*****New Football Thread*****
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@Joe-Beeston Hi Joe,I certainly would do as then you would have an idea of the odds you need to achieve at the new entry point.
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Hypothetical situation with testing over 1.5.
If we have a strike rate of 80%, the break even is 1.25 odds. After reviewing the average first goal time, I decide not to enter until the 15th minute. Is there a risk that the 80% no longer stands as this could have been gained because of goals scored in the first 15 minutes, which I would no longer be getting by entering later?
Would you essentially have to rework your strike rate from the new entry point?
Hopefully that makes sense.
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AI generated?
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le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
@Simon-Bates said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Akiva-Anderson nice
SHG?
I normally don't do a SHG if a team has a two goal lead or more
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Club football is back!! Baruch HaShem!
Though I did quite well during the international break, but club football is my bread and butter.
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Going for Over 1.5 goals in the Harrogate v Doncaster Rovers match tonight
Nice!
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@Simon-Bates said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Martin would you do a more detailed video in the future on trying this kind of approach to trading, trading on the losing favourite, I think it would be interesting to see.
Got a podcast that's already uploaded coming out on Tuesday funnily enough! Make sure to listen to it.
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@Martin I see where you are coming from and the only place I could find stats for this game was on 365. It was a fairly lively game first half and it met the criteria you mentioned in you SHG video earlier in the year so I was originally looking at backing the SHG. To be honest the game came up in a strategy I am working on looking at LTD, FHG and Lay the half time draw so I already had a little tickle on it.
It was only 6 games into the season so it was probably a little bit early to taking league positions etc. into account but I felt that having won 6 of 6 Jena would be worth a look at for the turn around rather than backing the FHG.
Also odds of 6.4 seemed very big, lucky for me I managed to take the liability out when they went 2-1 up thanks to @Greg-Mitchell reminding me to do it in his post
Thanks for your input Martin. -
@Martin would you do a more detailed video in the future on trying this kind of approach to trading, trading on the losing favourite, I think it would be interesting to see.
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@Akiva-Anderson I just went for the home win, got spooked when they went 0-1 down
but kept my nerve.
Got some good luck with that one but kinda got unlucky again with another trade I also did last night, had 12.25 in, took my liability out and left myself with a free bet after 2nd goal went in only for the match to get a 3rd, this keeps happening to me
as much as it's annoying, the small greens build up quick over time.
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Going for Over 1.5 goals in the Harrogate v Doncaster Rovers match tonight
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
@nick said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Martin Altglienicke v Jena in Germany are currently winning 1-0 coming up to half time. Jena are sitting top of the table winning all 6 games they have played this season. Altglienicke have lost 3 out of the 6 games played.
Jena are 6.4 to win on betfair, 4 the draw, thinking would be a good bet for the turn around?Yeah not a bad one that good shout, I prefer home teams ideally but it would also depend on the inplay action, were Jena looking like they would score etc.
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@Akiva-Anderson I layed the draw at half time
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@Simon-Bates said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Akiva-Anderson the comeback is on, 1-1
Never in doubt!
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
@Akiva-Anderson the comeback is on, 1-1
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Zrinjski vs Sloga Doboj match is in-play here.
Zrinjski were 1.16 before kick-off. They are now 1.33 after 30 mins.
I'm in
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
@Simon-Bates Glad I greened up
