Football Trading

361 Topics 82.0k Posts
  • Womens Euro Final

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    2 Posts
    226 Views

    @richard-etherington so difficult because of the home advantage for England, I think it's a coin flip and the edge for England is based purely on being at home.

    My only trade has been backing England at the start of the tournament, given the form we had been in prior to it I couldn't believe the decent odds available. I've not greened up yet but probably should, it was only small though so may let it run.

  • Matts set and forget I 2.5

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    @ian-wells hi mate welcome!

    Yes there is but it has struggled massively last few months. Sheet is here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1NTpTekGxMYNfns6NmyxF9Zyvox3vQn2SCYWDOXu6hXM/edit#gid=1511053721

  • Inplay Stats Master Sheet

    2 Votes
    5 Posts
    407 Views

    Sorry guys been snowed under. will try and get it tidied up over weekend. any columns that have h is for home and a is away. then abbreviations are things such as sot which is shots on target etc. But i will update it properly with filtering

  • Football back testing?

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    3 Posts
    367 Views

    Sorry i was thinking of 2 things at once the software update is for another site i use not even trading related.

  • 1 Votes
    8 Posts
    597 Views

    @richard-etherington so what's the rationale for the over 4.5 and 5.5 markets? What does your long term data suggest is the most profitable, letting them run or to exit?

  • 2 Random question

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    @giorgio depends on whether I am watching the event or not when trading. If it's pre-planned trading I can do lots markets in a day, if I'm watching in play then 3-4 matches is all I could fathom!

  • Daves FHG Set & Forget

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    1/6/22

    I'm going to stop putting the excluded leagues here unless anyone is monitoring them and wants to keep seeing them?

    Today's Selections: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1656392667691_fd4918df-2921-4143-b493-2bb51af59dae-image.png

    Yesterday's Results: (excluded leagues highlighted in red.)

    0_1656392637215_e1860423-eb30-44e0-bd83-484d0eb32994-image.png

    At KO check odds are between 1.3 and 1.45 inclusive.
    Place an order to back over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.5
    This is NOT a finished strategy so please run your own tests before risking any money on these selections.

    Summer Leagues excluded list: Argentina, Ecuador, Faroe Islands, Finland, South Korea, Uraguay, Norway and Sweden.

  • Over 1.5 Strategy

    2 Votes
    9 Posts
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    @william-jackson Hi William and welcome to the community. In my experience it depends on when you put the stakes in, but I'd say if no goals after 70 minutes just get out as the price starts to rapidly decrease from then due to time decay. If starting on small stakes you will make it up as the strategy claims 80% strike rate, so you'll make it up.

    Kind Regards

    Jason

  • Under 3.5 market

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    3 Posts
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    Yep this is a cracking market to use! I hope the video helps!

  • ELO Set and Forget Strategies

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    24 Posts
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  • Why some games are not on the Exchange?

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    2 Posts
    267 Views

    @gregory-mcgrath I'm guessing they don't have anyone to cover the game and manage the market, unmanaged markets don't get liquidity and won't earn them enough to make it worthwhile

  • 0 Votes
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    @kevin-pepper Thanks a million Kevin ! I am going to try that at this moment! 🙂

  • Leak Plugging *Help needed*

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    4 Posts
    370 Views

    @Martin Wish somebody had told Villa that when they beat Liverpool 7-2.

    You 100% have a point, we also have to take into account how many games these guys play.

    If you are 4-0 up what's the point of risking Salah for another 30 mins?

  • Making the Habit

    2 Votes
    17 Posts
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    @giorgio Thank you!

  • Inplay Trading Advice

    1 Votes
    4 Posts
    455 Views

    I don't use a scores app but I put my own notes on Evernote - Syncs across all devices as well so I can just have a quick check on them.

    Notion is another good one.

  • Software / Stats

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    2 Posts
    319 Views

    @jozef-malik any unquoted score line

  • Goal after 60min automation

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    3 Posts
    471 Views

    Hi
    What exactly do you want to do? Which market, criteria and bet to be placed? I've created rules in Fairbot so can send you some examples if I have a better idea what you're trying to do.
    Cheers
    Kevin

  • Set & Forget Strategy Testing

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    6 Posts
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    @connor-garland you have already added a couple of bits so see how it goes, no need to refine unless it's something obvious 🙂

  • First Half Goal Set & Forget

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    9 Posts
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    @bence-korbuly yep it's being tested here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1NTpTekGxMYNfns6NmyxF9Zyvox3vQn2SCYWDOXu6hXM/edit#gid=1511053721

    not finding it that great to be honest at the moment.

  • MM's attempt at a blog which wont be a blog

    8 Votes
    62 Posts
    6k Views

    Madness yesterday trying to oversee French Chefs and Waiters while squeezing in some trades - again my intention being to update results while in England (fly back early tomorrow).

    Couple of thoughts which are leading me down my analysis route - league positions - for my newer filters I'm going to start adding them I think to record against data, a mixture of theories which tend to lead me away from certain trades.. two teams close to each other in the table in midtable leads to unpredictability ? Top versus bottom (especially when Top are away) = park the bus and slow start ? Two teams near the top and close in the league game can be tight etc etc but need//want to test these theories to see if there's anything that they can add to my decision making.

    Next one is the discipline of reviewing the last few games results just to check whether an individual result may have skewed stats .. a six nil for example in one match. Equally I'm increasingly put off by one or more recent nil nils for either team. I seem to be finding more and more reasons to avoid trades which ultimately whilst nerve wracking is probably a good thing.

    Todays list - which will be subject to final analysis is :

    0_1650275628535_Screenshot 2022-04-18 at 10.16.27.png

    A few concerns over team form and league positions and on the only 01.5 trade the level is a concern. Need to spend time restricting leagues.