The BTC Football Trading Thread

james everard

@dan-erridge "I'm gonna try a lay of Brest here" Sounds worrying lol

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I'm gonna try a lay of Brest here, 1/4 but been outplayed by belshina, more possession, 4 to 1 sot, more dangerous attacks,on sofa scores pressure indicator Brest offered nothing since goal.belshina scored in 5 out of last 6 home, Brest conceded 3 out of last 5 away and never beat belshina in last 5 h2hs

james everard

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Hang on......almost forgot Belarus 1.........craaaazzzzzyyyyyyyyy

Shame Betfair don't have the Belarus third tier which is under way as well!

Richard Latimer

Goals expected in NFK Minsk v Gomel. 8/10 on both sides. 85% over 1.5 overall. If 0-0/1-0/0-1 @ HT I'll be looking for another. Odds normal enough again.

That really does conclude things for me now so:

Sputnik - Goal expected on both sides. Will look for 2nd half goal at 0-0/1-0/0-1.
BATE: Probable home win - May look to back depending on inplay stats/If by some miracle Neman score first I will lay them.
Minsk v Gomel - Goal expected on both sides. Will look for 2nd half goal at 0-0/1-0/0-1.

The Holy Grail

Shakhtyor v Isloch - Second half goal very much expected. Will look for this if 0-0/0-1/1-0 or 1-1. May be a little more careful at 1-0. Average first 2nd half goal is 65mins.

Richard Latimer

@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Today's Belarus Premier League Games

Belshina v Dinamo Brest - No specific trade before start of play watch the game or stats to see if any opportunity unfolds - If deciding to trade in-play Small stakes/Low odds recommended

Vitebsk v Slavia - My trade of choice will be 50% Split Stake

BATE v Neman Grodno - No specific trade before start of play watch the game or stats to see if any opportunity unfolds - If deciding to trade in-play Small stakes/Low odds recommended

Shakhtor v Isloch - My trade of choice will be 50% Split Stake

For In-Play stats in either game I will be looking for minimum 1 dangerous attack per minute played & 3 SOT by 30/35mins and 4 SOT to enter in SH before entering.

If in-play stats don't reach 3 SOT by 30 minutes will wait until HT to enter either LTD or over 0.5 goals

At HT - If in doubt of goal before 70mins either hold off 2nd stake or wait until LTD Price hits 1.98/1.95 & Lay for 0.5pts

At 70mins - If already fully matched with Split Stake & still 0-0 either take the red or LTD at current available odds & Lay same points as in o1.5 goals around 70/75mins & LTD price must be minimum 1.98/1.95 (with this scenario I'm happy to wait until 75mins for better price)

Before entering if you're in any doubt of risking 2pts you can either lower your staking to a total red of 1 or 0.5pts. so you will either halve or quarter the above staking plan.

if I miss entry I will move on.

Entry point 50% Stake = 25/30mins depending on inplay stats

Best of luck!

Do you not fancy a BATE win? Neman have only scored in 2 away games.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Hang on......almost forgot Belarus 1.........craaaazzzzzyyyyyyyyy

Goals expected in Sputnik.

8/10 on the home side and 7/10 on the away. 80% over 1.5 overall. At 0-0/1-0/0-1 I'll be looking for a 2nd half goal I think. Odds seem normal enough as well for a game in this league.

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Today's Belarus Premier League Games

Belshina v Dinamo Brest - No specific trade before start of play watch the game or stats to see if any opportunity unfolds - If deciding to trade in-play Small stakes/Low odds recommended

Vitebsk v Slavia - My trade of choice will be 50% Split Stake

BATE v Neman Grodno - No specific trade before start of play watch the game or stats to see if any opportunity unfolds - If deciding to trade in-play Small stakes/Low odds recommended

Shakhtor v Isloch - My trade of choice will be 50% Split Stake

For In-Play stats in either game I will be looking for minimum 1 dangerous attack per minute played & 3 SOT by 30/35mins and 4 SOT to enter in SH before entering.

If in-play stats don't reach 3 SOT by 30 minutes will wait until HT to enter either LTD or over 0.5 goals

At HT - If in doubt of goal before 70mins either hold off 2nd stake or wait until LTD Price hits 1.98/1.95 & Lay for 0.5pts

At 70mins - If already fully matched with Split Stake & still 0-0 either take the red or LTD at current available odds & Lay same points as in o1.5 goals around 70/75mins & LTD price must be minimum 1.98/1.95 (with this scenario I'm happy to wait until 75mins for better price)

Before entering if you're in any doubt of risking 2pts you can either lower your staking to a total red of 1 or 0.5pts. so you will either halve or quarter the above staking plan.

if I miss entry I will move on.

Entry point 50% Stake = 25/30mins depending on inplay stats

Best of luck!

Richard Latimer

Hang on......almost forgot Belarus 1.........craaaazzzzzyyyyyyyyy

Richard Latimer

And that concludes todays fixture list. Instead of getting more football pretty much every single minnow country starting up is stopping again after a few games. Belarus and Nicaragua the only ever presents here haha!

Richard Latimer

Looking for an angle on BATE as they've scored in 9/10. Unfortunately however, Neman have only scored in 2/10. BATE can score a boat load of goals but equally only 1 or 2 and you certainly can't trust Neman to make up the difference on an overs trade.

The best thing here might be an inplay back of BATE depending on the stats. Odds currently around 1.5.

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@ryan-carruthers said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

12.00 Belshina v Brest

60% 0-0 HT
0% 0-0 FT
80% over 0.5 SH

Belshina are bottom of the league, concede 100%, which is usually second half - to count that Brest are 50% to score and 50% to concede. Downfall is that Brest aren’t that prolific in the SH.

Watching this one very carefully, if 0-0 at HT I will keep an eye, not holding any hopes for it but if its an attacking game then I will look toe LTD around 65mins, if the game is likely - like I say not holding any hopes!

Wow! Totally with you on that one lol... I see a goal but not sure when so my take on this game was to minimise risk "no specific trade until HT" most certainly small risk or small stakes (I guess small risks with low odds is small stakes lol)

Richard Latimer

Wonders will never cease but I've actually got one from my 2nd half goal filter today. Literaslly the first since it all kicked off. If 0-0/0-1/1-1 @ HT I'll be going for a 2nd half LTD after 62 mins. May go slightly earlier as I don't want to miss this haha!!

Soligorsk v Isloch

Richard Latimer

@martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer well done

Thanks

Ryan

12.00 Belshina v Brest

60% 0-0 HT
0% 0-0 FT
80% over 0.5 SH

Belshina are bottom of the league, concede 100%, which is usually second half - to count that Brest are 50% to score and 50% to concede. Downfall is that Brest aren’t that prolific in the SH.

Watching this one very carefully, if 0-0 at HT I will keep an eye, not holding any hopes for it but if its an attacking game then I will look toe LTD around 65mins, if the game is likely - like I say not holding any hopes!

Martin

@richard-latimer well done

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Way too early so maybe I'll just leave it now or maybe I'll go in later. Minsk still have scored in 9/10 at home.

Laying under 2.5 goals @ 1.98

1-2

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Way too early so maybe I'll just leave it now or maybe I'll go in later. Minsk still have scored in 9/10 at home.

Laying under 2.5 goals @ 1.98

Richard Latimer

Way too early so maybe I'll just leave it now or maybe I'll go in later. Minsk still have scored in 9/10 at home.

Richard Latimer

@terry-cooke said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer What sort of odds range would you say is good to get in? 3?

I guess. I'll wait until around 60-65 mins

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@richard-latimer What sort of odds range would you say is good to get in? 3?