BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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SRI NZ T20
Backed NZ @2
Will go again @3 and @4 if happens while Sri are batting otherwise just the one bet @2Eden park
Whatever happens to first INNS score sure to be mass boundaries when NZ bat
Would green NZ @1.20 if happensbets are nz @2.00 and nz @4.80 see what happens great start sri with the ball
all red out NZ 1.65
so sick of idiots playing reverse sweeps just leave it alone brain dead humans
1.10 ish layers filling up
banking 25% of green showing rest ride hope another boundary or two and green up
GREENED UP 1.4 NZ BANG
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Site had a bad gateway
Back up my endGees on the PKings lay when russel came in
Banking some green hoping for mass
Spew he got out to a easy ball to hit for 6 -
Something I hadn't considered with my 1st/2nd innings market flip strategy is, what happens when the market is bouncing between 1.99 - 2.02 etc at the start of the innings... laying both sides at those odds offers nothing really apart from a tick scalp etc.
Guess I'll mark it down on the spreadsheet as n/a lol.
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@matt-ayles dead rubber theory is real ha
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Did Bangla put the reserves out today? Would have been a gold mine to lay them but i avoided it because the last 2 games were so one-sided.
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@stuart-wallace-0 testing ready to go. Just hope it's worth it after 2 months of work... provides some answers.
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IPL starts tomorrow..
Gujurat v Chennai at Ahmedabad.
New rule whereby teams can be selected after the toss.
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BANG IRE
Throwing in a small 1.05 LAY
I'd take 75% back 1.10 to bank something
go for a walk and see where things are early in the chase -
SA v WIN this afternnon at 17.00.
Over 500 runs scored in last 20/20 between these 2 at Centurion.
Todays game is at the other Joburg ground at Wanderers, but also, obviously, in the High Veldt which is at Altitude, some 6000 feet above sea level, so would expect another high scoring game as the ball travels further at this sort of altitude. -
What is everyones opinion on trading the DRS ?
Has anybody done any analysis on price movements on DRS decisions? its something i want to try to understand more. ie does the market react fully or does it stop, or halfway house? -
a video from Martin that i seem to have passed by that has an interesting strategy re scalping
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
What we need is cricket back testing software @Adam please!
I've been thinking the same, what you could do with that type of information.
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@matt-ayles I found Fairbot really simple after a couple of weeks, nothing major to learn, and also much cheaper than BetAngel pro which is what is needed to do Automation. Can run it in Simulation mode til youre comfortable.
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@stuart-wallace-0 watched the video you suggested. Certainly very interesting. Not got Fairbot myself and would take some learning looking at all those conditions etc, but might be the way to trade the shorter formats if a profitable strategy can be developed.
What we need is cricket back testing software @Adam please!
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Happy to test any other ideas if anyone can come up with anything.
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I have a testing spreadsheet setup and ready to go for the IPL. I'm looking at the 1.1 strategy in 1st or 2nd innings separately, I'm looking at odds flips (e.g. 1 team starts pre match at 1.6, does the other team ever touch that same number - like the lay both sides strat)... I'm also looking at that idea for run chases... do the odds of whoever is favourite at half way flip round..
Another one i have which is more wild is runs brackets. Looking at the average scores in the first innings of T20s at individual grounds, and trying to get matched on the runs markets on over the low point and under the high point... not sure on this one as might not match but will test it. Idea behind it is, if they match, guaranteed one will win to break even, and double your money if the runs falls inside the average score window.
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@stuart-wallace-0 yes i had a very good IPL last year but in hindsight it was horrible from a trading perspective. I was new to cricket and overstaked hugely... basically i was laying both sides at 1.89 with 10 points trying to make 1 point... yes it worked, think it landed in 68 of the 70 group matches. However huge losing 9 points if it was a blowout is ridiculous and unprofessional. Not a strategy i will be adopting this year.
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@joseph-henderson said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
I am very much a beginner with cricket trading but can see the huge potential and am keen to learn! Where do you get most of your statistics from, such as team batting averages, ground averages etc?
Best site for me is ESPN Cricinfo. You can find all kinds of stats in there. I have the app on my phone too, use it daily!
