Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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1 for tomorrow. If Haka still 0-0 @ HT and odds risen I'll back them and remove liability if they score first before assessing options.
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For tomorrow @ 12:00
If Buriram should fall behind tomorrow or still 0-0 @ HT I will either lay the opposition or back the home team with the aim of greening up at some point.
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2 from 2 on the backs with both Palmeiras and Shamrock going in 0-0 @ HT but scoring in the 2nd. If you'd held on to Shamrock too long then a late equalizer would have lost one of the trades.
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Stuff to look at today:
Lay ELO underdog should they score first. Double down if they score the 2nd and assess/green up as appropriate when things start to go the right way.
08/06/2019 11:00 Japan J-league Division 2 Normal Renofa Yamaguchi v Yokohama
08/06/2019 15:00 Sweden Superettan Normal Brommapojkarna v Mjallby
08/06/2019 17:00 Ireland Division 1 Normal Drogheda v Athlone
08/06/2019 19:30 Ireland Division 1 Normal Longford v Wexford
08/06/2019 19:30 Spain Laliga2 Normal Granada CF v Alcorcon
08/06/2019 19:30 Spain Laliga2 Normal Dep. La Coruna v Cordoba
08/06/2019 20:00 Brazil Serie C Normal EC Sao Jose v Boa
08/06/2019 20:30 Brazil Serie A Normal Palmeiras v Atletico-PRBack ELO favourite if still 0-0 at HT and odds risen. Assess/green up as appropriate when things start to go as expected.
08/06/2019 15:00 Sweden Superettan Normal Brommapojkarna v Mjallby
08/06/2019 17:00 Ireland Division 1 Normal Drogheda v Athlone
08/06/2019 19:00 Ireland Premier Division Normal Shamrock Rovers v Derry City
08/06/2019 19:30 Spain Laliga2 Normal Dep. La Coruna v Cordoba
08/06/2019 20:00 Brazil Serie C Normal EC Sao Jose v Boa
08/06/2019 20:30 Brazil Serie A Normal Palmeiras v Atletico-PRFull details on sheet.
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I think it's probably easier at this point that I just say when there is something going on. Rigor setting in right now it's so dead on the football front.
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Nothing and nobody. A girl is no one.
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So bored already with this. Nothing for tomorrow.
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Yesterday was rubbish with only 1 qualifier and that going on to lose.
Today only 1 potential for backing if 0-0 @ HT and odds risen. Esperance Tunis.
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Todays Potentials (No LTD until I've found something that works):
On The Comeback Trail - Lay opposition if ELO favourite goes ahead and double down if they go ahead further. Remove liability after goal in your favour and assess after that.
0_1559463829482_93ef79ae-e0f8-462f-af7c-0605b1b4dcc6-image.png 02/06/2019 12:35 China Super League Normal Tianjin Teda v Beijing Guoan 7 1 6 1471 1665 -194 0.641 -1.092 1.286 -0.375 0.266 0.194 2.93 -17 13 33 39 71 4 8 25 19 54 -5 26
02/06/2019 14:00 Sweden Allsvenskan Normal AIK v Hammarby 4 6 -2 1757 1647 110 0.839 0.137 1.024 -0.479 0.36 1.161 2.15 23 45 24 76 48 45 12 5 -7 54 7 37
02/06/2019 16:00 Belarus Vysshaya Liga Normal Slutsk v Brest 14 1 13 1420 1652 -232 0.248 -1.007 1.398 -0.197 0.051 0.391 3.07 -37 8 56 20 73 -20 0 0 0 0 0 0
02/06/2019 16:30 Finland Veikkausliiga Normal Honka v KPV Kokkola 4 12 -8 1620 1459 161 1.157 -0.395 -0.032 -1.026 0.131 -0.427 2.77 31 47 10 81 46 41 0 0 0 0 0 0
02/06/2019 22:30 Chile Primera Division Normal U. Catolica v U. Espanola 1 3 -2 1675 1558 117 0.969 -0.296 0.645 -0.743 0.226 0.349 2.81 20 47 13 72 44 16 3 -8 -1 56 18 7
02/06/2019 23:00 Brazil Serie A Normal Atletico-MG v CSA 2 16 -14 1610 1495 115 0.991 -0.524 -0.018 -0.495 0.496 -0.542 2.61 26 50 15 73 45 17 0 0 0 0 0 0Setting The Pace - Back ELO favourite if still 0-0 at HT and odds risen.
0_1559463880330_2c88c607-12fb-4202-9ade-cf27141585ab-image.png 02/06/2019 09:00 South Korea K League 1 Normal Jeonbuk v Sangju Sangmu 1 5 -4 1753 1455 298 1.627 0.093 0.674 -0.454 1.173 0.767 2.71 27 45 11 50 28 38 0 0 0 0 0 0
02/06/2019 14:00 Sweden Allsvenskan Normal AIK v Hammarby 4 6 -2 1757 1647 110 0.839 0.137 1.024 -0.479 0.36 1.161 2.15 23 45 24 76 48 45 12 5 -7 54 7 37
02/06/2019 16:30 Finland Veikkausliiga Normal Honka v KPV Kokkola 4 12 -8 1620 1459 161 1.157 -0.395 -0.032 -1.026 0.131 -0.427 2.77 31 47 10 81 46 41 0 0 0 0 0 0No Jeonbuk as red in 1st half
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Todays Potentials (Kashiwa back already in the bag):
On the comeback trail - Lay opposition if they score.
23:00 Atlanta Utd - MLS
Setting The Pace - Back if still 0-0 at HT and odds have risen.
15:00 FK Suduva - Lithuania
17:00 BATE Borisov - Belarus
20:00 Flamengo - Brasil
22:00 Montreal Impact - MLS
23:00 Atlanta UtdLTD HT - LTD @ HT if scores 0-0 or 1-1.
12:35 Shanghai Shenhua v Chongqing Lifan - China
12:35 Guangzhou R&F v Hebei CFFC - China
13:00Energetik - BGU Minsk - Belarus
15:00Grindavik v Vikingur Reykjavik - Iceland
15:00 IFK Goteburg v Orebro - Sweden
15:00 Degerfors v IK Frej - Sweden
17:00 Ostersunds FK v Sundsvall - Sweden
19:00 CA Fenix v Rampla Juniors - UruguayDouble check times as sometimes they are not 100% accurate but this is what I have. These are trades so I will remove all liability as soon as possible. If another goal against on a lay I will double down and cash out if a goal is pulled back regardless of taking small red etc...
With LTD I will more than likely green up immediately unless contest is one sided. With others I will assess but look tom be out no later than 75-80mins on away lay and around 60 mins on home lay. Home backs around 70 minutes.
There is no exit point so if the trade loses it loses.
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Today's all up on spreadsheet. Kashiwa currently 0-0 at ht. That's a back.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Bit of time now so I'll post up todays selections as per spreadsheet:
On the Comeback Trail - Lay opposition if opposition goes ahead at any time. Up to around 86 mins.
14:00 K. Almaty - Kazakhstan
14:00 FC Astana - Kazakhstan
17:00 Zalgiris - Lithuania
20:00 Osasuna - SpainSetting the Pace - Expected to score first so if 0-0 at HT and odds have risen, back to win.
14:00 FC Astana
18:00 Brondby - Denmark
18:45 Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Belarus
19:45 Dundalk - IrelandI will remove all liability as soon as expected goal comes and then assess from there but unless it's a late late late goal I will be out before FT.
Lay Draw HT - Only if 0-0 or 1-1.
23:15 Figueirense - Brasil
Self explanatory. As soon as expected goal comes I will remove all liability and then green up completely unless one side encounter with favourite winning. Regardless I will be out before FT again unless the goal comes late late late into injury time.
There is no exit point in case of no goals or the wrong goals.
2 qualifiers. 1 in Lithuania where Zalgiris went behind before equalizing. Now Figueirense match just finishing with profit for LTD long ago secured after an early 2nd half goal.
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Bit of time now so I'll post up todays selections as per spreadsheet:
On the Comeback Trail - Lay opposition if opposition goes ahead at any time. Up to around 86 mins.
14:00 K. Almaty - Kazakhstan
14:00 FC Astana - Kazakhstan
17:00 Zalgiris - Lithuania
20:00 Osasuna - SpainSetting the Pace - Expected to score first so if 0-0 at HT and odds have risen, back to win.
14:00 FC Astana
18:00 Brondby - Denmark
18:45 Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Belarus
19:45 Dundalk - IrelandI will remove all liability as soon as expected goal comes and then assess from there but unless it's a late late late goal I will be out before FT.
Lay Draw HT - Only if 0-0 or 1-1.
23:15 Figueirense - Brasil
Self explanatory. As soon as expected goal comes I will remove all liability and then green up completely unless one side encounter with favourite winning. Regardless I will be out before FT again unless the goal comes late late late into injury time.
There is no exit point in case of no goals or the wrong goals.
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Sheet all updated with tomorrows. If anyone has any questions please ask.
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Didn't post today but as always the selections were up on sheet. Got good green on Club Africain as they went a man up and subsequently 1-0 up. Zamalek took the lead and I removed liability. Unfortunately they conceded less than 10 minutes later and couldn't find a winner so break even there.
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No time ro post selections but it's all on sheet. First game 11.00. South Korea.
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@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:
Not masses on today.
LTD HT
Karvina vs Jihlava - Czech Rep.
Dalkurd vs OrgrytePrime for a comeback should they concede first
Malmo
Back at HT if still 0-0
Malmo
From now on as soon as a goal goes for providing I can get to a computer or phone I think the first thing I will do is remove all liability. This would be seem to be what all the pros would do. Having a position of green turn red seems more psychologically damaging than a position of green turn to break even.
So I took out liability at 1-1 and then as soon as the 2nd went in cashed out.
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Not masses on today.
LTD HT
Karvina vs Jihlava - Czech Rep.
Dalkurd vs OrgrytePrime for a comeback should they concede first
Malmo
Back at HT if still 0-0
Malmo
From now on as soon as a goal goes for providing I can get to a computer or phone I think the first thing I will do is remove all liability. This would be seem to be what all the pros would do. Having a position of green turn red seems more psychologically damaging than a position of green turn to break even.
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Great day other than Skeid. I initiallly got out of Penarol at after they equalised and then conceded just before HT. I then remembered how I'd seen potential results were much better if you rode out a few bumps and went back in around 56-60 mins. A late late equaliser there to make it 2-2 finished the day off nicely:
Aarau - Backed at 0-0, cashed at 1-0
Skeid - LTD, no goal, loss
Osijek - Layed Zapresic at 0-1, cashed at 2-1
Deportivo Laferrere - LTD, cashed at 1-0
Inter - Backed at 0-0, cashed at 1-0 on 70 mins
Hafnarfjordur - Layed Fylkir at 1-0, cashed at HT 1-1
Penarol - Layed Progresso at 0-1, went minor red at HT 1-2, back in around 56-60mins, cashed at 2-2 94th min -
I'm back in the saddle. Sort of.
Sheet updated with potentials. Any questions, please ask.