Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

Too many goals too quickly FH Sapprissa and not enough 2nd half. No trade.

Day finishes with 3 good trades and one bad.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

A couple early evening never qualified for anything. Here's the rest:

Villarreal late FHG. No trade. Early 2nd half goal makes it 0-2 then nothing in the window of opportunity. No trade.

Palestino FH is no trade BUT I am still tracking everything and I have noticed from the very small amount of data that when it goes 0-1 FH, a reply tends to come if tht first goal is scored around 15-22mins in. It's not on my paper trade, just an observation.

There was another like this yesterday in Lyon. Went behind 20th and equalised 45th. Slightest hint of a pattern. I know such small amounts of data are meaningless but surely if you follow them where they lead then as you keep collecting data your system/strategy should in theory improve with age.

[Richard Latimer]

Palestino with a late goal from 1-1. Green trade.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

A couple early evening never qualified for anything. Here's the rest:

Villarreal late FHG. No trade. Early 2nd half goal makes it 0-2 then nothing in the window of opportunity. No trade.

Palestino FH is no trade BUT I am still tracking everything and I have noticed from the very small amount of data that when it goes 0-1 FH, a reply tends to come if tht first goal is scored around 15-22mins in. It's not on my paper trade, just an observation.

[Richard Latimer]

A couple early evening never qualified for anything. Here's the rest:

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Will have to post evening games later

So from what's already been and gone:

Lorient scored early to make it 0-1 and andas I've already seen a) when away scores first there seems to be less chance of another FHG and b) when the goal comes really early there also seems to be less chance for some reason. As it happens that was the only FHG. No trade.

Monaco got an early goal back and if it had stayed that way until 70mins it would have been a trade. also would have been a trade if next goal came pre 60. It didn't. Came 62nd so no trade despite a late goal.

Bochum. 2-0 @ HT, no further goals. No trade.

Pohronie. FHG in the 18th. No further goals before entry point of 30. 29mins. Goal 45+3. Green trade. 1-1 @ HT. No further goals. Red trade. 50/50 split on that game. Damn Slovakians!

Amager. Very early goal. No FH trade. Goal to make it 3-0 on 55 and no further goals pre 60. No trade.

Dynamo Dresden. Goal within FH window of opportunity but next came too early. No trade. No 2nd half goal until 59 which made it 3-0, next on 62mins, out of the window of opportunity. No trade and just as well as no further goals.

Sampdoria. 1-1@ HT and no further goals until 71. Green trade.

Beerschot. Goal in 52nd but no follow up within window of opportunity. Still 1-0 but regardless, no trade.

LASK. Still 0-0 in 25th. No FH trade.

Ultimately, could be worse, doubt odds on Pohronie that high so 2/3 is no doubt small profit.

[Richard Latimer]

Will have to post evening games later

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Dortmund is a qualifier for another goal

But then odds no good.

[Richard Latimer]

Dortmund is a qualifier for another goal

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer Only small stakes and it gives me the sense that I would put more on if proved to be a sound system. Still cant knock the hit rate, just learning the entry/exit points (not on this one)

[Richard Latimer]

@mark-gorton said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer Watching the game and thought so too, they have come of the gas a bit

This is why i'm papertrdaing. My ideas all seem great but it's about time I thoroughly tested them without losing cash haha!

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer Watching the game and thought so too, they have come of the gas a bit

[Richard Latimer]

Expecting another FHG in Leverkusen too but not long for it to happen

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

First qualifier of the day, Sparta Rotterdam v Sittard for another goal.

And the first is a bust

[Richard Latimer]

First qualifier of the day, Sparta Rotterdam v Sittard for another goal.

[Richard Latimer]

Thought I'd posted this but clearly forgot:

[Richard Latimer]

Looking at today, before I put out the whole list, Esbjerg seems rife for a FHG or more. If the first comes between10-21mins and makes it 1-0, I would imagine another goal is forthcoming.

Entry point would be 30th min (29 mins on the clock).

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

I see Viborg was a good 2nd fhg. Also Bologna, early early goal and no more giving more weight to the theory.

Also the only qualifying trade today

[Richard Latimer]

I see Viborg was a good 2nd fhg. Also Bologna, early early goal and no more giving more weight to the theory.

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer Just looking at and odds 1.36 at 30 mins so left it, now 1-1 by 34 mins.....