BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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This markets got me twisted at mo ha
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Hammering it down according to TMS! Backed the draw at 8 before it went out, hoping for a back to lay then re-lay later in the match
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Looks like there'll be a window to play from around 12 to 1.30, but after that I don't think we'll see very much play at all unless the radar is way out.
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@Stephen-Hancox Bizarre isn't it? Beeb pretty spot on with the Leeds forecast. Made me a nice few, risk-free ticks this morning:)
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Saw tweet
Currently raining not heavy tho -
@stuart-wallace-0 you could even slot Foakes in at 3, but maybe he plays too straight and conservative for the current hierachy?
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I live in Newton Abbot and according to the last 6 hours radar on the met office app we've had quite a lot of rain since 6am. Yet we've had none at all. I always thought met office was the gold standard for these things, not anymore.
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Looks like the first drops of rain could hit the ground around 10.00 so ganna have a little back of the draw at 9.
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This post is deleted!
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@Matt-Ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Appreciate not now but could Pope have kept wicket if they wanted Bairstow for his bat?
@Matt-Ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Appreciate not now but could Pope have kept wicket if they wanted Bairstow for his bat?
Dont get the point Matt. Its likely that Pope may well have made the same mistakes Bairstow has, yet its unlikely that Foakes would have. So, play Bairstow at 5 as pure batter and Foakes at 7 as keeper/batsman, as someone else says Foakes has a Test average in the 30s, so he's no mug with the bat. Pope dropping out was the point where ENG could have done that.
IMO Bairstow has cost ENG the Ashes with his dropped catches alone through the first 3 Tests. He should be binned to be pure Batter. -
Different Weather Apps see different things. XC Weather has no significant rain until 18.00 - and the market seems to reflect that by the Draw drifting somewhat overnight.
Yet, BBC has high risk all day...
One thing is for sure, if there are thunderstorms around, then they wont be on the pitch.
I exited out of my LTD last night, and will stay out for time being. However, i'm sure there is at least 150 overs left in this game through the weather windows, and considering the sum overs of both first 2 innings was 112 overs , also as we are
some 60 per cent(wickets wise) through the game already, then a result is almost a certainty.
Gonna wait a bit though to reenter the LTD to see if the rain does come to see the Draw price come in a touch. -
@Nathan-Bennett At the moment the radar looks fairly clear, but most forecasts are predicting thundery showers pretty much throughout the course of today's playing hours. I would say interruptions are inevitable and it's not inconceivable it could possibly be close to a washout. I'll keep monitoring the radar because, at the moment, it's difficult to tell exactly how it will pan out.
With some rain forecast for tomorrow, and more persistent rain due on Monday, a draw certainly isn't out of the question.... despite WinViz giving it only a 1% chance yesterday.
What usually happens when there's a rain interruption is that the draw price drops quickly, before hitting a support point and going up quite a few ticks. Well worth looking out for.
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@Adam-Cubbage cheers
Wild flucs hopefully
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@Nathan-Bennett
Looking good for rain, should hit about 13.00 -
Let it rain
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Appreciate not now but could Pope have kept wicket if they wanted Bairstow for his bat?
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Forecast is not the best the next 3 days is it? I had a lay of Australia just under 2.0, so wickets and rain are in my favour...
Ideally tomorrow has no play at all to collapse the draw price, then the weather is ok Sunday or Monday and we get a result.
Too much to ask?
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Foakes must be in for the next Test surely!
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@Tony-Hastie said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
I layed England at 1.78 at the start of their innings. Didnt post it here because Im new to this and noone else was talking about it. Just felt that if Auz couldnt bat on the pitch(noting all the dropped catches) England would struggle too. Pretty happy with my big fat juicy green now!
I find it utterly bizzare that a team 2 down in the series can shorten so much on day 1 of a 5 day test...
Good one Tony, must admit , if i'd seen ENG at 1.78 i would have layed them, but didnt spot it, primarily because i was working.
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Wonder how low odds AUS go no matter how much of a lead they end up with
Kinda thinking if see 1.7's auto lay for a swing
