The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@james-everard can you give me some motivation only done about 2 mins on the exercise bike today!
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@james-everard Off out in the garden now for a while and a bit of exercise before the horse racing later. Laters
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@james-everard Well luckily I didn't at kickoff and waited for the action to take placed layed at 1.94 straight after the goal , 7 mins later the odds drifted right out to 2.44 out for a decent green
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Right we have the big Turkmenistan match kicking off at 14.30pm. Looking at the pre match stats ( only 5 games of data for each club though) the under 3.5 goal market looks tempting. No matches they have played have had 4 goals.
I believe there will be goals but thinking of laying the over 3.5 goals market as the price looks very good at 2.52 thoughts please? -
@dan-erridge Mega news that!! Apparently restrictions on as well, so players aren't allowed to touch each other in celebrations!
How will Jurgen cope if Liverpool do win the league lol if these are enforced here too.
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Bundasliga back on 15th may, government given green light
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Who's up for some crazy Turkmenistan football yay???!!
I reckon.......I think.........there should be..........at least 1 goal in Sagadam vs Asgabat. But certainly no more than 1. There could be but then equally there may not be.
Home scored in 8/10 while away have scored in 7/10 so good stats there. Under 2.5 is overall 70/5 but those odds are rubbish.
One BIG RED FLAG:
Home have drawn 0-0 twice and away have drawn 0-0 once.
H2H all speaks to at least one goal. If it's 0-0 at HT I will check inplay stats and decide from there.
Not saying it's going to happen but many shots on target here. Queuing lay under @ 1.98.
I think this one should have been a leave well alone, certainly after first goal. I won't lose sleep but the other game is off the menu at 2-0.
Yeah poor trade that one. This is why I think pre-match stats are so much more important than inplay. Inplay stats very good but it was always a game leaning massively to the under. Nevermind.
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Who's up for some crazy Turkmenistan football yay???!!
I reckon.......I think.........there should be..........at least 1 goal in Sagadam vs Asgabat. But certainly no more than 1. There could be but then equally there may not be.
Home scored in 8/10 while away have scored in 7/10 so good stats there. Under 2.5 is overall 70/5 but those odds are rubbish.
One BIG RED FLAG:
Home have drawn 0-0 twice and away have drawn 0-0 once.
H2H all speaks to at least one goal. If it's 0-0 at HT I will check inplay stats and decide from there.
Not saying it's going to happen but many shots on target here. Queuing lay under @ 1.98.
I think this one should have been a leave well alone, certainly after first goal. I won't lose sleep but the other game is off the menu at 2-0.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Who's up for some crazy Turkmenistan football yay???!!
I reckon.......I think.........there should be..........at least 1 goal in Sagadam vs Asgabat. But certainly no more than 1. There could be but then equally there may not be.
Home scored in 8/10 while away have scored in 7/10 so good stats there. Under 2.5 is overall 70/5 but those odds are rubbish.
One BIG RED FLAG:
Home have drawn 0-0 twice and away have drawn 0-0 once.
H2H all speaks to at least one goal. If it's 0-0 at HT I will check inplay stats and decide from there.
Not saying it's going to happen but many shots on target here. Queuing lay under @ 1.98.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer I seem to be regretting all my trades I have been doing recently lol. So on the match just starting now if 0-0 at ht ltd or split stake the over 1.5 goal market on 30mins?
I am going to Ltd at some point 2nd half. Not rushing in.
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@richard-latimer I seem to be regretting all my trades I have been doing recently lol. So on the match just starting now if 0-0 at ht ltd or split stake the over 1.5 goal market on 30mins?
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer Sorry mate I think this lockdown is effecting me lol , so base all football trades for these crappy leagues on the pre match stats only.
I base almost everything I do on pre-match stats. If I react to inplay stats alone I almost always regret it.
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@richard-latimer Sorry mate I think this lockdown is effecting me lol , so base all football trades for these crappy leagues on the pre match stats only.
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer Going on your theory regarding not looking at the pre match stats on these crappy leagues and just look at the inplay stats . The match currently 1-0 Sagadam vs Kopetdag Asgabat match. Pre match suggests not many goals none in the 5 matches of data but inplay stats look good and odds on over 2.5 is 2.54? Thoughts mate
I think you have it the wrong way around haha! Inplay stats interest me but pre-match stats way more important. That said Asgabat scored in 7/10 and those inplay stats mental haha!!
In truth I've not made up my mind but a 2nd goal is certainly tempting.
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@richard-latimer Also the other match the classic Fc Merw vs fc Balkan currently 0-0 at half time not much action (may leave a while to see if it picks up) but ltd no 0-0 this season so far?
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@richard-latimer Going on your theory regarding not looking at the pre match stats on these crappy leagues and just look at the inplay stats . The match currently 1-0 Sagadam vs Kopetdag Asgabat match. Pre match suggests not many goals none in the 5 matches of data but inplay stats look good and odds on over 2.5 is 2.54? Thoughts mate
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Altyn Asyr v Another Asgabat looks very good for at least 1 goal. Probably more. Home have scored in 10/10 while away have scored in 7/10. Home have 100% over 1.5 but away only 60% so make of that what you will.
Ix 0-0 result in away teams fixtures.
I suppose you could make a case for both teams to score on both of these games also but odds for overs very high on the first and away teams results put me off on the 2nd.
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Who's up for some crazy Turkmenistan football yay???!!
I reckon.......I think.........there should be..........at least 1 goal in Sagadam vs Asgabat. But certainly no more than 1. There could be but then equally there may not be.
Home scored in 8/10 while away have scored in 7/10 so good stats there. Under 2.5 is overall 70/5 but those odds are rubbish.
One BIG RED FLAG:
Home have drawn 0-0 twice and away have drawn 0-0 once.
H2H all speaks to at least one goal. If it's 0-0 at HT I will check inplay stats and decide from there.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0
