Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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And here it is. Todays potentials due to start in a just a tick:
Nothing changed from yesterday but I'lll enter 5mins earlier after 2 quick goals up to 59th now (providing all criteria met) and also 5 mins earlier after the 3 goals (again, assuming all criteria met).
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3 good trades and then a couple where I gave it back. To say they weren't good trades in my opinion would be wrong. Just the way it goes:
Daegu v Incheon. Laid under 2.5 goals 70th min @ 2.18. Ended 3-0. +.98pt (£1.57)
Reading v Huddersfeld. Laid under 2.5 goals FH 25th min @ 1.99. 2-1 @ HT. +.98pt (£1.57)
Hammarby v Sirius. Laid under 4.5 80th min @ 1.87. Ended 3-2. +.98pt (£1.57)
Lyon v Lorient. Laid under 0.5 FH @ 2.64. 0-0 @ HT. - 1.64pts (-£2.62)
Orebro v Halmstads. Laid under 0.5 70th min @ 2.22. Ended 1-0. -1.22pts (-£1.95)a few pence profit in the end.
A couple of near misses today. So much so that I went through to see if I was missing a lot with a few of my entry points and for the small amount of difference in waiting 5 minutes in a couple of the angles there's quite a few winning trades being missed. With that in mind I've altered a couple of the entry points moving forward.
Would only have effected one match today (Schaffhausen missed by 1 minute @ 2-2 79th.
As is, with these corrections in place both Friday and Sat would have been small wins. Instead Friday was a slight loss (not helped by missing Sociedad) and today was scratch.
Nothing until 11am earliest so will post up in the morning.
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Full list for today exc. Daegu which has been and gone:
Remember, these are ALL JUST POTENTIALS and the vast majority will end up as nothing more than a cursary glance before deleting notifications and moving on. The filter would not be profitable without all the other written criteria below.
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Up literally 5 mins before the entry point for Daegu. Will of course update properly later but a nice start with late 3rd goal.
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Going nowhere and doing nothing in the morning so I'll update Sat selections when I rise. That said Daegu is one to keep an eye on. It's on the sheet under home analysis tab if anyone wants to see.
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Ok so just briefly. My only trade was a 2.16 lay of under 3.5 goals in Hannover 75th min. Scored stayed the same so -1.16pts (-£1.86). I also laid early as my rule is another 5 mins for every additional after the first with 70 being the earliest. 3 goals should have been 80th minute.
Missed Sociedad which was very definitely a qualifier. This would have evened things up somewhat.
Was unsure on Den Bosch as price 1 tick under the lowest i'd seen for the criteria where this almost qualified. Going forward I would include for now although this obviously doesn't help today.
Regardless, 1 losing trade is hardly the end of the world.
On to tomorrow.
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A nothing day today. Small loss and a missed qualifier that went on to win. I'll update properly in a bit.
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Estonia was actually too early in the season there anyway. No harm no foul. Here's Fridays potentials:
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Doesn't look like there's much happening today. One game in Estonia but it's not even top league so I doubt liquidity any good. Will keep an eye.
No qualifier. Onwards to tomorrow.
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Doesn't look like there's much happening today. One game in Estonia but it's not even top league so I doubt liquidity any good. Will keep an eye.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Well depending on when the stats come back I may or may not be able to post tomorrow. Fingers crossed sooner rather than later.
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3 trades today with 2 coming good and the other being small odds:
PJ City Fc (MISC-MIFA as it appears on the stats) v Perak. Laid under 1.5 70th min @ 2.12. No further goals. - 1.12pts (-£1.79)
Pahang v Selangor. Laid under 1.5 70th min @ 2.7. Finished 2-2. +.98pt (+£1.57 after comm.)
Saarbrucken v Magdeburg. Laid under 1.5 70th min @ 2.2. Finished 0-3. +.98pt (+£1.57 after comm.)P/L +.84pt (+£1.35)
New bank stands @ £70.99 -
Wed POTENTIALS, only if ALL criteria are met:
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50/50 split today:
Laid under 0.5 in Kedah vs Johor Darul Takzim (Malaysia)70th min @ 2.22. Ended 0-1. Forced to lay £2.00 at the time when my below minimum didn't go through. Worked out luckily. +.98pt (£1.96)
Laid under 3.5 Cliftonville v Larne 75th minute @ 1.98. Stayed at 3 goals so that one's a loser. -.98pt (-£1.57).Bank @ £69.64 but until I reach and breach the point where I can increase from £1.60 the stake will stay the same.
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Investing a further £5.00 into the pot today. New bank £69.25.
New calculated stake @ £1.29. Will only reduce if bank hits £45.01 which is my stop/loss point for the ratchet I'm employing.
One of the hardest things with a small bank without question is staking. Betondroid which I use for placing bets below minimum has for some reason blocked my latest calculated stake and the lowest I can do is £1.60 if I want to increase. Not the end of the world as that's only equivalent to around an £85.00 bank but still annoying.
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Investing a further £5.00 into the pot today. New bank £69.25.
New calculated stake @ £1.29. Will only reduce if bank hits £45.01 which is my stop/loss point for the ratchet I'm employing.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Tuesday potentials:
Will be in bed before Bolivia starts so that ones just for tracking.
If anybody has any questions, please ask away.
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Easy update today. Only one.
Laid under 2.5 Dusseldorf 70th minute at 2.42. +.98pt (£1.15)
As always details of what made this a qualifier can be found on the sheet and graphic I posted yesterday.
New bank stands @ £64.25
New stake calculated @ £1.20
I feel I should point out that Ferreti in Nicaragua would have been 2 trades and a 50/50 split between FHG and LCS on the 1-0. As it was I was fast asleep in bed. I don't even know for sure if it went inplay but I have to include the result regardless if I'm not sure.
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Easy update today. Only one.
Laid under 2.5 Dusseldorf 70th minute at 2.42. +.98pt (£1.15)
As always details of what made this a qualifier can be found on the sheet and graphic I posted yesterday.
New bank stands @ £64.25
New stake calculated @ £1.20
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Scratch Chile B. Too early in league.
