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Football Trading

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Richard LatimerR

@Richard-Latimer said in 🔮⚽ Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! ⚽🔮:

@Richard-Latimer said in 🔮⚽ Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! ⚽🔮:

@Richard-Latimer said in 🔮⚽ Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! ⚽🔮:

@Richard-Latimer said in 🔮⚽ Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! ⚽🔮:

@Richard-Latimer said in 🔮⚽ Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! ⚽🔮:

@Richard-Latimer said in 🔮⚽ Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! ⚽🔮:

@Richard-Latimer said in 🔮⚽ Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! ⚽🔮:

So added to my £45.10 so far is 4 more winning trades.

11/12 Trades
+£84.30 for June

2/2 this weekend so 13/14 in total.
+£103.90

4/4 over the weekend.

+£143.10

1/1 today
+£152.90

1/1 on midweek
*£162.70

3/3 over the weekend
+£192.10

2/3 this weekend for a £36.40 loss

Now £155.70

2/2 this weekend
Now £175.30

Football Trading
Richard LatimerR

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

Lay Away:

9d6ca9bf-cc93-4a2b-b404-0fceb7ba5bc1-image.png

PER is 3.25-8.4
Prev is mistake

4!4

Football Trading
J

Afternoon all, update for July

System 1- BACK OVER 1.5 FH GOALS 2.42+ CHECK H2H
Trades 18
Won 6
Lost 12
s/rate 33.33%
Lost £17.17

System 2- Lay home at k/o 5.0-7.0 ( check h2h)
Trades 9
won 7
lost 2
s/rate 77.78%
Lost £9.03

System 3- Lay Under 2.5 half 1 goals ( 1.30 below)
Trades 22
Won 5
Lost 17
S/rate 22.72%
Profit £122.30

System 4 - Injury Time version b- Last 5 matches
Trades 25
Won 8
Lost 17
S/rate 32%
Profit £292.21

System 5- Lay under 2.5 half 2 goals ( 1.30 below)
Trades 3
won 2
lost 1
s/rate 66.67%
Profit £105.07

So overall a very good month apart from the 1st two strategies . The first two systems are i have lost money each of the last 3 months i will give it one more month on both of these systems as overall still up. The other strategies going great so my new trading bank for August is £2027.84, and my 1% liability stakes will be £20.28

Football Trading
MartinM

Below is the strategy download from the recent youtube video, needs testing. It doesn't get tonnes of selections so would need some tweaking if you wanted more volume.

filter-settings (4).txt

Football Trading
MartinM

@sam-ratcliffe no date yet but hopefully not too far off having a beta ready

Football Trading
T

Finally a winner but too late to make any difference. I am surprised that Football ratings did not produce more winners. This is not the time to look for excuses but to address your mistakes and consider the changes you should make. The obvious problem is how to deal with multiple kick offs at the same time. I will pause for a while and consider this as I still believe there is an opportunity here.

Football Trading
MartinM

@Gwynn-Lewis that is the kind of variance I expect with any outright backing strategy. Good results so far! Thanks for doing this.

Football Trading
Martin QuinlanM

Hi, Cant seem to access the foorball ratings tab on the main dashboard. Get this error message "This page isn’t working
new.betfairtradingcommunity.com redirected you too many times."

Football Trading
Martin QuinlanM

@Martin 👍

Football Trading
MartinM

@Richard-0 they are strategies shared by members they would have been profitable when shared but can't account for the time since that.

Football Trading
MartinM

@Justyna that's a brutal run!

Football Trading
T

@Ryan did you still need this tracking? I might be able to commit some time to it. I can also get historical Betfair data to fill in any gaps if there are any

Football Trading
MartinM

@Andrew-Gordon hi mate, I have put the download link in the opening post of this thread. Let me know if you need any help uploading it.

Football Trading
RyanR

@Adam Then I will be alive again and can take their inheritance back....

Football Trading
P

@Nikki-HALSALL said in Winning Edge Teams & XP Tracker & Leaderboard:

This strategy is proving tricky for me, being present to place at 10 mins is not possible as I work full-time so I tried a set and forget at 1.45 to 1.51 odds ish depending on pre-match price but there are a lot of goals scored before 10 mins and a lot that finish 0-0 at half time so..........not quitting but having a cull of leagues.

I am cutting.....

Premier League ENG - I know!!!!!
Mexico Liga Mx
Netherlands Eerste & Eredivisie

These 3 leagues are really affecting the overall success rate and although only 350 matches so it could just be variance they are out.

Turkey Super Lig is close to being cut but will give it more time

I guess in these situations with a small sample it is good to monitor the cut leagues still just in case it was just a bad run so will do that.

I see and I read what you say - better listen to Ryan - but I will share my opinion - you can put Set & Forget with Keep option with 25 ticks above staring price - then you get the optimal price at 15 min mark - if you want 10 min mark I can simulate and see how many ticks the market move - easy - work is not an obstical - just mindset - cheers

Football Trading
MartinM

@CHRISTOPHER-JAMIESON tagging you incase you have not seen this yet

Football Trading
MartinM

@Patrik-Mellqvist be interested to see how it performs!

Football Trading
R

sorry ignore my request as I already have this strategy .

Football Trading
C

Hi all,
Just watched your late goal after 74 mins video on youtube, any chance of the filter?
Thanks

Football Trading
  • ?

    Filter for over 2.5 and 1:1 score

    1 Votes
    5 Posts
    315 Views
    AdamA

    @ivan1977uk OK, but I guess there are lots of ways of judging the probability of an event happening. The stats software will tell you what happened in recent matches as an indicator of various trends.

    For example, this will show you how to set up a filter that will give you matches with Over 2.5 odds of at least 1.8, where both the home and away teams have scored goals in the first 30 minutes over their last 10 matches.

    You might want to increase the percentages to suit your needs, for example you might be able to find matches where over 50% of goals were scored in the first 30 minutes, suggesting a high probability of early goals.

  • ?

    strategies with "insurance"?

    1 Votes
    2 Posts
    244 Views
    MartinM

    @ivan1977uk with 0-0 pre KO you usually get very good odds to back so can use little to no money to insure an LTD.

    in the second example you have given you would essentially be laying 2-0 0-2 at large risk v rewards in terms of staking, doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

  • J

    Spreadsheets for calculating profit /loss on strategies

    0 Votes
    8 Posts
    570 Views
    RyanR

    You can also use the BTC results sheet, so you can copy those into your sheet to help you get the results data and it would be in one place 🙂

    http://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com:4567/topic/840/btc-results-sheet

  • ?

    Ryan's Over 1.5

    0 Votes
    5 Posts
    437 Views
    MartinM

    Me and Ryan don't use bet angel so no I wouldn't think so. When @Dave-Jessop is back he may be able to help 🙂

  • ?

    streeming

    0 Votes
    6 Posts
    336 Views
    ?

    @martin-futter thank you

  • ?

    Trading Goals

    0 Votes
    24 Posts
    2k Views
    RyanR

    I don't know but I know its been pretty profitable for a few years for those that have used it.

  • ?

    Ryans 0ver 1.5 SS and LTD Betgreen advice.

    1 Votes
    4 Posts
    379 Views
    RyanR

    @ian-keedwell Very nice matey, nice start 🙂 Love it!

  • ?

    New Methods to trial. Method 1 Back over 1.5 goals Method 2 Back over 1.5 or 2.5 goals at HT

    3 Votes
    11 Posts
    562 Views
    ?

    @gary-brown said in New Methods to trial. Method 1 Back over 1.5 goals Method 2 Back over 1.5 or 2.5 goals at HT:

    Some potential trades to look out for today.
    Slovan Bratislava v Dundalk
    Iceland 19:00:00 Breidablik KA Akureyri
    Iceland 20:15:00 Valur Fylkir

    From the possible selections yesterday I didn't ttrade the Bratislavia game after watching and tracking inplay stats it looked a no go especially within the first 30mins so I left this alone due to very little action.

    I got in one the FH trade for the Breidablik game due to action looking great that backed up the research that they were clear favourites and it was likely that goals were going to be in this game. So this was a winner.

    The Valur game started slow with what looked like two evenly matched sides cancelling each other out in the first 10-12 mins. It got a bit more lively after 15 mins and I was just about to place a trade for over 1.5 on 20 mins and then the goal game just as I was typing in the trade. So no trade for me on this one.

  • ?

    Far flung games

    0 Votes
    3 Posts
    223 Views
    RyanR

    I think they are when there is liquidity and the odds are managed.

    The first screen there was £74K matched, not to bad that.

    Second one unmanaged odds and less money matched.

  • ?

    Martin's lay the draw at half time.

    1 Votes
    2 Posts
    266 Views
    MartinM

    @gary-fisher nope we just want it to be drawing 🙂

  • ?

    Time

    0 Votes
    3 Posts
    212 Views
    MartinM

    @gary-fisher friendlies are laws unto themselves, have actually seen this before in a Serie A game too. would be very careful betting friendlies personally

  • ?

    How do you offload liability on a football bet?

    0 Votes
    5 Posts
    306 Views
    ?

    Awesome. Thanks for the explanation. I’ll give it a try.

  • ?

    Betfair Bets Live List

    1 Votes
    5 Posts
    265 Views
    ?

    Now wouldn't that be good ✌

  • ?

    Totally New & Probably About To Get Battered Too!

    0 Votes
    5 Posts
    317 Views
    John FolanJ

    They are a good bunch here. Lots of profitable strategies. Just remember this is a slow burn and not a get rich quick scheme. Persistence and Perseverance will get you there.

  • ?

    Suspended

    1 Votes
    3 Posts
    245 Views
    RyanR

    @carl-smith did BF have this ticked to go in play? They are buggers for this! Check Smarkets as well.

  • ?

    Advice on how to build a very small bank?

    0 Votes
    18 Posts
    749 Views
    MartinM

    My advice would be to learn trading first then use your methods to bank build, if you don't get that base stuff sorted first whatever bank you end up using will likely go down!

  • ?

    This topic is deleted!

    0 Votes
    1 Posts
    2 Views
    No one has replied
  • Luke RidgerL

    Pre Trading - 2019/20

    1 Votes
    9 Posts
    422 Views
    Luke RidgerL

    @ryan-carruthers Yep makes perfect sense. All we you need to be able to do is forecast what you think SP is , unfortunately it won't teach you how to be a good trader as throughout the period leading up to KO, there are moves, mini drifts, manipulation etc, i don't see why we can't do something along these lines.

  • ?

    trading life- building up my balance

    3 Votes
    32 Posts
    2k Views
    ?

    @Gary-Brown I've just found this thread when reading though and I think it is excellent!

    The part you wrote about aiming for 3% daily which would be around 20-25% weekly really brings all this into perspective! The increase in bank roll would be huge at 3% even with a few losing days.

    Thanks and keep up the good work!

  • ?

    Strategy for over 1.5 & under 3.5 goals

    1 Votes
    2 Posts
    322 Views
    ?

    Im interested in finding out more and following your selections if you like

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