Football Trading

424 Topics 87.0k Posts
  • Strategy advice needed

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    7 Posts
    465 Views

    @matt-wood nice one mate, from there you can correlate with the odds to find the "sweet spot", so on the new sheet you could also add what each score line has done p/l wise also, thats why its good you have also tracked the odds at the time so you can get the actual p/l and strike rates needed.

  • 1 Votes
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    I'll tag @Ryan-Carruthers to give you some more information on this strategy as it is one of his. He is on paternity leave at the moment but should be back in the next few days.

  • 1 Votes
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    @luis can generally assume game didn't happen if result isn't in google, tough to keep up as so many games are being cancelled

  • Is it ok to have 1 strategy?

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    @lee-woodman

    Depends on what you do with the U1.5 or U2.5. My view, because I'm lazy, is to let them run. A change in timing of goals make no difference in that case.
    If, say, U2.5 set and forget is profitable, then it counters any shortfall in number of goals scored.

    That said, there will be a rebound/correction in number of goals scored at some point.

  • Second half goal stop loss

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    6 Posts
    351 Views

    @liam-willis spot on mate, value is value regardless. many people care too much about labelling something or categorizing things within trading, whatever type of bet/trade your doing it will involve some element of risk. Long term profit is all that matters in my opinion nothing else, all the things we do that can limit risk are what separates us from the average punter but that doesnt mean each market entry has got to be labelled a trade or a bet to win. If your doing a 2nd half trade be mindful that there is a heavy bias towards goals coming post 70 mins, so to be entering a trade with the intention to trade out before this time period can be more counter intuitive to risk than youd expect.

  • Bankroll size advice

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    @jez-rourke-pilott you should get an email each day with them on, if not I'll add you to the list.

    this is well worth a read for you: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/betfair-trading-bankroll-staking-strategy-how-much-do-you-need

  • football software not working ?

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    5 Posts
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    @jez-rourke-pilott It won't go that far ahead - it's max 5 days ahead

  • football software.

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    317 Views

    Looks like James got this spot on 😄

  • Split Stake O1.5

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    28 Posts
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    @mikael-nordstrom Hey buddy

    No worries, the English is good (perhaps better than mine 😉 )

    I'd stake 2-3% on the entry trade then I would track the data then see what time to get out, I wouldn't be thinking at this point oh if my loss gets to 1 then I'll get out as that might not be the best use of your time (it might be less than one) I would rewatch the one where I track the data (day 3 & 4)

  • 1 Votes
    6 Posts
    710 Views

    @sipox11 Excellent stuff here.

    If you want a cocky answer to "how long is a piece of string?" You can always respond with: "Twice the distance from the middle to one end" 😉

    Joking aside though @Martin-Futter is certainly correct with that. Although from my own experience as a total beginner I would say to err on the lower side of trades per day/week. Its easier to see what is happening and understand. Many, if not all, of the pros/profitable traders on here advise that sort of thing whilst learning.

  • Football & Covid.

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    15 Posts
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    @keith-anderson Yep, seeing what we want to see. Dangerous game that!

  • Question regarding filters (Goal times)

    3 Votes
    11 Posts
    542 Views

    @rick-watson said in Question regarding filters (Goal times):

    james here is a bot for bet angel it lays current score at 80min of play as you know the timer in bet angel just keeps going from start to finish and doesnt recognise half time . the problem with this bot i have found is that it lays by order of favoritism and the current correct score may not be fav. anyway run it in PRACTISE MODE 1ST and tweak it to suit if you master it give me a shout. as for the selection process i think you gotta be looking more at elo strong team come backs and the back a late goal when drawing filters. 0_1614846684133_Lay Current Score in Final 10 Mins.baf

    Cheers Rick.👍

  • How do i maximize profit

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    @mark-uren AC was 1-1 buddy not that it matters that much but at least they didn't lose

  • Historical Data based on filters

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    @zoltan-balogh In the meantime yep

  • Smarket Selections

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    How much is matched on the S Markets ones?

    I would say seeing your posts where you want to automate, S Markets doesn't have software I don't believe that will do this yet.

  • LTD FH

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    5 Posts
    379 Views

    @martin-futter said in LTD FH:

    @diaconescu-cristian

    not sure about LTD but FHG is usually 1.5+ at 15 mins, often 1.6 or above.

    I only play FHG at 2.00 or above (same as all my trades) which usually occurs around the mid point of the half (22-25 mins) depending on the match.

  • Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy

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    146 Posts
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    I your blog will be really interesting to read as well, I like the way your mind works with this stuff @Lee-woodman - reading the first post now

  • 0 Votes
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    @diaconescu-cristian I would master one sport first then look to move into others - if at all needed 🙂

  • Filter Problem?

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    3 Posts
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    Thanks mate. I am mixing them up. I did not know that there was this option on BTC. Thanks for your help