The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer interesting mate are you making half decent profit with this approach?
On the football, percentages wise, yes. Monetarily speaking I'm trading peanuts and keep making mistakes in the other markets we currently have open haha
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@richard-latimer interesting mate are you making half decent profit with this approach?
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer I take it you are just doing this for the Belarus leagues and when others return you will be using both the pre match and inplay stats to do your trades?
Not really. Keith has said many times he doesn't pay much attention to inplay anymore.
While the stupidly low number of fixtures has been hard and ultimately so far a losing prospect I do feel like it's going to help me in the end as long as things return to a state of somewhat normality in the end.
Instead of just looking for games with 2nd half goals I'm now looking for games where each team has scored plenty on their own. Then I'm looking at the overall likelihood of over 1.5/2.5 or under 2.5. Then if the goals comes too early is it more often than not followed by another and how late before the first 2nd half goal goes in does it begin to look like that willbe the only one etc....
It's forcing a whole different level of analysis to each game because you can't so easily rule them out anymore.
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@richard-latimer I take it you are just doing this for the Belarus leagues and when others return you will be using both the pre match and inplay stats to do your trades?
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@thomas-larsen I wasn't blaming you buddy
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@thomas-larsen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-everard
sorry to hear that.
I didnt say there was no action - I sisnt see the game but my running ball showed no SOT the last 15 mins before the goal. Thats a long time.
But at 1-0 the away team will have to go all in for the 1-1 at some time which will create chances off cause. I skipped the over bc of lack of SOT
Personally I dont play the unders nomoreI'm not as keen on the unders as you have to watch it with a micrscope. I also only ever do the first half for unders.
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@james-everard
sorry to hear that.
I didnt say there was no action - I sisnt see the game but my running ball showed no SOT the last 15 mins before the goal. Thats a long time.
But at 1-0 the away team will have to go all in for the 1-1 at some time which will create chances off cause. I skipped the over bc of lack of SOT
Personally I dont play the unders nomore -
@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@thomas-larsen I laid the over goals market and was going to back with 5mins left as you said no action and guess what a goal! Can the proper leagues start soon please
I don't take a massive amount of notice of the inplay. Pre-match stats are way more important I think. A goal was always expected at pretty much any point through the half for me.
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@thomas-larsen I laid the over goals market and was going to back with 5mins left as you said no action and guess what a goal! Can the proper leagues start soon please
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@thomas-larsen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Sputnik 1-0 up @ HT. Will look for a 2nd half goal.
Will wait for a much better price. When early 2nd half goals have been scored there's only one occasion they didn't add to that tally so it's something to bear in mind.
Laid under 1.5 @ 2.64
i will skip it - no SOT the last 10 min
But hope you get your goalGoal Sputnik. All the pre-match stats pointed to it.
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Sputnik 1-0 up @ HT. Will look for a 2nd half goal.
Will wait for a much better price. When early 2nd half goals have been scored there's only one occasion they didn't add to that tally so it's something to bear in mind.
Laid under 1.5 @ 2.64
And there it is - well done 2-0
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Sputnik 1-0 up @ HT. Will look for a 2nd half goal.
Will wait for a much better price. When early 2nd half goals have been scored there's only one occasion they didn't add to that tally so it's something to bear in mind.
Laid under 1.5 @ 2.64
i will skip it - no SOT the last 10 min
But hope you get your goal -
Anyone else seem to get no reception on Betfair on the live streams just freezes all the time?
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Sputnik 1-0 up @ HT. Will look for a 2nd half goal.
Will wait for a much better price. When early 2nd half goals have been scored there's only one occasion they didn't add to that tally so it's something to bear in mind.
Laid under 1.5 @ 2.64
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Will look to ltd at half time/early second half if 0-0 at half time in the Vitebsk match
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Sputnik 1-0 up @ HT. Will look for a 2nd half goal.
Will wait for a much better price. When early 2nd half goals have been scored there's only one occasion they didn't add to that tally so it's something to bear in mind.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Sputnik 1-0 up @ HT. Will look for a 2nd half goal.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@dan-erridge Hi Dan, yes I do expect BATE to win but not seeing many goals as Grodno are tight... BATE could well score within the FH. However until the game unfolds I dont wish to risk my stake... For me, pre kick off, this game is a SH trade if any...
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0-3 Thank You and goodnight
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That went well
