"The Good Day" LTD system

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in "The Good Day" LTD system:

@gary-finnigan said in "The Good Day" LTD system:

@richard-latimer said in "The Good Day" LTD system:

@richard-latimer said in "The Good Day" LTD system:

18/05/2019 06:00 Japan J-league Normal Yokohama M. v Kobe 7 13 -6 1584 1524 60 1.248 -0.715 0.829 -0.853 0.395 0.114 3.82 9 22 10 63 49 1 21 19 6 57 15 24
18/05/2019 09:00 South Korea K League 1 Normal Suwon Bluewings v Ulsan Hyundai 9 1 8 1545 1630 -85 1.02 -0.545 1.439 -0.204 0.816 0.894 3.23 -20 15 27 64 54 -40 0 0 0 0 0 0
18/05/2019 11:00 Romania Liga 2 Normal Luceafarul Oradea v F. Constanta 9 12 -3 1530 1500 30 0.8 -0.634 0.867 -0.608 0.192 0.233 2.87 37 28 21 65 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
18/05/2019 13:00 Thailand Thai Premier League Normal Thai Port v Bangkok Utd 1 6 -5 1659 1721 -62 1.57 -0.427 0.96 -0.227 1.343 0.533 2.87 2 29 19 38 51 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
18/05/2019 15:00 Sweden Superettan Normal Varbergs v Halmstad 1 14 -13 1490 1466 24 1.045 -0.808 0.854 -0.594 0.451 0.046 3.35 27 21 17 73 39 33 33 2 -2 52 16 3
18/05/2019 17:00 Chile Primera Division Normal U. De Chile v Colo Colo 16 2 14 1560 1633 -73 0.771 -0.758 0.811 -0.764 0.007 0.053 3.1 -5 26 17 32 64 39 9 -2 2 56 0 17

Early start tomorrow, but i'll be in bed getting a much needed good nights sleep and lie in.

Struggling for liquidity in Romania this morning. Could be the nail in that leagues coffin long term.

How much do you go for as a minimum in the match odds market?

It's not so much what I go for but there was too much of a gap in back and lay price close to kick off. It was already a league many are suspicious of, know nothing of etc....so makes sense if it's going to be difficult getting matched I scrap it all together.

Rubbish again 3 winners, 2 losses.

[A Former User]

@chris-watts said in "The Good Day" LTD system:

@lee-woodman said in "The Good Day" LTD system:

@chris-watts Great run.....34 winners out of the last 37!

I’m not going to be happy until it beats @Keith-Anderson wining streak record!

It hit 20 in a row last week.....no too shabby for LTD pre-game!

[Richard Latimer]

@gary-finnigan said in "The Good Day" LTD system:

@richard-latimer said in "The Good Day" LTD system:

@richard-latimer said in "The Good Day" LTD system:

18/05/2019 06:00 Japan J-league Normal Yokohama M. v Kobe 7 13 -6 1584 1524 60 1.248 -0.715 0.829 -0.853 0.395 0.114 3.82 9 22 10 63 49 1 21 19 6 57 15 24
18/05/2019 09:00 South Korea K League 1 Normal Suwon Bluewings v Ulsan Hyundai 9 1 8 1545 1630 -85 1.02 -0.545 1.439 -0.204 0.816 0.894 3.23 -20 15 27 64 54 -40 0 0 0 0 0 0
18/05/2019 11:00 Romania Liga 2 Normal Luceafarul Oradea v F. Constanta 9 12 -3 1530 1500 30 0.8 -0.634 0.867 -0.608 0.192 0.233 2.87 37 28 21 65 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
18/05/2019 13:00 Thailand Thai Premier League Normal Thai Port v Bangkok Utd 1 6 -5 1659 1721 -62 1.57 -0.427 0.96 -0.227 1.343 0.533 2.87 2 29 19 38 51 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
18/05/2019 15:00 Sweden Superettan Normal Varbergs v Halmstad 1 14 -13 1490 1466 24 1.045 -0.808 0.854 -0.594 0.451 0.046 3.35 27 21 17 73 39 33 33 2 -2 52 16 3
18/05/2019 17:00 Chile Primera Division Normal U. De Chile v Colo Colo 16 2 14 1560 1633 -73 0.771 -0.758 0.811 -0.764 0.007 0.053 3.1 -5 26 17 32 64 39 9 -2 2 56 0 17

Early start tomorrow, but i'll be in bed getting a much needed good nights sleep and lie in.

Struggling for liquidity in Romania this morning. Could be the nail in that leagues coffin long term.

How much do you go for as a minimum in the match odds market?

It's not so much what I go for but there was too much of a gap in back and lay price close to kick off. It was already a league many are suspicious of, know nothing of etc....so makes sense if it's going to be difficult getting matched I scrap it all together.

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer said in "The Good Day" LTD system:

@richard-latimer said in "The Good Day" LTD system:

18/05/2019 06:00 Japan J-league Normal Yokohama M. v Kobe 7 13 -6 1584 1524 60 1.248 -0.715 0.829 -0.853 0.395 0.114 3.82 9 22 10 63 49 1 21 19 6 57 15 24
18/05/2019 09:00 South Korea K League 1 Normal Suwon Bluewings v Ulsan Hyundai 9 1 8 1545 1630 -85 1.02 -0.545 1.439 -0.204 0.816 0.894 3.23 -20 15 27 64 54 -40 0 0 0 0 0 0
18/05/2019 11:00 Romania Liga 2 Normal Luceafarul Oradea v F. Constanta 9 12 -3 1530 1500 30 0.8 -0.634 0.867 -0.608 0.192 0.233 2.87 37 28 21 65 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
18/05/2019 13:00 Thailand Thai Premier League Normal Thai Port v Bangkok Utd 1 6 -5 1659 1721 -62 1.57 -0.427 0.96 -0.227 1.343 0.533 2.87 2 29 19 38 51 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
18/05/2019 15:00 Sweden Superettan Normal Varbergs v Halmstad 1 14 -13 1490 1466 24 1.045 -0.808 0.854 -0.594 0.451 0.046 3.35 27 21 17 73 39 33 33 2 -2 52 16 3
18/05/2019 17:00 Chile Primera Division Normal U. De Chile v Colo Colo 16 2 14 1560 1633 -73 0.771 -0.758 0.811 -0.764 0.007 0.053 3.1 -5 26 17 32 64 39 9 -2 2 56 0 17

Early start tomorrow, but i'll be in bed getting a much needed good nights sleep and lie in.

Struggling for liquidity in Romania this morning. Could be the nail in that leagues coffin long term.

How much do you go for as a minimum in the match odds market?

[Richard Latimer]

@vito-carrescia said in "The Good Day" LTD system:

@richard-latimer I've noticed that the value for the match Luceafarul Oradea v F. Constanta have changed overnight. Your screenshot shows a Goal Expectation of 2.87, this morning the value dropped to 1.43
Can someone explain why?

To be honest no one knows. Something happens when the ratings update. Hence why selections from the day before won't always be the same as those taken on the day.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in "The Good Day" LTD system:

18/05/2019 06:00 Japan J-league Normal Yokohama M. v Kobe 7 13 -6 1584 1524 60 1.248 -0.715 0.829 -0.853 0.395 0.114 3.82 9 22 10 63 49 1 21 19 6 57 15 24
18/05/2019 09:00 South Korea K League 1 Normal Suwon Bluewings v Ulsan Hyundai 9 1 8 1545 1630 -85 1.02 -0.545 1.439 -0.204 0.816 0.894 3.23 -20 15 27 64 54 -40 0 0 0 0 0 0
18/05/2019 11:00 Romania Liga 2 Normal Luceafarul Oradea v F. Constanta 9 12 -3 1530 1500 30 0.8 -0.634 0.867 -0.608 0.192 0.233 2.87 37 28 21 65 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
18/05/2019 13:00 Thailand Thai Premier League Normal Thai Port v Bangkok Utd 1 6 -5 1659 1721 -62 1.57 -0.427 0.96 -0.227 1.343 0.533 2.87 2 29 19 38 51 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
18/05/2019 15:00 Sweden Superettan Normal Varbergs v Halmstad 1 14 -13 1490 1466 24 1.045 -0.808 0.854 -0.594 0.451 0.046 3.35 27 21 17 73 39 33 33 2 -2 52 16 3
18/05/2019 17:00 Chile Primera Division Normal U. De Chile v Colo Colo 16 2 14 1560 1633 -73 0.771 -0.758 0.811 -0.764 0.007 0.053 3.1 -5 26 17 32 64 39 9 -2 2 56 0 17

Early start tomorrow, but i'll be in bed getting a much needed good nights sleep and lie in.

Struggling for liquidity in Romania this morning. Could be the nail in that leagues coffin long term.

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer I've noticed that the value for the match Luceafarul Oradea v F. Constanta have changed overnight. Your screenshot shows a Goal Expectation of 2.87, this morning the value dropped to 1.43
Can someone explain why?

[Ryan]

@chris-watts great goal to aim for that buddy

[Richard Latimer]

18/05/2019 06:00 Japan J-league Normal Yokohama M. v Kobe 7 13 -6 1584 1524 60 1.248 -0.715 0.829 -0.853 0.395 0.114 3.82 9 22 10 63 49 1 21 19 6 57 15 24
18/05/2019 09:00 South Korea K League 1 Normal Suwon Bluewings v Ulsan Hyundai 9 1 8 1545 1630 -85 1.02 -0.545 1.439 -0.204 0.816 0.894 3.23 -20 15 27 64 54 -40 0 0 0 0 0 0
18/05/2019 11:00 Romania Liga 2 Normal Luceafarul Oradea v F. Constanta 9 12 -3 1530 1500 30 0.8 -0.634 0.867 -0.608 0.192 0.233 2.87 37 28 21 65 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
18/05/2019 13:00 Thailand Thai Premier League Normal Thai Port v Bangkok Utd 1 6 -5 1659 1721 -62 1.57 -0.427 0.96 -0.227 1.343 0.533 2.87 2 29 19 38 51 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
18/05/2019 15:00 Sweden Superettan Normal Varbergs v Halmstad 1 14 -13 1490 1466 24 1.045 -0.808 0.854 -0.594 0.451 0.046 3.35 27 21 17 73 39 33 33 2 -2 52 16 3
18/05/2019 17:00 Chile Primera Division Normal U. De Chile v Colo Colo 16 2 14 1560 1633 -73 0.771 -0.758 0.811 -0.764 0.007 0.053 3.1 -5 26 17 32 64 39 9 -2 2 56 0 17

Early start tomorrow, but i'll be in bed getting a much needed good nights sleep and lie in.

[A Former User]

@lee-woodman said in "The Good Day" LTD system:

@chris-watts Great run.....34 winners out of the last 37!

I’m not going to be happy until it beats @Keith-Anderson wining streak record!

[A Former User]

@chris-watts Great run.....34 winners out of the last 37!

[A Former User]

@chris-watts said in "The Good Day" LTD system:

Just one for me today:

Finland Veikkausliiga Inter Turku v KuPS

Another winner, on a good run with these!

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in "The Good Day" LTD system:

2 more tomorrow (first is an overnighter)

Los Angeles vs FC Dallas 03:00am
Chojniczanka vs Tychy

Both winners so Wednesday firmly behind me now.

[A Former User]

One for me too

Kasimpasa v Konyaspor

[A Former User]

Just one for me today:

Finland Veikkausliiga Inter Turku v KuPS

[Richard Latimer]

2 more tomorrow (first is an overnighter)

Los Angeles vs FC Dallas 03:00am
Chojniczanka vs Tychy

[A Former User]

@chris-watts said in "The Good Day" LTD system:

A couple of selections for today from me:

Belgium Jupiler League Antwerp v Gent
Belgium Jupiler League St. Liege v Club Brugge KV

Two winners. Nice.

[A Former User]

3 out of 3.. On paper.. But still something.
I keep having doubts about leagues with only a few games..

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in "The Good Day" LTD system:

3 for today on mine:

Haka in Finland Ykkonen - A league with plenty of liquidity and not the lowest league offered by betfair in Finland. Very high goal expectancy even though only ave 2.6 positions seperate them in table.

Sandefjord in Norway Obos-ligaen (Norway 1) - Again plenty of liquidity and not lowest league offered in Norway on betfair. High goal expectancy and nowhere near each other in table.

Ripensia - Romania Liga 2. Lowest league offered in Romania but usually not bad liquidity and has so far given 4 wins to only 1 loss. Decent goal expectancy and nowhere near each other in table.

With the listing above I'm just trying to lay things out clearly to ensure I'm confident of each selection and also where I may be unsure of leagues long term but selection has eveything else going for it.

In terms of leagues moving forward, one way may be to exclude the lowest common denominator in each country offered on betfair.

Back to winning ways

[A Former User]

@vito-carrescia Good luck Vito, give us a shout if need any help.