Set & Forget Football Strategies

Martin

Dan Peacey

LTD

Martin

@dan-peacey what strategy is this for?

Dan Peacey

Just had my 1st loss, El Gouna v Al Alhy in the Egyptian Premier finished 0-0, surprising as there was lots of goal action here.
Down to +0.71pts.

Got 7 potential matches tomorrow, 6 Japanese and 1 Bolivian. The Bolivian I am steering clear of as that is an unprofitable league for me. Although J1 and J2 leagues are profitable, they are under 75% strike rate, so not as confident as other leagues. Drilling down the stats from my trial, I have narrowed down my selections to 2 because I have looked to see if the teams in question have not been involved in draws in my trial. So looking at home stats for home and away stats for away. The 2 matches are:-

J1 - Shonan v G-Osaka
J2 - Kanazawa v Kusatsu

As I have automated this strategy, these matches may not trigger, either because of an early goal or that the min volume traded has not been reached or that the max odds havent been reached (5.0).

Apologies if this is on the wrong thread.

? Offline

@dan-peacey said in Project Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration:

Hi Guys,

I have just finished my trial of LTD with my filters and it has yielded very promising results. 0_1657033210374_League Breakdown.xlsx . I think I will carry on recording the results until I have around 100 matches per league. I am only choosing the most profitable leagues from my daily filters as I have now decided to pull the trigger and go live with this. So far very good results.0_1657033342430_Live LTD P & L.xlsx . Any questions then please let me know.

very nice results, well done mate. Is this LTD at KO or 2nd half?

Dan Peacey

Hi Guys,

I have just finished my trial of LTD with my filters and it has yielded very promising results. 0_1657033210374_League Breakdown.xlsx . I think I will carry on recording the results until I have around 100 matches per league. I am only choosing the most profitable leagues from my daily filters as I have now decided to pull the trigger and go live with this. So far very good results.0_1657033342430_Live LTD P & L.xlsx . Any questions then please let me know.

Martin

@tomasz-lunarzewski said in Project Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration:

Hi. Here is another good one from me. 50 selections 9 points profit. It's lay the draw when there were a few draws before. I'm laying at odds lower than 4.5. You will not get many selections but I prefer it. Profit is important not million games and hours wasted.

0_1652690558788_Draws lay.txt

What I like about these is that they give out selections with very reasonable lay odds!

Martin

Had a break on these over international break and weekend after it, may do this more moving forward with football as I think it cuts out a lot of team weakened by players missing and then needing a week to get back on track after their break.

Anyway, these have resumed this week, planning to do a big update when I have more summer league data.

Matt Wood

@martin Morning Martin.

Its about break even since mid May. Seems to go on long winning streaks and then long losing streaks. Just need to find a way to break the losing ones.

Although probably just a case of sitting back now and gathering the summer league data. I'm still sure there is something to be had from this, just gotta sift the gold from the s**t

Martin

@Matt-Wood how has your updated 2.5 fared?

Martin

Small update on these, as it has switched to summer leagues it's almost like starting again in terms of testing as a lot of the leagues will need removing after 3 months. Been about a month of them so far.

Martin

Martin

@james-rome I've got one coming out tomorrow

? Offline

Hey Martin when you doing a updated video for these ?

Martin

@tomasz-lunarzewski thanks for sharing this will give it a look!

Tomasz Lunarzewski

Hi. Here is another good one from me. 50 selections 9 points profit. It's lay the draw when there were a few draws before. I'm laying at odds lower than 4.5. You will not get many selections but I prefer it. Profit is important not million games and hours wasted.

0_1652690558788_Draws lay.txt

Martin

@finn-kristensen given that these will have less selections I will possibly do these fortnightly or monthly over summer

Finn Kristensen

Any updates, Martin?

? Offline

@matt-wood Thanks Matt thats great.

Matt Wood

@gary-brown said in Project Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration:

hi guys where do i find the filter for T1.5 looks like its doing really well this one laying 1.5 at KO.

I think this is the one you are after Gary

https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/assets/uploads/files/1645436956198-under-1.5-filter.txt