How do i maximize profit
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So its early days and have a Football system using the Over 1.5 goals market which produces a 71% strike rate, as a biproduct it produces a 57% strike rate for the over 2.5 goals Market and a 76% chance of the Home win. I would also say at present this is more of a bet than trade.
71% strike rate is good but 1.5 goals odds are awful, running the figures through TSM i really need a 80% strike rate. Archie figures say its a 16% chance the system is just luck.
What is the best way to play this for profit. -
He are my 4 picks for this evening.
As you can see 3 out 4 won Home Win, Over 1.5 Goals and Over 2.5 Goals.
Apart from Dutching how would you guys play this. Strike Rate for all 3 (home win, over 1.5, over 2.5) is 31%
If i Dutch Selection 1 that would of given me a £62.06 profit (£100 stakes)
Selection 2 would be £52.73
Selection3 would be a loss of -£100
Selection 4 would be £24.53
Overall profit of £39.32.
Strike rate for Home win is 55%
Strike rate for Home win and 1.5 goals is 33%
Strike rate for 1.5 and 2.5 is 55%Is there a better way to play these and maximise profit.
Selection 3 lost so would you say 60 mins 0 goals or away team is winning 1-0 get out of the trade. Would you leave it longer.
Just need advice, would you play these as 3 separate trades to minimise loss's at the detriment of a bigger profit if you Dutch although i could Trade out of the Dutch bet. Is it mindset to keep the backroll moving on the up in smaller increments by trading rather than placing a bet and getting the big win which could be followed by the big loss.
If the odds are higher then the current strike rate could cope with the loss's. -
@mark-uren said in How do i maximize profit:
So its early days and have a Football system using the Over 1.5 goals market which produces a 71% strike rate, as a biproduct it produces a 57% strike rate for the over 2.5 goals Market and a 76% chance of the Home win. I would also say at present this is more of a bet than trade.
71% strike rate is good but 1.5 goals odds are awful, running the figures through TSM i really need a 80% strike rate. Archie figures say its a 16% chance the system is just luck.
What is the best way to play this for profit.home win 76% is good! 1.33 average odds would break even (roughly).
