*****New Football Thread*****
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@Ben-Dobie said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Villa are 4.0 to win tonight
Liverpool 1.83Liverpool nothing to play for, Villa can secure CL football
thought that and you may well have something here but Liverpool appear on one of my filters that does really well so I'm leaving it
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@GREGORIOS-KARASHIALIS I don't think 5 games is excessive. Just make sure the selections are of good value, it seems like you are trading a bit scattergun at the moment.
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@Martin I think when I trade on Saturdays I go a bit mad… I want to trade to many games.
I need help to master this for next season.
One game at 12.30
Second game in Germany at 2.30
Third game in the Prem at 3pm
Fourth game in the prem 5.30
And
Last game in la liga or serie a at 7.45/8pmHelp me
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@GREGORIOS-KARASHIALIS the one you shared the pictures of Fulham v Man City
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@Martin what game are you referring to
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@GREGORIOS-KARASHIALIS how did your trade go? Odds a bit short for my liking here. What were the prematch stats that stood out to you on this one?
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@Alex-Rule Thanks for spotting this, it was basically free money
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@Alex-Rule nice one
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Just seen this offer on the Betfair Sports book. Worth a go I reckon
Rodri has to committed the most fouls in the Man City squad, 15 more than Walker in second.
With 38 fouls in 31 appearances, Rodri is averaging 1.28 committed P/90.
Rodri will be in and around Muniz, Palhinha and Pereira who average 1.94, 1.93 and 0.96 fouls drawn P/90 respectively.
BOOOOM!
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hi all.... i just watched martins video? over 0.5, 1.5 and 2.5 goals in the first half.... would you use that strategy in fulham v man city today? what do toy think of these odds? would your trade straight out after the first goal, if all markets went green?
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Over 1.5 Goals (BTC):
12:35 - Chengdu Rongcheng vs Henan Songshan Longme
13:00 - Shanghai Port vs Changchun Yatai
17:30 - Paderborn vs Hamburger SVSHG:
12:35 - Chengdu Rongcheng vs Henan Songshan Longmen
17:30 - Paderborn vs Hamburger SV
19:30 – Augsburg v Stuttgart
19:45 – Shamrock Rovers v St Pats
19:45 – Shelbourne v Drogheda
19:45 – Derry City v Bohemians
20:00 – Doncaster v Crewe
20:00 - Brest vs Reims
20:00 – Nice v Le HavreHome Wins:
19:45 – Shamrock Rovers v St Pats (1.61)
19:45 – Shelbourne v Drogheda (1.71) -
@Simeon-Bogg said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Just started a couple of weeks ago with small stakes for the time being.
One of the strategies I have been following is the Lay Under 1.5 goals setting on the software.
It got off to a great start but recently saw 7 losses in a row. 5 of which were games from the League of Ireland Premier Division.
I don't have much data to confidently make any tweaks to the setting just yet, so I was wondering if anybody else has been doing this one this season.
Would anyone say that that league is one to avoid in the future?
Or does this kind of variance often occur?
I am a Hammers fan by the way - still feeling sore after Sunday!
League of Ireland was poor at the weekend for SHG too.
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@Simeon-Bogg said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Martin
Thanks for the heads up Martin.The losses didn't hurt as I am starting off with really low stakes just to get some data and to kind of simulate the trading experience.
I will still keep track of the results of this filter, and compare how it performs backing over 1.5 vs. laying it.
I am going to just try to collect as much data as possible for one year with various strategies and see if I can come up with any meaningful tweaks.
great idea!
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@Martin
Thanks for the heads up Martin.The losses didn't hurt as I am starting off with really low stakes just to get some data and to kind of simulate the trading experience.
I will still keep track of the results of this filter, and compare how it performs backing over 1.5 vs. laying it.
I am going to just try to collect as much data as possible for one year with various strategies and see if I can come up with any meaningful tweaks.
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@Simeon-Bogg those example strategies aren't for betting blind on. They are just examples of how to create a strategy. So I would stop trading them.
Regarding that specific strategy it worked well in Covid and a while after but stopped working once football got fully back to normal. As it was originally an under 1.5 goals strategy that did well before Covid I think that's the reason and actually it is performing well as an under 1.5 goals filter now! I am still monitoring to see if it continues and if I will trade it.
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Just started a couple of weeks ago with small stakes for the time being.
One of the strategies I have been following is the Lay Under 1.5 goals setting on the software.
It got off to a great start but recently saw 7 losses in a row. 5 of which were games from the League of Ireland Premier Division.
I don't have much data to confidently make any tweaks to the setting just yet, so I was wondering if anybody else has been doing this one this season.
Would anyone say that that league is one to avoid in the future?
Or does this kind of variance often occur?
I am a Hammers fan by the way - still feeling sore after Sunday!
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@mick-mcmahon said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Alastair-Todd nooo come on Huddersfield (Leeds fan)
No that it matters as we're bleeding losing
I really didn't want to face you in the play offs!
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@mick-mcmahon You've run us close Mick but it's not over yet...
