Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Richard Latimer

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Still nicely ahead this month but with a few kicks in the teeth showing me where not to go in future in terms of my parameters.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

Lay under 1.5:

Bodes pretty well for Peru as that's already a very good league for these and the figures furthest right which I've just started looking at show ave goals + h/a scored, h/a conceded averages.

There's yet to be a loss on my qualifying data @ 9.65 or above from 50 trades

2/2 and it's been a little while since I could say that.

Lay under 1.5:

0_1658184907175_045f45b4-af1e-4b5e-a4d8-f4e05dee8ac8-image.png

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

Lay under 1.5:

Bodes pretty well for Peru as that's already a very good league for these and the figures furthest right which I've just started looking at show ave goals + h/a scored, h/a conceded averages.

There's yet to be a loss on my qualifying data @ 9.65 or above from 50 trades

Richard Latimer

Lay under 1.5:

0_1658156706511_da3a38c9-bf31-46d8-899f-18019d06f26d-image.png

Richard Latimer

I've been told I'm better at accepting losing streaks although I think I still have work to do. Luckily it's easy enough to reintroduce things after deciding to scrap them when I have all my smart filters at work in excell.

To scrap those 60 selections is to scrap 29pts since the end of May which is pretty potty! S/r's are lower but odds too are loweer.

I have moved to do away with teams not in the same league as each other the season before as it was only a few and actually makes things less complicated for the sake of 1 or 2pts.

There's nothing else today anyway so I'll start afresh tomorrow with some ground to make up from the high point reached a good week ago!

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

Lay Under 1.5 Montreal. Almost missed it.

Shame I didn't miss it!

I opened the variables out on this too much I think and the last week has shown me I have to get it tighter again so until there is at least another months data on anything under 3+ average goals I'll be leaving well alone.

This does mean I'm saying goodbye to a good 60 selections since the end of May but I think it's best to be brutal FOR NOW. I've gone from 25% ROI in July to around 10% losing 15% in a week.

The one saving grace is that even had I not opened it out so much there have only been 15 selections in July 3+ and the last of those just lost meaning I pretty much got to a similar place, just with a lot more ups and downs.

Richard Latimer

Lay Under 1.5 Montreal. Almost missed it.

Richard Latimer

June is beginning to look like an anomaly with some of the lower goal averages so going back to 3+ for now and tracking the rest. At least it's quickly falling away now!

4/6 for a loss

Richard Latimer

@chris-osborne said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

@richard-latimer may e with the winter leagues starting to get back in action there’s quite a few today, this area of concern will rectify itself when they have enough games in the bank

Good to see the overall returns though

It will either quickly fall away or it will continue to bring profit. I'm not worried.

Better it quickly fall away than cause large problems with the upcoming volumes.

? Offline

@richard-latimer may e with the winter leagues starting to get back in action there’s quite a few today, this area of concern will rectify itself when they have enough games in the bank

Good to see the overall returns though

Richard Latimer

Just noticed, this makes it sound like the system is 3 points down for July. Couldn't be further from the truth!

Overall its almost 20% up for me since beginning of July.

Just the lower ends of overall goal averages which is causing me some concern.

Richard Latimer

While they are still in decent profit and only 3pts down for July I will keep plugging away. Lay under 1.5:

0_1657933042279_4a94a165-d685-4f50-bfed-307f464c6dc2-image.png

Richard Latimer

Disappointing but not damaging. The low end of the scale on average goals is still providing decent points but 2.15-2.45 now down to 7pts from 20 trades and 85% s/r. Seems ok on the surface but what I'm not liking is July is down to 66% and red for these so could be that June was just a purple patch as I didn't start tracking the lower goal averages until then.

One good month, one bad month so far.....