*****New Football Thread*****

[Martin]

Welcome to the new football trading main thread!

Keep all of your football trading discussion in here!

Not sure where to start with football trading? Take a look at our beginners guide: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-ultimate-trading-start-guide

We have written a guide on what to consider before following any trades, this is a must read before following any trades below: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-betfair-essentials

FHG = First Half Goal
SHG = Second Half Goal
LTD = Lay The Draw
LCS = Lay Current Score

My testing sheet for 2025: Football testing 2025: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rO--lA-RazH6WrqV9ZflwRTJCPnACyFWO9e_wygEgmo/edit?gid=0#gid=0

[Nikki HALSALL]

Still mostly Paper Trading but so far now that my O1.5 is now a Lay U1.5 after advice on forum it looks like it has some potential. FHG, I confess I am not in love with but still gathering data to make an edit at some point then decide if to ditch it or not, maybe give it 6 months. LTD I am really liking, the stats look good so far. Also gathering data for an under 3.5 which is now ready for tweaking.

Enjoying it so far

[Shannon Townsend]

@Martin i like the summer leagues as last year it really focused me as less selections so concentrate more and can often trade at times that suit me better so excited for this year.

[Martin]

@Shannon-Townsend sounds positive overall then! I always find the end of season stuff tricky but luckily the summer leagues are about to kick in, my favourite leagues to trade!

[Shannon Townsend]

@Martin LTD been going well and BTTS back on track after a slow few months but overs i am tracking been struggling...

[Martin]

How's April going for everyone? The end of season stuff has been very up and down for me. Can't wait for the summer leagues to properly kick in!

[Ryan]

@Alastair-Todd Yeh those days are brutal, especially when they come in a batch, its not fun his trading thing at times, but I always try to think about the times where I have been on a long run, I use these times when I have lost to keep me grounded and remind me its variance and thats a bitch.

[Stephen Hancox]

@Alastair-Todd Tough one to take, especially if you've invested a lot of time as well on the day. I always look at how Strats perform over a 100 trades at a time. Then I look at 3% profit minimum ideally. All of my Strats have many bad losing days. Took me a few years to get used to that.

[Alastair Todd]

Sometimes this trading business winds me up - 15 winning trades today and then the last three trades of the day lost, which ended up wiping out all profit for the day. In fact a couple of quid down - what an absolute waste of time

[Martin]

@Andy-Donnelly good shout that!

[Andy Donnelly]

Man Utd at 1.72 tonight. Got to be brave to be backing them at that price. Feels like decent lay value there

[Martin]

@Tony-Hastie it clearly knows it's stuff

[Tony Hastie]

@Martin You're chat gpt famous

[Ryan]

@Everyone Martin and I are planning some good podcasts and videos covering the summer leagues, I want to know your Q’s / Concerns or comments about the summer leagues?

[Ryan]

@Tony-Hastie @Mark-Maguire what have you started again?

[Mr. Emmet Moorehouse]

@Tony-Hastie They're probably on strike.

[Tony Hastie]

All hells broken loose in France

[Martin]

@Kevin-March depends on scope setting but it is usually 10 matches each team

[Kevin March]

@Martin
Thanks Martin
Maybe I am being a bit dim

number of goals to what
By putting the first criteria, what would i be saying
Is it
I want teams to come up who have scored 20 goals in each of those time brackets over the past week, or month, or year or season - not sure what

for the Ov HT 0-0% <=

Does that mean i am looking for teams who have scored under 20 goals before half time over the past week, season etc

Sorry to be a pain

[Martin]

@Kevin-March 20 will be the total number of goals then