I believe this strategy is one of the most under-appreciated strategies out there but i think it is a great one to use either a) for people starting out who are looking to develop something that works and b) for traders who maybe have a bit more experience and would like to add a second strategy to their portfolio
It isnt my strategy, its one that Ryan posted a long time ago and continues to trade (i believe) so im not claiming to be revolutionising anything, i just thought if i put it in its own thread then maybe it could be appreciated a little and feedback could be shared.
The basic trade is to back O1.5 in the selected games if still 0-0 at 30'. I dont advise backing below 1.4. If there is a goal then simply cashout (you can take the liability out and leave a free bet on O1.5 but for the sake of simplicity ill cash out 2 minutes after a goal). If there is no goal by 50' (ie still 0-0) then back O1.5 for the same stake again. Again, if there is a goal do the same as above. If no goal comes by 70' (so 0-0 at 70') then simply cashout for a loss
I will be using Ryans filter with a few amendments which i shared in another post and i have one of my own which doesnt get quite as many results but is worth adding to the overall. Over the last 5 months they have returned an approx average of 4.7 pts with 2-3 results per day. Doesnt sound exciting but its consistent and has very low variance. Also, that return is based on an overall stake of 1pt meaning the maximum risk has been 0.7pts, so its completely feasible and justifiable to stake a little higher. Personally i will be initially staking 1.5pt overall (2 x 0.75pts) which should mean i dont risk more than 1pt.
I will post the games daily but wont be able to trade every single game because for me its a second strategy, however, i will track all results and provide an analysis at the end of the month (games i dont trade will use a rough average for P/L purposes)