades 29
won 6
lost 23%
s/rate 20.69%
Lost £192.15System 3
Back under 2.5 goals Ft (odds 2.0+)check h2h
Trades 66
won 29
lost 37
s/rate 43.94%
lost £156.20System 4 - Lay home at k/o 5.0-6.0 (check h2h)
Trades 20
won 17
lost 3
s/rate 85%
Lost £0.40pSystem 5- Lay Under 2.5 goals H2 Goals( Odds 1.30 below at h/t)
Trades 16
Won 2
lost 14
s/rate 12.50%
Lost £89.46System 6- Back over 1.5 FH Goals (odds 2.42+) check h2h
Trades 31
Won 13
Lost 18
s/rate 41.93%
Profit £34.12So a big loss, my biggest loss in trading for a couple of years. With the end of season now approaching for the winter leagues most i won't be trading now anyway. My rules are once teams have 5 games left of the season i stop trading these matches.
Two systems i will continue this month will be laying the home side and backing over 1.5 first half goals, the others back to paper trading along with various other systems i am recording data on.
Dust myself down and come back refreshed, new bank has been reduced from £1728.16 down to £1282.32, new 1% liability stakes of £12.82 -
@james-everard that is fantastic! Well done mate
