CW's watch lists, trading plans and general ramblings...
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Inplay - Torino v Calgary LTD @ 1.48
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@chris-watts said in CW's watch lists, trading plans and general ramblings...:
Trading Plan/Watchlist - 25/11/18
No time for a detailed write up today owing to other commitments.
BTTS - Torino v Calgary
Odds on laying BTTS No are now at 1.2 - I’m having a nibble at that, not much to lose and good upside potential. Game still not very lively but this is now an odds play. As the game progresses it can be a hedge against LTD potentially.
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@frode-lia I’ll take a look at halftime. Still a bit to go before the odds reach 2.4 for under 1.5 anyway.
Burnley v Newcastle kicks off shortly too.
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@chris-watts Open game in San Sebastian at least.
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@frode-lia I know! It’s a struggle watching this one to be fair!
BTTS odds at 4+ are appealing though
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@chris-watts A realy snoze...
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@chris-watts said in CW's watch lists, trading plans and general ramblings...:
Trading Plan/Watchlist - 25/11/18
No time for a detailed write up today owing to other commitments.
BTTS - Torino v Calgary
A slow first half so far, no entry for me yet. Will watch second half and see if it picks up. This trade might evolve into a LTD/LCS. The stats Di support second half goals for both teams.
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Trading Plan/Watchlist - 25/11/18
No time for a detailed write up today owing to other commitments.
BTTS - Torino v Calgary
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Weekly Round Up Results
19/11/18 Nothing
20/11/18 -1.4 Points
21/11/18 Nothing
22/11/18 +0.3 points
23/11/18 + 5.7 Points
24/11/18 +5.4 points
25/11/18 - NothingTotal + 10 points profit.
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Trading Plan/Watch List - 25/11/18
Nothing from me today, taking the day off to spend with the family on the back of two very good days results.
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Results - 24/11/18:
BTTS:
Swansea v Norwich
Sheffield Weds v Derby
Will be backing these in play at around evens or better, will also look to put them into a double and trading around that depending on how the games are going.Result - I got the double on pre-game at 2.88 (2.75 points liability). It sailed in before halftime for +5.15 points profit. Sadly I didnt get on individually in the games themselves as I was waiting for the odds to hit evens.
Over 2.5 Value
Wolfsburg v Leipzig
Fulham v Southampton
Both games trading at around evens but I have them at 1.54 and 1.8 respectively. Will be monitoring these games and looking to build a position around overs from 20 minutes out.Result - I only got a minor stake on in the Fulham game, had planned to enter around twenty minutes and had just got 0.25 points into the market when the first goal went in. I let it run and it too sailed in before halftime! +0.25 points.
No trade in the Wolfsburg game, was monitoring the first half which only had two shots on target and generally not much happening. I thought about laying the draw in H2 but the goal came before I'd made up my mind.
Home Favs/Away Lays:
PSV v Heerenveen
Strong home team who scores first against this time of opposition, away side concede first against similar opposition too. Will be watching and looking to side with the home team if 0-0 in the second half or laying the away team if they lead.Result - no trade, PSV took the lead after 10 minutes or so and completely dominated from there on out.
Overall Result +5.4 points
I could get used to this!
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@chris-watts seems like the trading gods were good to a few of us yesterday
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@martin-futter
Yeah not bad! Love it when the 2.88 doubles fly in before halftime!
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@chris-watts great work so far today mate!
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Watch List/Trading Plan – 24/11/18
BTTS:
Swansea v Norwich
Sheffield Weds v DerbyWill be backing these in play at around evens or better, will also look to put them into a double and trading around that depending on how the games are going.
Over 2.5 Value
Wolfsburg v Leipzig
Fulham v SouthamptonBoth games trading at around evens but I have them at 1.54 and 1.8 respectively. Will be monitoring these games and looking to build a position around overs from 20 minutes out.
Home Favs/Away Lays:
PSV v Heerenveen
Strong home team who scores first against this time of opposition, away side concede first against similar opposition too. Will be watching and looking to side with the home team if 0-0 in the second half or laying the away team if they lead.
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Results - 23/11/18
2HG’s:
• Sparta Rotterdam v Jong PSV - Game finished 0-0, -1 point
• Volendam v Jong Utrecht - 0-0 at halftime and two 2HG's, +0.5 points
• Roda v Telstar - No trade owing to two FHG's
• Bayer Leverkusen v Wargrem - 0-0 at halftime and two 2HG's, +1.8 points
• Lyon v St Etienne - 0-0 at halftime, the only goal came on 62 mins, +0.4 pointsBTTS:
• Ipswich v West Brom - got in around evens and added to position upto 2.25ish. +3 points
FHG’s:
• Almere v Dordrecht - goal on 15mins but too early for me so no trade.
• Den Bosch v Cambuur - no FHG, -0.5 points
• Leganes v Alaves - goal on 42mins, +0.5 pointsShouted out an inplay trade too on Armenia Bielefeld v Duisburg for + 1 point.
Overall Result = +5.7 points
I've had worse days!
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@chris-watts nice
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@chris-watts said in CW's watch lists, trading plans and general ramblings...:
Inplay - LTD Armenia Bielefeld v Duisburg
Goal 0-1! Green up.
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Inplay - LTD Armenia Bielefeld v Duisburg
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Watch List/Trading Plan – 23/11/18
2HG’s:
• Sparta Rotterdam v Jong PSV
• Volendam v Jong Utrecht
• Roda v Telstar
• Bayer Leverkusen v Wargrem
• Lyon v St EtienneBTTS:
• Ipswich v West Brom
FHG’s:
• Almere v Dordrecht
• Den Bosch v Cambuur
• Leganes v AlavesThe return of league football sees plenty of potential angles to keep an eye out for today. No time for a full write on an individual basis but all of the above have strong supporting statistics for the category. As always monitor the games and look for appropriate entry points.
