Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

Ratings back and I see we missed a very good ELO tonight in Paraguay. Good to note that it was in another lay strategy I'm trying to refine using stats alone.

[Richard Latimer]

Very up and down start to Sept so far.

Frustration in Finland (for the time on my shitcanned list for ELO's), elation in Brazil (H2 goal at good odds), then frustration in Brazil (Gremio dominating whole game and somehow managing too go 2 down - luckily getting one back immediately after the re-lay to minimise losses), elation in China with a good comeback and then a little more frustration trying to trade without stats on what looked a good comeback opportunity.

In spite of this I'm still only around 1.5pts down and the month can now begin proper with the stats back.

[Richard Latimer]

Made the right call for Ireland to be on s**t canned list for time being. Would have had a semi costly loss in Drogheda as they lost to a single goal in the 60th.

[Richard Latimer]

When I'm too busy to post on specific games they win haha! Nice green in Guangzhou who pulled back from 0-1 to win 2-1.

I laid @ 2.62 but unlike most of these the price kept dropping quite quickly and not really in accordance with time decay. Always bugs me when I end up with a poor price haha!

[Richard Latimer]

If home falls behind 0-2, lay away:

[Richard Latimer]

Only goal game is Malaysia. No data on that league as yet so another one I'll let pass and simply track.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Fri ELO's

Oh yeah, Malaysia and Ireland data is thin so I'll be leaving these and just tracking.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

0-2. how exactly is anyone's guess but there it is. Absolutely one way traffic. Not enough shots on target but woodwork has been hit as well.

Managed to save over half the liability on the quick re-lay. Would have left it in but don't trust after that. Bummer but live to fight another day.

They are still all over them so made an effort to scratch for very little additional liability considering I already shedded over half of it.

FT 1-2. I won't say I'm happy with that but having managed to get almost half my liability back even after my late attempt to scratch it could have been a lot worse.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

0-2. how exactly is anyone's guess but there it is. Absolutely one way traffic. Not enough shots on target but woodwork has been hit as well.

Managed to save over half the liability on the quick re-lay. Would have left it in but don't trust after that. Bummer but live to fight another day.

They are still all over them so made an effort to scratch for very little additional liability considering I already shedded over half of it.

[Richard Latimer]

Fri ELO's

[Richard Latimer]

0-2. how exactly is anyone's guess but there it is. Absolutely one way traffic. Not enough shots on target but woodwork has been hit as well.

Managed to save over half the liability on the quick re-lay. Would have left it in but don't trust after that. Bummer but live to fight another day.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Not sure who's awake but Gremio. All one way traffic at the moment in everything but shots on target.

My lay went in @ 3.5. It's come down a bit since then but still in the high 2's

Should say Gremio behind.

[Richard Latimer]

Not sure who's awake but Gremio. All one way traffic at the moment in everything but shots on target.

My lay went in @ 3.5. It's come down a bit since then but still in the high 2's

[Richard Latimer]

While still tracking the the lesser performing figures I have created a 2nd sheet in the way I have with ELO's for non performing countries/leagues.

I know some would continue to track everything on the same sheet but psychologically this hurts me. It may sound silly but when I look at a spreadsheet and see a healthy strike rate and yield with lots of green gaps between the red it gives me more confidence going into the next day. When I see that same sheet with a massive chunk of red then even if a) I've not been affected by it and b) it's to be paper trade only for the time being, I still feel more doubts creep in about the next game and and the game after that.

By keeping them seperate it's way more than I've done before and then it's a good thing. But it's also a compromise to the way my brain likes to handle these matters.

I'll also keep certain scorelines seperate as well until I'm happy to include them on the main sheet. The only goal here is to make money and as long as that's happening then what method is being used to achieve the goal becomes more irrelevant than it otherwise would be.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Corinthians match currently 0-1 @ HT and enough to suggest there should be another goal. Odds good. Laying under 1.5 @ 2.5.

Normal service resumed. 1-1.

[Richard Latimer]

Thu ELO:

Won't be staying up for the late ones. Just collecting data. There's a game in the MLS as well but not a trustoworthy league on these at the moment so just tracking.

[Richard Latimer]

Corinthians match currently 0-1 @ HT and enough to suggest there should be another goal. Odds good. Laying under 1.5 @ 2.5.

[Richard Latimer]

@martin-futter said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@martin-futter said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer how much do you take into account players being called up out of interest?

How do you mean? As in key players missing through international duty?

Yes mate

I do check the lineups where possible for key players. If the inplay stats suggest it's going the way I want I would be less inclined to move on and more inclined to follow my plan regardless.

[Martin]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@martin-futter said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer how much do you take into account players being called up out of interest?

How do you mean? As in key players missing through international duty?

Yes mate

[Matt Wood]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@martin-futter said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer how much do you take into account players being called up out of interest?

How do you mean? As in key players missing through international duty?

I guess, for me at least, missing and first game back?