Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

First qualifier of the day, Sparta Rotterdam v Sittard for another goal.

[Richard Latimer]

Thought I'd posted this but clearly forgot:

[Richard Latimer]

Looking at today, before I put out the whole list, Esbjerg seems rife for a FHG or more. If the first comes between10-21mins and makes it 1-0, I would imagine another goal is forthcoming.

Entry point would be 30th min (29 mins on the clock).

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

I see Viborg was a good 2nd fhg. Also Bologna, early early goal and no more giving more weight to the theory.

Also the only qualifying trade today

[Richard Latimer]

I see Viborg was a good 2nd fhg. Also Bologna, early early goal and no more giving more weight to the theory.

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer Just looking at and odds 1.36 at 30 mins so left it, now 1-1 by 34 mins.....

[Richard Latimer]

Actually over odds not good enough period.

[Richard Latimer]

Odds on Jong Az not good enough for fhg or indeed if they go behind 0-1 early in 2nd half. Need 2 quick 2nd half goals or 1 this half and a leveller early 2nd.

[Richard Latimer]

For tomorrow:

Where ? the odds are slightly out so it will have to be monitored. Same sort of thing as in Uruguay. Any questions ask.

[Richard Latimer]

Before I set about tomorrows plan there is one for this evening that if things were to play out in a certain way I would be looking for goals and lots of them:

Goal between 10-21mins - Back another FHG from 29mins (30th)
1-1/0-1 @ HT and it stays that way until 70th, back another goal
Goal pre 60 puts Penarol into a losing position by 1 or a drawing position of 1-1/2-2 and it stays that way until 70th, back another goal.
2 quick goals upto and including 60th minute, back another goal 70th minute.
2 quick goals upto and including 60th minute, another pre 70, back another goal 80th minute.

Papertrade only

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Not much tomorrow but this overnight litte Beauty in Chile is one.

U. Catolica.

All the potential for HT goals depending on initial goals scored as always.

No goals scored so no win no loss.

[Richard Latimer]

Not much tomorrow but this overnight litte Beauty in Chile is one.

U. Catolica.

All the potential for HT goals depending on initial goals scored as always.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

This is the small set of games I'm looking at tomorrow:

Only Reading game qualified. LCS on 70. Winner on 86mins.

Full disclosure. It seems home odds didn't meet requirements.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

This is the small set of games I'm looking at tomorrow:

Only Reading game qualified. LCS on 70. Winner on 86mins.

[Richard Latimer]

This is the small set of games I'm looking at tomorrow:

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer This all adds to the data stream and for me helps find that entry point. I like the FHG market but unlike SHGs I don't have the confidence due to the lack of inplay data before making the trade.

[Richard Latimer]

There's a strange thing happening in first halfs and of course I have to put the caveat of very little data but initially it seems that games with a goal in the first 9 minutes are less likely to see another FHG than those between 10 & 24.

I really can't think of any particular reason for this right now but it's interesting all the same.

Maybe a team is shellshocked and retreats deeper if they concede so early. Doesn't really account for superior team not putting them to the sword though.

[Richard Latimer]

For todays trading plan which was considerably reduced, it was a mixed bag and prob break even.

2x early FHG's followed by......no more FHG's. Yes, I'm looking at you Sturm and Portsmouth.
2x 2nd halfs with early goals and crucially late goals. Stand up and take a bow Sturn (again) and Brescia.

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer Rapid Vienna, played the game 1-0 32 mins,

[Richard Latimer]

No joy in the FH yet but in terms of 2nd half its goals breeding goals again.

Late late one in Sturm, bang on 75th in Brescia.