Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

Going nowhere and doing nothing in the morning so I'll update Sat selections when I rise. That said Daegu is one to keep an eye on. It's on the sheet under home analysis tab if anyone wants to see.

[Richard Latimer]

Ok so just briefly. My only trade was a 2.16 lay of under 3.5 goals in Hannover 75th min. Scored stayed the same so -1.16pts (-£1.86). I also laid early as my rule is another 5 mins for every additional after the first with 70 being the earliest. 3 goals should have been 80th minute.

Missed Sociedad which was very definitely a qualifier. This would have evened things up somewhat.

Was unsure on Den Bosch as price 1 tick under the lowest i'd seen for the criteria where this almost qualified. Going forward I would include for now although this obviously doesn't help today.

Regardless, 1 losing trade is hardly the end of the world.

On to tomorrow.

[Richard Latimer]

A nothing day today. Small loss and a missed qualifier that went on to win. I'll update properly in a bit.

[Richard Latimer]

Estonia was actually too early in the season there anyway. No harm no foul. Here's Fridays potentials:

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

Doesn't look like there's much happening today. One game in Estonia but it's not even top league so I doubt liquidity any good. Will keep an eye.

No qualifier. Onwards to tomorrow.

[Richard Latimer]

Doesn't look like there's much happening today. One game in Estonia but it's not even top league so I doubt liquidity any good. Will keep an eye.

[Richard Latimer]

Well depending on when the stats come back I may or may not be able to post tomorrow. Fingers crossed sooner rather than later.

[Richard Latimer]

3 trades today with 2 coming good and the other being small odds:

PJ City Fc (MISC-MIFA as it appears on the stats) v Perak. Laid under 1.5 70th min @ 2.12. No further goals. - 1.12pts (-£1.79)
Pahang v Selangor. Laid under 1.5 70th min @ 2.7. Finished 2-2. +.98pt (+£1.57 after comm.)
Saarbrucken v Magdeburg. Laid under 1.5 70th min @ 2.2. Finished 0-3. +.98pt (+£1.57 after comm.)

P/L +.84pt (+£1.35)
New bank stands @ £70.99

[Richard Latimer]

Wed POTENTIALS, only if ALL criteria are met:

[Richard Latimer]

50/50 split today:

Laid under 0.5 in Kedah vs Johor Darul Takzim (Malaysia)70th min @ 2.22. Ended 0-1. Forced to lay £2.00 at the time when my below minimum didn't go through. Worked out luckily. +.98pt (£1.96)
Laid under 3.5 Cliftonville v Larne 75th minute @ 1.98. Stayed at 3 goals so that one's a loser. -.98pt (-£1.57).

Bank @ £69.64 but until I reach and breach the point where I can increase from £1.60 the stake will stay the same.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

Investing a further £5.00 into the pot today. New bank £69.25.

New calculated stake @ £1.29. Will only reduce if bank hits £45.01 which is my stop/loss point for the ratchet I'm employing.

One of the hardest things with a small bank without question is staking. Betondroid which I use for placing bets below minimum has for some reason blocked my latest calculated stake and the lowest I can do is £1.60 if I want to increase. Not the end of the world as that's only equivalent to around an £85.00 bank but still annoying.

[Richard Latimer]

Investing a further £5.00 into the pot today. New bank £69.25.

New calculated stake @ £1.29. Will only reduce if bank hits £45.01 which is my stop/loss point for the ratchet I'm employing.

[Richard Latimer]

Tuesday potentials:

Will be in bed before Bolivia starts so that ones just for tracking.

If anybody has any questions, please ask away.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

Easy update today. Only one.

Laid under 2.5 Dusseldorf 70th minute at 2.42. +.98pt (£1.15)

As always details of what made this a qualifier can be found on the sheet and graphic I posted yesterday.

New bank stands @ £64.25

New stake calculated @ £1.20

I feel I should point out that Ferreti in Nicaragua would have been 2 trades and a 50/50 split between FHG and LCS on the 1-0. As it was I was fast asleep in bed. I don't even know for sure if it went inplay but I have to include the result regardless if I'm not sure.

[Richard Latimer]

Easy update today. Only one.

Laid under 2.5 Dusseldorf 70th minute at 2.42. +.98pt (£1.15)

As always details of what made this a qualifier can be found on the sheet and graphic I posted yesterday.

New bank stands @ £64.25

New stake calculated @ £1.20

[Richard Latimer]

Scratch Chile B. Too early in league.

[Richard Latimer]

I'll be off to bed soon so the overnighters are just for tracking more than likely. Especially Nicaragua.

[Richard Latimer]

Monaco had a red almost the exact point of any potential entry. Not one I'd be adding. Still, great day. I'll post up POTENTIALS for tomorrow soon.

[Richard Latimer]

Going to try and keep this as simple as possible and updating here before I update my sheet:

Qualifiers only - if I don't mention the game, it didn't qualify and this can be backed up by all the criteria I've posted.

Gia Lai vs Binh Duong in Vietnam. Qualified for 2nd FHG but liquidity not great and 2nd goal went in seconds before I was matched. In hindsight it was the difference of around 10 single ticks so I really should have bitten the bullet immediately.

Yenisey v Chertanovo in Russia. Laid under 1.5 70th min @ 2.62. Ended 1-1. +.98pt (£1.13)
Olimpiyets v Spartak Moscow II. Laid under 0.5 FH 20th min @ 2.1. 1-0 @ HT. +.98pt (£1.13)
B36 Torshavn v Itrorrarfelag (Faroes). Laid under 0.5 FH 20th min @ 2.76. 0-1 @ HT. +98pt (£1.13)
Olimpiyets v Spartak Moscow II. Laid under 2.5 70th min @ 2.7. Ended 4-0. +0.98pt (£1.13)
Montpellier v St Etienne. Laid under 3.5 70th min @ 2.48. Ended 1-2. -1.48pts (-£1.70)
Real Potosi v Nacional Potosi (Bolivia). Laid under 2.5 70th min. Ended 1-2. +0.98pts (£1.13)

P/L 3.42pts (£3.95)

New stake calculated for tomorrow as £1.17

Now to update the sheet. The Monaco game was under surveillance but one of the criterias wasn't met. However, I will check to see what the data is telling me going forward.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

I placed a really low odds lay (1.05) when I woke before realising this. Hopefully if anyone else was up, they didn't get burned.
Next Ulm in Germany Regionalliga. Layed 0-0 on 70 for 2.52 as it fit my criteria at the time. Ended 0-0 so as I do with every loss, I look for something that made this different. If I find the difference I take it off the table until there's commonality. With this, a quick scan and I was able to see 1.15 for home odds was the lowest lay of 0-0 I had in my qualified results. I've now upped it to 1.19 for the time being.
A losing selection that in the circumstances tomorrow would be avoided.
Now to the good stuff....
Shakhtar 2--0 up @ HT. Laid 70th minute and late late goal made it 2-1
Heracles 2-0 up @ HT, early SH goal, laid 70th and finished 4-0.
Cibalia 1-0 up @ HT, early SH goal, laid 2-0 70th - Winner
Trencin 1-0 up @ HT, early SH goal, laid 2-0 70th - Winner
Finally, goal crazy in Sesvete with 2 goals in the 50's and one 61st. Score 4-3 on my 70th lay. Unfortunately stayed that way but only an evens lay so no biggie!
Nothing to change on this one at present.

As @Darri requested:

I placed a really low odds lay (1.05) when I woke before realising this. Hopefully if anyone else was up, they didn't get burned. My loss .05points

Next Ulm in Germany Regionalliga. Layed 0-0 on 70 for 2.52 as it fit my criteria at the time. Ended 0-0 so as I do with every loss, I look for something that made this different. If I find the difference I take it off the table until there's commonality. With this, a quick scan and I was able to see 1.15 for home odds was the lowest lay of 0-0 I had in my qualified results. I've now upped it to 1.19 for the time being. -1.52pts

A losing selection that in the circumstances tomorrow would be avoided.

Now to the good stuff....

Shakhtar 2--0 up @ HT. Laid 70th minute and late late goal made it 2-1 +.98pts
Heracles 2-0 up @ HT, early SH goal, laid 70th and finished 4-0. +.98pts
Cibalia 1-0 up @ HT, early SH goal, laid 2-0 70th - Winner +.98pts
Trencin 1-0 up @ HT, early SH goal, laid 2-0 70th - Winner +.98pts

Finally, goal crazy in Sesvete with 2 goals in the 50's and one 61st. Score 4-3 on my 70th lay. Unfortunately stayed that way but only an evens lay so no biggie! -1pts

Nothing to change on this one at present.

Profit from 4 winners 3.92pts
Loss from 2 losers -2.52pts
Total p/l 1.4pts

As my stake is £1.15 currently, actual profit slightly more in £'s (although not by much).

Bank stands at £59.15, stake remains £1.15.