My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road
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My paper trading horse racing sytem so far
266 races +13.72 win market +29.72 place market
Will start betting these with small stakes from the weekend -
@james-rome said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
Hey Mate i was just wondering with the game you dont trade because of score lines do you still record if there’s been a goal in that game or not ? just wondering as for my shg filter thinking of doing similar and only trade certain score lines
I only record games that i trade win or lose
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Hey Mate i was just wondering with the game you dont trade because of score lines do you still record if there’s been a goal in that game or not ? just wondering as for my shg filter thinking of doing similar and only trade certain score lines
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@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
SHG List
03/10/2021 12:30 Belgian Premier League Anderlecht Club Brugge
03/10/2021 12:30 German Bundesliga 2 Schalke Ingolstadt
03/10/2021 13:15 Swiss Super League FC Zurich Sion HT odds no trade
03/10/2021 13:30 Dutch Eredivisie Cambuur AZ Alkmaar
03/10/2021 14:00 Italian Serie A Verona Spezia
03/10/2021 15:30 Swiss Super League FC Basel Luzern 0-0 HT
03/10/2021 15:30 Swiss Super League Servette Young Boys goal too early
03/10/2021 15:45 Dutch Eredivisie Vitesse Feyenoord goal too early
03/10/2021 16:30 German Bundesliga Bayern Munich Eintracht Frankfurt HT odds no trade
03/10/2021 17:00 Italian Serie A Fiorentina Napoli goal too early
03/10/2021 19:00 Dutch Eredivisie PSV Sparta Rotterdam 0-0 HTTotal +1.73 points
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SHG List
03/10/2021 12:30 Belgian Premier League Anderlecht Club Brugge
03/10/2021 12:30 German Bundesliga 2 Schalke Ingolstadt
03/10/2021 13:15 Swiss Super League FC Zurich Sion
03/10/2021 13:30 Dutch Eredivisie Cambuur AZ Alkmaar
03/10/2021 14:00 Italian Serie A Verona Spezia
03/10/2021 15:30 Swiss Super League FC Basel Luzern
03/10/2021 15:30 Swiss Super League Servette Young Boys
03/10/2021 15:45 Dutch Eredivisie Vitesse Feyenoord
03/10/2021 16:30 German Bundesliga Bayern Munich Eintracht Frankfurt
03/10/2021 17:00 Italian Serie A Fiorentina Napoli
03/10/2021 19:00 Dutch Eredivisie PSV Sparta Rotterdam -
@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
SHG List
02/10/2021 12:30 English Premier League Man Utd Everton
02/10/2021 14:00 Italian Serie A Salernitana Genoa KO odds not met no trade
02/10/2021 14:30 German Bundesliga Dortmund Augsburg HT odds too low
02/10/2021 14:30 German Bundesliga Stuttgart Hoffenheim
02/10/2021 16:00 Austrian Bundesliga Wolfsberger AC Austria Vienna
02/10/2021 16:00 French Ligue 1 Montpellier Strasbourg
02/10/2021 17:00 Italian Serie A Torino Juventus KO odds not met no trade
02/10/2021 17:00 Norwegian Tippeligaen Viking Sandefjord HT 0-0 red card
02/10/2021 17:30 Belgian Premier League Sint Truiden Oostende
02/10/2021 17:30 German Bundesliga RB Leipzig Bochum HT odds too low
02/10/2021 17:45 Dutch Eredivisie Waalwijk Go Ahead Eagles
02/10/2021 19:45 Belgian Premier League OH Leuven Beerschot Wilrijk 0-0 HT
02/10/2021 20:00 Dutch Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard NEC Nijmegen
02/10/2021 20:37 USA MLS Austin Real Salt LakeTotal points -2.21
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@steve-sandell thanks
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@jamie-clements said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
hi steve just been reading your post at the top of the page sorry new to trading can you tell me what the FDD is please and is that where you get the percentages for the leagues half time scores thanks
FDD is a football stats data site. The percentages are from there leagues but with my filters added to them
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hi steve just been reading your post at the top of the page sorry new to trading can you tell me what the FDD is please and is that where you get the percentages for the leagues half time scores thanks
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SHG List
02/10/2021 12:30 English Premier League Man Utd Everton
02/10/2021 14:00 Italian Serie A Salernitana Genoa
02/10/2021 14:30 German Bundesliga Dortmund Augsburg
02/10/2021 14:30 German Bundesliga Stuttgart Hoffenheim
02/10/2021 16:00 Austrian Bundesliga Wolfsberger AC Austria Vienna
02/10/2021 16:00 French Ligue 1 Montpellier Strasbourg
02/10/2021 17:00 Italian Serie A Torino Juventus
02/10/2021 17:00 Norwegian Tippeligaen Viking Sandefjord
02/10/2021 17:30 Belgian Premier League Sint Truiden Oostende
02/10/2021 17:30 German Bundesliga RB Leipzig Bochum
02/10/2021 17:45 Dutch Eredivisie Waalwijk Go Ahead Eagles
02/10/2021 19:45 Belgian Premier League OH Leuven Beerschot Wilrijk
02/10/2021 20:00 Dutch Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard NEC Nijmegen
02/10/2021 20:37 USA MLS Austin Real Salt Lake -
@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
SHG List
01/10/2021 19:00 Dutch Eerste Divisie Breda Excelsior
01/10/2021 19:00 Dutch Eerste Divisie FC Oss De Graafschap 0-0 HT no trade
01/10/2021 19:00 Dutch Eerste Divisie Volendam Almere City 1-1 HT but odds to low no trade
01/10/2021 19:30 German Bundesliga FC Koln Greuther Furth 0-1 HT but odds too low no trade
01/10/2021 19:30 Polish Ekstraklasa Piast Gliwice Wisla Krakow 0-0 HT but SH odds too good not to enter18:00 Turkish Super Lig Antalyaspor Adana Demirspor
Total points +1.34
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@steve-sandell looking forward to following you with this, very smart approach.
Half of trading maybe more is looking inside to what we want to do and what triggers we do.
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SHG List
01/10/2021 19:00 Dutch Eerste Divisie Breda Excelsior
01/10/2021 19:00 Dutch Eerste Divisie FC Oss De Graafschap
01/10/2021 19:00 Dutch Eerste Divisie Volendam Almere City
01/10/2021 19:30 German Bundesliga FC Koln Greuther Furth
01/10/2021 19:30 Polish Ekstraklasa Piast Gliwice Wisla Krakow18:00 Turkish Super Lig Antalyaspor Adana Demirspor -
@james-rome said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
Hey Mate if you dont mind me asking how many 0-0s data do you have just for my shg i have round 70 trades but if i didnt trade 0-0s would have double the profit just paper trading atm going to wait to about 150 to 200 before start cutting stuff out but i was just woundering as i noticed it was biggest loser but small sample size
0-0 at HT 626 games 506 had SHG = 80%
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Hey Mate if you dont mind me asking how many 0-0s data do you have just for my shg i have round 70 trades but if i didnt trade 0-0s would have double the profit just paper trading atm going to wait to about 150 to 200 before start cutting stuff out but i was just woundering as i noticed it was biggest loser but small sample size
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Hi All
Havent posted on here for a while
August was basically a no trading month. All i did was tweak my strat and have time off which was needed. So i have tweaked my SHG strat not by alot, i now dont do 0-0 well 90% there maybe a few that crop up but mainly putting 0-0 to one side until it improves. Also i have binned the LayU1.5 this was to up and down for my liking
Going forward i decided to go down the 2 ahead market for SHG mainly because i want to have that risk reward, its not to say i wont lay because there will be scenios that crops upSept was really up and down but ended the month +6.12 points up, that was from a combination of 2 ahead and a few Lays. Happy with that as it was up and down
Going foward i will post my selection on this page. My selections list will sometimes have 15 games plus but these will not all be played depending on HT scorelines. Will the post the results the following day
Cheers see you all in the chat -
@darri Thanks mate. I already trade footy but, yes, still have a lot to learn.
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@paul-benstead-0 Hi mate youll find this a great place to learn. The members strategies mentioned are not all on the stats software because some trade pre match or select certain games from their lists.
You can find the members and their strats here:
Alan: split stake automation and he also posts on the Football Thread
Keith: Football Thread
MY trades: Football thread and Blog/Results
Stuart: LTDThe btc lads Ryan/Martin are all on the stats and are used for a watchlist for you to then trade, martin posts these on a daily sheet/thread each day.
As you can see some of these strategies overlap so i might encourage you test a few out see what you like and dont like. There are hundreds of good variations on all of these strats that you will see for other members too. We cant trade everything tho so just select 1-2 and go from there. BTC is not a tipping service. Use this site to learn to trade not copy, some of these members dont always post (holidays, family etc) and it will be hard to replicate all their trades as some happen at different times of day when you might be away, so try to forget copying and learn from them first and foremost. Any questions give us a message and make use of the private coaching tab!
Iv noticed you are quite active on the forum asking questions on threads which is great, but be patient with this and dont expect all your answers to be instant in terms of turning you into a trader. Take all this in slowly so it has time to settle and then get on with trading. Its easy at start to want everything now and be making cash, but think long term and learn everything first before committing. Very little succeed in rushing in. If this was easy everyone would be doing it.
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@darri said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
Keiths, Stuarts, Mine, Alans, Ryans or the BTC selections.
Hi Darri,
Just joined, been reading your input on some threads and you're obviously experinced.
You mention 'Keiths, Stuarts, Mine, Alans, Ryans' selections. Have some of these been discontinued as I only see Ryans strats from this list in the strats tab?
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@matt-wood
Good luck with it Matt. Also to you too Steve.
