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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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  • J Offline
    J Offline
    james everard
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #42221

    @dan-erridge "I'm gonna try a lay of Brest here" Sounds worrying lol

    https://1drv.ms/x/s!AgAENvh6njGR8wT6kcGOYgHyGFQq?e=Zo3Tic

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #42222

    I'm gonna try a lay of Brest here, 1/4 but been outplayed by belshina, more possession, 4 to 1 sot, more dangerous attacks,on sofa scores pressure indicator Brest offered nothing since goal.belshina scored in 5 out of last 6 home, Brest conceded 3 out of last 5 away and never beat belshina in last 5 h2hs

    J 1 Reply Last reply
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  • J Offline
    J Offline
    james everard
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #42223

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Hang on......almost forgot Belarus 1.........craaaazzzzzyyyyyyyyy

    Shame Betfair don't have the Belarus third tier which is under way as well!

    https://1drv.ms/x/s!AgAENvh6njGR8wT6kcGOYgHyGFQq?e=Zo3Tic

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #42224

    Goals expected in NFK Minsk v Gomel. 8/10 on both sides. 85% over 1.5 overall. If 0-0/1-0/0-1 @ HT I'll be looking for another. Odds normal enough again.

    That really does conclude things for me now so:

    Sputnik - Goal expected on both sides. Will look for 2nd half goal at 0-0/1-0/0-1.
    BATE: Probable home win - May look to back depending on inplay stats/If by some miracle Neman score first I will lay them.
    Minsk v Gomel - Goal expected on both sides. Will look for 2nd half goal at 0-0/1-0/0-1.

    The Holy Grail

    Shakhtyor v Isloch - Second half goal very much expected. Will look for this if 0-0/0-1/1-0 or 1-1. May be a little more careful at 1-0. Average first 2nd half goal is 65mins.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #42225

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Today's Belarus Premier League Games

    Belshina v Dinamo Brest - No specific trade before start of play watch the game or stats to see if any opportunity unfolds - If deciding to trade in-play Small stakes/Low odds recommended

    Vitebsk v Slavia - My trade of choice will be 50% Split Stake

    BATE v Neman Grodno - No specific trade before start of play watch the game or stats to see if any opportunity unfolds - If deciding to trade in-play Small stakes/Low odds recommended

    Shakhtor v Isloch - My trade of choice will be 50% Split Stake

    For In-Play stats in either game I will be looking for minimum 1 dangerous attack per minute played & 3 SOT by 30/35mins and 4 SOT to enter in SH before entering.

    If in-play stats don't reach 3 SOT by 30 minutes will wait until HT to enter either LTD or over 0.5 goals

    At HT - If in doubt of goal before 70mins either hold off 2nd stake or wait until LTD Price hits 1.98/1.95 & Lay for 0.5pts

    At 70mins - If already fully matched with Split Stake & still 0-0 either take the red or LTD at current available odds & Lay same points as in o1.5 goals around 70/75mins & LTD price must be minimum 1.98/1.95 (with this scenario I'm happy to wait until 75mins for better price)

    Before entering if you're in any doubt of risking 2pts you can either lower your staking to a total red of 1 or 0.5pts. so you will either halve or quarter the above staking plan.

    if I miss entry I will move on.

    Entry point 50% Stake = 25/30mins depending on inplay stats

    Best of luck! ๐Ÿ‘

    Do you not fancy a BATE win? Neman have only scored in 2 away games.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #42226

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Hang on......almost forgot Belarus 1.........craaaazzzzzyyyyyyyyy

    Goals expected in Sputnik.

    8/10 on the home side and 7/10 on the away. 80% over 1.5 overall. At 0-0/1-0/0-1 I'll be looking for a 2nd half goal I think. Odds seem normal enough as well for a game in this league.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #42227

    Today's Belarus Premier League Games

    Belshina v Dinamo Brest - No specific trade before start of play watch the game or stats to see if any opportunity unfolds - If deciding to trade in-play Small stakes/Low odds recommended

    Vitebsk v Slavia - My trade of choice will be 50% Split Stake

    BATE v Neman Grodno - No specific trade before start of play watch the game or stats to see if any opportunity unfolds - If deciding to trade in-play Small stakes/Low odds recommended

    Shakhtor v Isloch - My trade of choice will be 50% Split Stake

    For In-Play stats in either game I will be looking for minimum 1 dangerous attack per minute played & 3 SOT by 30/35mins and 4 SOT to enter in SH before entering.

    If in-play stats don't reach 3 SOT by 30 minutes will wait until HT to enter either LTD or over 0.5 goals

    At HT - If in doubt of goal before 70mins either hold off 2nd stake or wait until LTD Price hits 1.98/1.95 & Lay for 0.5pts

    At 70mins - If already fully matched with Split Stake & still 0-0 either take the red or LTD at current available odds & Lay same points as in o1.5 goals around 70/75mins & LTD price must be minimum 1.98/1.95 (with this scenario I'm happy to wait until 75mins for better price)

    Before entering if you're in any doubt of risking 2pts you can either lower your staking to a total red of 1 or 0.5pts. so you will either halve or quarter the above staking plan.

    if I miss entry I will move on.

    Entry point 50% Stake = 25/30mins depending on inplay stats

    Best of luck! ๐Ÿ‘

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #42228

    Hang on......almost forgot Belarus 1.........craaaazzzzzyyyyyyyyy

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR J 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #42229

    And that concludes todays fixture list. Instead of getting more football pretty much every single minnow country starting up is stopping again after a few games. Belarus and Nicaragua the only ever presents here haha!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #42230

    Looking for an angle on BATE as they've scored in 9/10. Unfortunately however, Neman have only scored in 2/10. BATE can score a boat load of goals but equally only 1 or 2 and you certainly can't trust Neman to make up the difference on an overs trade.

    The best thing here might be an inplay back of BATE depending on the stats. Odds currently around 1.5.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Ryan on last edited by
    #42231

    @ryan-carruthers said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    12.00 Belshina v Brest

    60% 0-0 HT
    0% 0-0 FT
    80% over 0.5 SH

    Belshina are bottom of the league, concede 100%, which is usually second half - to count that Brest are 50% to score and 50% to concede. Downfall is that Brest arenโ€™t that prolific in the SH.

    Watching this one very carefully, if 0-0 at HT I will keep an eye, not holding any hopes for it but if its an attacking game then I will look toe LTD around 65mins, if the game is likely - like I say not holding any hopes!

    Wow! Totally with you on that one lol... I see a goal but not sure when so my take on this game was to minimise risk "no specific trade until HT" most certainly small risk or small stakes (I guess small risks with low odds is small stakes lol)

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #42232

    Wonders will never cease but I've actually got one from my 2nd half goal filter today. Literaslly the first since it all kicked off. If 0-0/0-1/1-1 @ HT I'll be going for a 2nd half LTD after 62 mins. May go slightly earlier as I don't want to miss this haha!!

    Soligorsk v Isloch

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #42233

    @martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer well done

    Thanks

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    wrote on last edited by
    #42234

    12.00 Belshina v Brest

    60% 0-0 HT
    0% 0-0 FT
    80% over 0.5 SH

    Belshina are bottom of the league, concede 100%, which is usually second half - to count that Brest are 50% to score and 50% to concede. Downfall is that Brest arenโ€™t that prolific in the SH.

    Watching this one very carefully, if 0-0 at HT I will keep an eye, not holding any hopes for it but if its an attacking game then I will look toe LTD around 65mins, if the game is likely - like I say not holding any hopes!

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #42235

    @richard-latimer well done

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #42236

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Way too early so maybe I'll just leave it now or maybe I'll go in later. Minsk still have scored in 9/10 at home.

    Laying under 2.5 goals @ 1.98

    1-2

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #42237

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Way too early so maybe I'll just leave it now or maybe I'll go in later. Minsk still have scored in 9/10 at home.

    Laying under 2.5 goals @ 1.98

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #42238

    Way too early so maybe I'll just leave it now or maybe I'll go in later. Minsk still have scored in 9/10 at home.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #42239

    @terry-cooke said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer What sort of odds range would you say is good to get in? 3?

    I guess. I'll wait until around 60-65 mins

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #42240

    @richard-latimer What sort of odds range would you say is good to get in? 3?

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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