The BTC Football Trading Thread
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was on Ryans betgreen on the huesca game. As per his rules if the odds drop to 2.0 take the red. OK so i take the red and 15 seconds later there is a goal.
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So after the 0-0 in Denmark in which I’ve now lost count of 0-0’s in the last few days. I dragged myself outside cracked open a cold frothie and had what the great Jules Winfield refers to as a moment of clarity.
I’m now a fan of the 6 point system or 3 for a FHG. As far as FHG’s go I’m going to enter on 3 points for a half point stake if they qualify on 20 minutes. If not I’ll move on. The 6 point LTD system has my full backing and let’s be honest if it’s good enough for Martin it’s good enough for me. So half point stakes at HT if they meet the 6. Oh yeah I’m applying the 3 point rule to Ryan’s split stake so if I enter after 30 so be it. I have my LTD filter now set for Scored and Conceded so depending on odds I’ll look to enter quarter stakes around that time. It’s going to mean less screen time and more having to be Thanos as 5 year old Iron Man clubs me with Lego but so be it. I can’t believe there wasn’t a goal in Denmark but that’s been the way these past few days. Value is king and holding back and not trading isn’t a bad thing. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again Ryan, Martin, Darri and Keith have all said “It’s not like there’s a shortage of football matches”. Choose wisely pick your moments if you snag 2 points profit on a FHG that’s the day done. Apologies for rambling don’t get despondent lads. Ps Goal in Spain. -
Midtjylland v Brondby is the next one for me. Stats appear to look good.
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Unbelievable, just got matched was just about to post but layed Huesca u0.5 goals @ 2.46 for 0.5pts
Sorry if I put you off guys but stats picked up drastically
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Well there's the goal. I wasn't on but not too disheartened. Wasn't enough for me to take the plunge really.
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@matthew-biggins LOL, just about to post... I've been keeping an eye on Huesca game for SH goal... Unfortunately unless SH changes drastically it all seems a bit one sided and I'm not keen staking on one sided games... Plus in-play stats not up there, only 1 SOT thus far
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Keeping an eye on the Huesca v Mirandes game in the second half. Home side have been well on top.
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This post is deleted!
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@alan-steward No idea think a few of us are asking the same thngil;
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Also, I would say that while I traded a few games today I spread myself over a few strategies and at no point ever felt stretched.
Cheers mate Is this lay the underdog if they take the lead if so I have been trading my own formula by selecting teams with 100 plus elo difference and for a home come back of 58plus and away 60 plus. Do I need to refine further to say 150points and 65 home and 70 away comebacks. I have had terrible results the last few days and blown my bank in the process!. Suggestions please mate I am now not going to trade leagues where teams have nothing to play for and do you use max lay odds or wait a period of time after the dog takes the lead and the favourite to have certain number of attempts on goal etc. Cheers
Like I said a few strata. So far today only one trade but a winner backing Holstein Kiel. I variable stake according to odds using Maria parameters of up to 3.5, 3.55 -7.4, 7.6 - 11. Never needed to go that high though. If there's a goal against I try and get in as quickly as possible but without following a price as the dickheads push it up. If there's another goal against I get my re-lay in as quickly as possible. Found my combination of ELO and comeback works. Experimented around it but best results so far using the parameters I do.
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@james-everard I think we can chalk that one down to variance. that wasn't a bad trade. pre and in play stats pointed towards a goal, and the game was open for the majority of the half
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@matthew-biggins said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
that was so frustrating. on another day that finishes 4-4 or something. Lost count of the times someone picked the wrong pass or the ball didnt quite bounce right.
Told you I would be a bad omen I can't win a trade whatsoever so frustrating and demoralising.
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How did Lingby stay 0-0!!!
Did a 3 goal dutch on KO for 0.25pts and LCS @ evens for 0.25pts in attempt to scratch with 1 goal... -0.5pts Ah well onwards & upwards
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that was so frustrating. on another day that finishes 4-4 or something. Lost count of the times someone picked the wrong pass or the ball didnt quite bounce right.
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Also, I would say that while I traded a few games today I spread myself over a few strategies and at no point ever felt stretched.
Cheers mate Is this lay the underdog if they take the lead if so I have been trading my own formula by selecting teams with 100 plus elo difference and for a home come back of 58plus and away 60 plus. Do I need to refine further to say 150points and 65 home and 70 away comebacks. I have had terrible results the last few days and blown my bank in the process!. Suggestions please mate I am now not going to trade leagues where teams have nothing to play for and do you use max lay odds or wait a period of time after the dog takes the lead and the favourite to have certain number of attempts on goal etc. Cheers
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Entered now on 75 @1.74 for the other half stake.
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@james-everard I’m in the same spot mate, on paper it looks like I’m doing things right, less is more, reading games, pre match research, and yet I’m slowly losing all the profit I made when I wasn’t paying attention properly...
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@matthew-biggins Hopefully mate. I need this to work I will do whatever it takes to turn my trading around starting with the idea less is more. The less matches on my list will prevent me being overwhelmed. See how that goes. Will take on any advice anyone can pass on I really need it thanks all
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@james-everard your luck has to change at some point lol. a couple of the shots have been long range really but it still looks pretty open so confident that a goal will come.
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@matthew-biggins Was thinking the same but didn't want to bring a bad omen on the possibility! It was on my filter to lay the draw on 60mins , inplay stats look ok odds now 2.12. I am getting on sorry if it now fails lol
