The BTC Horse Racing Thread
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A couple of my classic trobs today. 3.5-9 odds as usual. No Slow Horses yet, but there has been no NHF races.
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@dan-mackinnon said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
To quote our IT department, this is a bit of a PICNIC (Problem In Chair, Not In Computer) so bare with me!
Love that acronym
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@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@dan-mackinnon said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@sean-fitzgerald 1/4 so it finished -1pt. However, I'm going to review the back testing results because I think I've missed something obvious. I'm not sure if the software takes into account the liability for the other horses as it shows 1pt for a win, not 0.5 or 1.5, etc. Even if I halved the current results it'll still be profitable. But I want to make sure I fully understand it.
I'm also looking at a "to place" strategy, but again want to make sure I fully get my head round the results as they are based on horses finishing 1st.
nice one keep us updated!
I'm going to paper trade these alongside the back testing for a bit to see how the results compare. I was wrong, the software does take into account the liability of the other horses as it shows 2 trades which makes sense.
To quote our IT department, this is a bit of a PICNIC (Problem In Chair, Not In Computer) so bare with me!
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@dan-mackinnon said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@sean-fitzgerald 1/4 so it finished -1pt. However, I'm going to review the back testing results because I think I've missed something obvious. I'm not sure if the software takes into account the liability for the other horses as it shows 1pt for a win, not 0.5 or 1.5, etc. Even if I halved the current results it'll still be profitable. But I want to make sure I fully understand it.
I'm also looking at a "to place" strategy, but again want to make sure I fully get my head round the results as they are based on horses finishing 1st.
nice one keep us updated!
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@sean-fitzgerald 1/4 so it finished -1pt. However, I'm going to review the back testing results because I think I've missed something obvious. I'm not sure if the software takes into account the liability for the other horses as it shows 1pt for a win, not 0.5 or 1.5, etc. Even if I halved the current results it'll still be profitable. But I want to make sure I fully understand it.
I'm also looking at a "to place" strategy, but again want to make sure I fully get my head round the results as they are based on horses finishing 1st.
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@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Beaten Fav Lays 3-11 odds only
28/04/2022 13:00 Lingfield Eight Of Diamonds N Lingfield 3.35
28/04/2022 14:30 Lingfield Dubai Immo N Lingfield 6.4
28/04/2022 15:50 Redcar Emily Post N Redcar 4.4
28/04/2022 16:25 Redcar Cabinet Maker N Redcar 11?
28/04/2022 17:10 Chelmsford City Yorktown N Chelmsford City 7.4
28/04/2022 18:00 Punchestown The Bomber Liston N Punchestown 11?
28/04/2022 18:55 Chelmsford City Vanity Affair N Chelmsford City 9
28/04/2022 19:30 Chelmsford City Pips Tune N Chelmsford City 4.7Pace Lays 3-11 odds only
None today
Short Odds Lays 1.69-2.20 odds only
2684991 28/04/2022 14:00 Lingfield Covert Mission Lingfield 2.2?
2685243 28/04/2022 18:10 Chepstow Some Nightmare Chepstow 1.96
2685276 28/04/2022 18:45 Chepstow Symbol Of Hope Chepstow 2.2?7/10 for 2.35pts profit
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@dan-mackinnon said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@kc Yeah, so a couple of minutes before the race start just go 'Lay All' and set it to 1.5 and then keep. The idea is that at least 2 horses will get matched. Unfortunately the first one was a loser!
How did the rest go @Dan-MacKinnon ?
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@dan-mackinnon cheers mate
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@keith yeah, go to the race where you have all the runners listed. Each horse has a back and lay price. At the top of that column it'll say "back all" and "lay all". Just click that
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@dan-mackinnon thanks I wasnāt aware there was a ālay allā button. Iāll take a look
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@keith no just the Betfair website
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@dan-mackinnon are you using a bot for this? Fairbot?
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@kc Yeah, so a couple of minutes before the race start just go 'Lay All' and set it to 1.5 and then keep. The idea is that at least 2 horses will get matched. Unfortunately the first one was a loser!
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@dan-mackinnon I suppose the clue is in the name but do you lay all the horses in the race?
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@dan-mackinnon very sensible, still worth testing thing forward as well as backward
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Right, let's see how we get on. My Lay The Field strategy has some qualifiers.
Musselburgh
14.50
16.00
16.35
17.05I put my faith in the horse racing software, but will be using min. stakes!
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Beaten Fav Lays 3-11 odds only
28/04/2022 13:00 Lingfield Eight Of Diamonds N Lingfield 3.35
28/04/2022 14:30 Lingfield Dubai Immo N Lingfield 6.4
28/04/2022 15:50 Redcar Emily Post N Redcar 4.4
28/04/2022 16:25 Redcar Cabinet Maker N Redcar 11?
28/04/2022 17:10 Chelmsford City Yorktown N Chelmsford City 7.4
28/04/2022 18:00 Punchestown The Bomber Liston N Punchestown 11?
28/04/2022 18:55 Chelmsford City Vanity Affair N Chelmsford City 9
28/04/2022 19:30 Chelmsford City Pips Tune N Chelmsford City 4.7Pace Lays 3-11 odds only
None today
Short Odds Lays 1.69-2.20 odds only
2684991 28/04/2022 14:00 Lingfield Covert Mission Lingfield 2.2?
2685243 28/04/2022 18:10 Chepstow Some Nightmare Chepstow 1.96
2685276 28/04/2022 18:45 Chepstow Symbol Of Hope Chepstow 2.2? -
@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Beaten Fav Lays 3-11 odds
27/04/2022 16:45 Punchestown Ganapathi N Punchestown 6.4
Pace Lays 3-11 odds
None today
Short Odds Lays 1.69-2.20 odds
27/04/2022 14:00 Pontefract King Of Tonga Pontefract 2.16
27/04/2022 15:10 Pontefract Love Your Work Pontefract 22/3 for a 0.8pt profit
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@anthony-ariss said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
15:10 Pontefract Love Your Work
LOVE YOUR WORK @Martin boom!
Happily that one appeared on my bot. Thanks Martin. Nice to see we are in virtually the same ballpark
