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The BTC Horse Racing Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Horse Racing
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5201

    @richard-lillis
    Hope you stayed with your interest in queen of kalahari...good shout 👍

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #5202

    Not sure how it compares overall but regular punters and traders starved of action.likely to be strong liquidity for foreseeable future.

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    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5203

    @cyril-reaney Have you done many 5f... Obviously that's outside of Martins parameters... There's a lot more money matched today against USA is that typical?

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5204

    @alan-steward well done.did similar myself in sprint races.I believe that all the races for next while will be utterly competitive and sprints 5 and 6 furlongs should be lucrative for Ltf.

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #5205

    LTF at Newcastle
    14:10 - 2 matched @ 1.81
    15:55 - 2 matched @ 1.81

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5206

    @cyril-reaney Excellent and thanks for your response 👍

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #5207

    Hi Alan
    NH refers to National Hunt rules which is Jump racing.The National Hunt season will re commence in the U K in July. The season reaches a peak each year with big festivals at Cheltenham and Aintree and normally ends at Sandown in late April. Weights and distances differ from flat races quite a bit and big difference between summer jumping and from approximately Oct 1st.This is when the best N H horses start appearing.
    Good luck

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5208

    @richard-lillis Hi Richard, I've noticed the abbreviation NH used before but it means? I suspect I'll get that stupid feeling when you explain lol.

    Also what is your preferred strategy with horse trading?

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  • J Offline
    J Offline
    james everard
    wrote on last edited by
    #5209

    2nd Race clear favourite not in the top 2 and another very tight finish didn't trade the last one as the favourite was under evens though

    https://1drv.ms/x/s!AgAENvh6njGR8wT6kcGOYgHyGFQq?e=Zo3Tic

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #5210

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    Now that winning warlock is back I wanted to start tracking an idea I mid lockdown idea I had about laying the rated horses on there for their average in-running price. No money down on this but should be fairly easy to track wiith timeform.

    I've added 10% to each average so far but of course I can look and play around with these numbers as results come in.

    0_1591011885050_2b2d2be5-0070-4262-a48d-69178ce31b85-image.png

    That makes sense. Still, I'm sure everyone understands haha!

    I just thought I'd take a quick look at the difference between mean ave price and median ave prices in case there are some big outliers and it makes a hell of a difference on the first. With that in mind I'll track both. Median ave for Geizy Teizy is 2.98 or 3.10 when I add 10% to that.

    Make that 3.85. Teething troubles.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=v8arsy1si4v0651ser69coa45&st=4r1o63le&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #5211

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    Now that winning warlock is back I wanted to start tracking an idea I mid lockdown idea I had about laying the rated horses on there for their average in-running price. No money down on this but should be fairly easy to track wiith timeform.

    I've added 10% to each average so far but of course I can look and play around with these numbers as results come in.

    0_1591011885050_2b2d2be5-0070-4262-a48d-69178ce31b85-image.png

    That makes sense. Still, I'm sure everyone understands haha!

    I just thought I'd take a quick look at the difference between mean ave price and median ave prices in case there are some big outliers and it makes a hell of a difference on the first. With that in mind I'll track both. Median ave for Geizy Teizy is 2.98 or 3.10 when I add 10% to that.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=v8arsy1si4v0651ser69coa45&st=4r1o63le&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • J Offline
    J Offline
    james everard
    wrote on last edited by
    #5212

    Just done a test at ltf inplay in the Newcastle at 13.00pm at 1.37 odds. 2 matched which was good. I think the favourite horses will need a few races to get their fitness and form back and think races could be tighter for a little while.

    https://1drv.ms/x/s!AgAENvh6njGR8wT6kcGOYgHyGFQq?e=Zo3Tic

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #5213

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    Now that winning warlock is back I wanted to start tracking an idea I mid lockdown idea I had about laying the rated horses on there for their average in-running price. No money down on this but should be fairly easy to track wiith timeform.

    I've added 10% to each average so far but of course I can look and play around with these numbers as results come in.

    0_1591011885050_2b2d2be5-0070-4262-a48d-69178ce31b85-image.png

    That makes sense. Still, I'm sure everyone understands haha!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=v8arsy1si4v0651ser69coa45&st=4r1o63le&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #5214

    Now that winning warlock is back I wanted to start tracking an idea I mid lockdown idea I had about laying the rated horses on there for their average in-running price. No money down on this but should be fairly easy to track wiith timeform.

    I've added 10% to each average so far but of course I can look and play around with these numbers as results come in.

    0_1591011885050_2b2d2be5-0070-4262-a48d-69178ce31b85-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=v8arsy1si4v0651ser69coa45&st=4r1o63le&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5215

    @dan-erridge hi mate - i don't set a target as it all depends on whether the race is panning out as expected, i like to be flexible. My normal races to trade are NH races where you have plenty of time to react to how the race is unfolding. These trades today will be small stakes and quite conservative. I have Dobbed in the past but found that it wasn't flexible enough for my style of trading.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #5216

    3 Horses i will be looking to get 33% from today are

    1.00pm Tiercel
    3.55 Taste The Nectar
    4.30 Be Proud (will monitor price as fairly short)

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5217

    @richard-lillis

    Hi mate

    How much do you look to take mate,%wise i mean?

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by A Former User
    #5218

    @charles-cartwright I will be sticking around my good man and hoping to find an edge with the horses to add to my trading portfolio. So if you have any ideas other than the LTF strat I can get my head around it would be much appreciated 👍

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #5219

    Great to see racing return but of course 'caveat emptor' in spades for the first few weeks. Since my B2L approach relies on a horse having run in the past 45 days I won't be posting any of those selections for a while.

    I will probably restrict myself to some 'follow the market' backing and laying a bit little in April for the start of the turf season. Of course with no NH racing it will be slim pickings for a while but hopefully things will pick up as we head into summer.

    Hope all of those who have joined the thread in the past couple of months will stick around and post your ideas, successes, and failures with those of us for whom racing is our primary interest as far as trading goes.

    C

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • J Offline
    J Offline
    james everard
    wrote on last edited by
    #5220

    Roll on looking forward to trying some pre race trading as the liquidity will be massive I would have thought.

    https://1drv.ms/x/s!AgAENvh6njGR8wT6kcGOYgHyGFQq?e=Zo3Tic

    1 Reply Last reply
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