Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

Lay Under 1.5:

Ger 3. Liga doesn't have enough data yet. Switzerland must be max price of 6.6

And of course GER Bundesliga must be max 6.8. Which from looking briefly this morning is never going to happen.

[Richard Latimer]

These are tomorrows home lays - Netherlands Eerste is on the fringes though so won't be trading that:

[Richard Latimer]

Just updating everything at the moment but while I do that the high odds loss in UAE has been bothering me. Not because it was a mistake. It wasn't.

However going through the selections now it appears that since Feb (so almost an entire year) I have 4 selections from the UAE in the high price bracket. One of those has now lost so for the whole year....red.

I'm not exactly sure where this ends. Maybe the sizeable enough profit from high odds games disappears one by one or maybe it just weeds out some leagues at higher odds over time. Either way, I can't really see any massive cons to excluding high odds in UAE from here on so that's what I'm doing.

[Richard Latimer]

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

Lay Under 1.5 (German game must be max 6.6 lay price 5 mins before kick off as per oddsportal).

EDIT: Max 6.8....last time I looked it was just about a qualifier.

2/2

[Richard Latimer]

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

Home lay if the price climbs past 1.9

1-3 so a win. I laid @ 2.06 having just missed kick off.

[Richard Latimer]

Lay Under 1.5 (German game must be max 6.6 lay price 5 mins before kick off as per oddsportal).

EDIT: Max 6.8....last time I looked it was just about a qualifier.

[Richard Latimer]

Home lay if the price climbs past 1.9

[Richard Latimer]

@Martin average odds around 5.3 I think. S/r should be hovering around 91% over the year.

[Martin]

@Richard-Latimer those are some thin odds on the over 1.5, wishing you good luck with it.

[Richard Latimer]

And the over 1.5...

Despite it not exactly taking off into orbit this one is kind of doing exactly what it should, just a bit slower than one hoped.

Start with a loss.
8 winning trades to counter the loss and more.
Then another loss.
Another 8 winning trades would be superb please (7 after today)

I should also add that I only had 6 winning trades as one of the missed was in German Bundesliga before I tweaked that. The other was Guimareas.

There was one more in India but need more data there.

[Richard Latimer]

A very poor start to the home lays. Here's hoping for immediate improvement:

[Richard Latimer]

Nothing even potentially until Fri morning now.

[Richard Latimer]

Disappointing day and yet still, the bank being split into 2 pots makes it way less so.

Newcastle went over 1.5 easily.

And the Costa Rican game minimised the damage on home lays.

Full update to follow.

[Richard Latimer]

Just watched highlights. Oh my days. That goalkeeper for Al Ain....

[Richard Latimer]

Well the run in the UAE had to end at some point. But why did it have to end at odds of 8.8???

[Richard Latimer]

@Martin Only leagues I don't track are when liquidity and volume become too low. Then I'll wipe them from sheet and delete from filter like I did with Wales last night despite the wins.

Exception to that was Estonia where I got in a tiz and deleted from home lays sheet and filter after a very poor loss

[Martin]

@Richard-Latimer do you still track them once removed or is that untracked?

[Richard Latimer]

Chance to go again on Germany so soon in the over 1.5 but odds look a little high considering I'm only going up to 6.8 there now:

[Richard Latimer]

Home lays:

[Richard Latimer]

Now I'm actively trading the over 1.5 it will be time to start weeding out leagues I can't actually use in practice I guess.