Political Trading Thread

Ryan

@john-folan Thats a phrase you never thought you'd say!

John Folan

Agree with Will. Now laying Boris

Ryan

@will-b I'll give this a listen Some good stuff on this podcast!

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Interesting podcast I listened to the other day for those interested in political trading. http://businessofbetting.libsyn.com/paul-k

Ryan

@will-b Thats what I am thinking as well!

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@john-folan said in Political Trading Thread:

Boris into 2.14. Thanks Donald

Yep @John-Folan he's down to 1.94 this morning. I'm tempted to lay Boris now, it's hard to believe he wont pop up back over 2.0 again in the coming weeks given every tabloid paper in the UK will be looking to smear his name

John Folan

Boris into 2.14. Thanks Donald

John Folan

My trades on Theresa I placed 6 months ago have come good

John Folan

@dave-jessop said in Political Trading Thread:

Had a cheeky dutch on the top 3 - will make around 40% if it wins - Tories in BIG trouble looking at the Euros tonight and wouldn't be surprised to see a GE soon

Can’t disagree with any of that. Top three look most likely as well. Tories are in big trouble. So are Labour. Losing that heavy to a six week old party with no manifesto isn’t exactly great

John Folan

Raab made a tit of himself then. Nice little drift. I think Boris may have topped out so I'm out of everyone else and on him.

John Folan

Now things are interesting. A three horse race is developing. Raab still on the steam interestingly, more so now Gove has joined the party. Boris is starting to look like his price will be worth going in on soon.

John Folan

Right Boris is on the drift so I’m out and took a small loss. My back of Raab has offset it.

I’m expecting something spectacular from Boris in the next few days so I’m going to wait till he tops out or announces something then I will be going in hard. Hopefully he drifts a bit more and I can take a steam back in to evens. I will probably be trading this market tomorrow when Raab is on the Marr show. Not made my mind up whether I will be backing or laying him. Depends what a tit he makes of himself.

Hammond will probably slag Boris and if he does you can expect a drift on this.

I still think Raab will throw his lot behind Boris at some point and screw the remain candidates.

Also the European results are in tomorrow and I think the Conservatives have been battered judging from the exit polls. Any leave candidate should get a steam.

Ryan

Betfair Customer Service getting hammered on Twitter about the leadership market of the conservatives.

They are refusing to pay out on May leaving until she leaves and a lot of fuss being kicked up - previously they have voided markets like this in some cases.

Ryan

@john-folan

Agreed on those selections going to get some on those, 100% on the no deal think it will happen now especially if we get Boris in.

Let's make some money!

John Folan

Time to get this bad boy up and running again.Theresa is gone. Who will be next PM?

My investment will mainly be in Raab and Johnson.

I’ve asked Smarkets for a no deal Brexit market as well.

As usual no political opinions in this thread. It’s all about making each other as much money as possible. Slagging off politicians can be done in the Off Topic Thread as usual.

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@rob-lawton said in Political Trading Thread:

Backed the following for tonight’s vote -
1pt on 49 or less votes 26.0
2pts on 50-69 votes 6.0
2pts on 70-89 votes 5.0

Gonna be a waste of time tonight I think.

Well it was a waste of time but more votes came in against May than I thought there would be.

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Backed the following for tonight’s vote -
1pt on 49 or less votes 26.0
2pts on 50-69 votes 6.0
2pts on 70-89 votes 5.0

Gonna be a waste of time tonight I think.

Akiva Anderson

@john-folan said in Political Trading Thread:

Patience is a virtue. Kerching

I bet you shot your load when you heard the news this morning?!

John Folan

Patience is a virtue. Kerching

John Folan

Bit annoying that this hasn’t happened yet. I’m sticking with it because I’m playing with profit from initial moves and I still think this will play out in spectacular fashion shortly.