Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Only 2 ELO's today when you take out the very early season games:
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Loss in Egypt for the ELO today. Before I post tomorrows there is one starting soon in Columbia. La Equidad go behind I will lay Boyaca Chico. Only a couple of results in Columbia so far but both were positive.
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Missed Elfsborg due to sofascore not notifying me. Nevermind. Only a couple of potentials tomorrow:
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All I've got.
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Another good couple of ELO trades today. Need to get a handle on the H2 goals. A bit like treacle at the moment but hopefully removing some leagues to the paper trading area will help there. On the subject of ELO's I'll posty those tomorrow as nothing decent overnight anyway.
H2 goals as follows:
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
No major changes to the H2 goals but I'm going to avoid a couple of leagues until I have the data to back it up. Rather than wait until I know they should be removed I think I prefer to remove until proven which isn't something I've done in the past.
Had a bad feeling about the game in Chile this morning and surprise surprise it remained 1-1 after HT. Serbia for goals hasn't been good when I've experimented with prev filters and with this one we're already looking at a 50/50 split.
So I'll keep tracking on the sheet I've set up for the paper trades and seen what comes of everything. For the time being unless it's a league I'm happy with I'll leave well alone.
These unknown leagues are slowing progress.
Egypt was the other one. One losing selection so will just track these for now.
Some leagues seem to be great for come backs but not so good for goals in general and vice versa.
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No major changes to the H2 goals but I'm going to avoid a couple of leagues until I have the data to back it up. Rather than wait until I know they should be removed I think I prefer to remove until proven which isn't something I've done in the past.
Had a bad feeling about the game in Chile this morning and surprise surprise it remained 1-1 after HT. Serbia for goals hasn't been good when I've experimented with prev filters and with this one we're already looking at a 50/50 split.
So I'll keep tracking on the sheet I've set up for the paper trades and see what comes of everything. For the time being unless it's a league I'm happy with I'll leave well alone.
These unknown leagues are slowing progress.
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H2 goals (potential):
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Another nice green today in Hacken. The recoovery is allmost complete. Time to make some profit for Sept. Only Egypt tomorrow in the ELO:
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Any night owls, these are the games I consider to have a high chance of there being a H2 goal. Odds dependent as always as well as personell if known and inplay stats if necessary.
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Palmeiras just equalised so that's now just over 3pts for the day and just under 2pts red for Sept.
It's coming back.
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Cerro Porteno is actually Tuesday. Tomorrows below:
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Also nothing to stop you taking the sheet as your own and pasting ratings in. I copy it a blank sheet. Remove first column then insert a column after game type, after home elo and after home offence. Also 2 columns after goal expectancy and superiority. These are where my formulas go when I paste it into the main sheet.
Just drag down the formulas for the new day. And get rid of anything that doesn't meet requirements.
Hope you managed with overnight games. I'll be posting in a bit but Paraguay at 00:30 is one. Cerro Porteno the better team.
Then again it's not until tomorrow so plenty of time.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Also nothing to stop you taking the sheet as your own and pasting ratings in. I copy it a blank sheet. Remove first column then insert a column after game type, after home elo and after home offence. Also 2 columns after goal expectancy and superiority. These are where my formulas go when I paste it into the main sheet.
Just drag down the formulas for the new day. And get rid of anything that doesn't meet requirements.
Hope you managed with overnight games. I'll be posting in a bit but Paraguay at 00:30 is one. Cerro Porteno the better team.
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I'm pulling Titanic. Not because it doesn't work but because from the 17/06 I have 27 selections. Almost 3 months so under 10 selections a month.
I'm not pulling up any trees with that.
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Also nothing to stop you taking the sheet as your own and pasting ratings in. I copy it a blank sheet. Remove first column then insert a column after game type, after home elo and after home offence. Also 2 columns after goal expectancy and superiority. These are where my formulas go when I paste it into the main sheet.
Just drag down the formulas for the new day. And get rid of anything that doesn't meet requirements.
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@john-folan said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
These are the good ones coming up:
There's a Belgian one and a Russian one on the list of seconds as well if anyone feels like playing Russian Roulette haha!
Can you get your stuff on any earlier? Sometimes miss the overnight games.There was nothing qualified last night. Been doing a lot of going back to get further details I hadn't recorded initially for stuff I'm working on so has taken a bit of time.
I try and get one day finished before I start another but so much overlap right now. They often go on the sheet before I post as well so worth checking there.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
These are the good ones coming up:
There's a Belgian one and a Russian one on the list of seconds as well if anyone feels like playing Russian Roulette haha!
Can you get your stuff on any earlier? Sometimes miss the overnight games. -
These are the good ones coming up:
There's a Belgian one and a Russian one on the list of seconds as well if anyone feels like playing Russian Roulette haha!
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Just what I needed today. 3 decent trades and around 2.5pts green. Only around 5pts down for Sept now.
H2 goals in Wycombe and Rodez. I know these are early season but for goals my strike rate gives me no reason to exclude these at present.
Also a nice comeback by Ludogorets giving more credence to the bar I've set for minimum number of games to have passed in a season.