BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@Stephen-Hancox yeah and 1.33 is hardly a massive risk in terms of liability, from a trading perspective it would be great to see some overcast conditions.
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@Stephen-Hancox yep done same . prob want 1.7's + to consider backing them if lose couple wickets myself
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England have been in great positions to win every test so far... could easily be 2-0 up. Goes without saying this time they have to be clinical.
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England 1.33 to win and a long way to go in 4th innings. Seems way too short to me. I've layed again at this price, but nothing too much to mind if we somehow keep the Ashes alive.
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@Martin said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@Richard-Futter how late can they play tonight?
7.30 I'm guessing if the light holds
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@Richard-Futter how late can they play tonight?
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Gotta lay England if they bat tonight. Conditions hugely favourable to the bowlers and if they're in for any longer than half an hour there's every chance they could lose two or three wickets.
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@Richard-Futter
I hedged out completely, was worried about a few wickets falling to blow out the price.
Was fun though, my first of many cricket trades. Thanks again for the help
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Still light rain around. May not be enough to halt play though.
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Play to start at 4.45. Hold on to your hats!
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@Richard-Futter thanks for the advice! Love this forum
I also have taken Nathan's advice and taken 1/3 of my stake out at 5.6 and will re assess at the end of day. -
@Richard-Futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Looks like the first drops of rain could hit the ground around 10.00 so ganna have a little back of the draw at 9.
Steamed in now well done!
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@Richard-Futter legend thanks
AUS LAY pay dividends surely to ad to draw back
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@Nathan-Bennett & Adam Cubbage.... I find it difficult to tell how far these sorts of prices will drop - as they say on the Stock Exchange: Trying to predict the bottom of the market is like attempting to catch a falling knife!
I would have thought, if - as now seems distinctly possible - there's no play today - it could fall as low as 4. But of course, if they do get on at any stage and wickets fall it will rocket in the other direction.
The BBC weather site has been pretty accurate so far, and if it's right about tomorrow and Monday, it looks like there are probably only about three clear sessions of play available. If that's the case, England will need to collect six wickets in a couple of hours' play before knocking off the runs in about four hours - something which they are capable of doing.
I actually think that, if the weather forecast is right, an Aussie win may be the least likely result, followed by a draw or an England win.
Everything, though, depends on the weather and the Netweather Radar is worth it's weight in gold on days like these.
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FWIW
Backed draw @9s ish
Taking 1/3 stake back just now 5.8 -
Market on the move
So
If little to no play
Estimate draw odds end of day
What
Low 5’s - mid 4’s ?Then over to days 4&5 being 98 over days
Likely hood of rain last two days ?
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the draw price is coming in now.
around what odds do people think will be a good exit? -
@Richard-Futter Brilliant by you as per
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Ground staff say it will take 90 minutes to get the ground ready for play; taking an early lunch at 12.30, but to be honest I reckon they'll just about be ready to start when it begins raining again.
TMS keep saying there'll be play later in the day, yet the BBC weather website says the rain showers will continue for the rest of the day, so at a best guess I suspect we'll be lucky to see more than a handful of overs bowled today.
