🔮⚽ Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! ⚽🔮

[Richard Latimer]

@Martin should we have a new thread each day? This is going to get pretty hard to track isn't it?

[Nikki HALSALL]

3/3 yesterday, here are today's over 1.5s

South Africa Premiership 01/02/2025 13:30:00 Orlando Pirates Kaizer Chiefs 1.51
Scotland League Two 01/02/2025 15:00:00 Peterhead Forfar Athletic 1.38
Slovenia Prva Liga 01/02/2025 14:00:00 Celje Bravo 1.26
Spain Laliga 01/02/2025 17:30:00 Atl. Madrid Mallorca 1.25
England League Two 01/02/2025 15:00:00 Harrogate Crewe 1.23

[Alastair Todd]

Todays Back O1.5 goals (meant to add them last night):

Sydney FC v Adelaide Utd. 1.26
Leeds v Cardiff. 1.31
Swansea v Coventry. 1.34
Newcastle Utd v Fulham. 1.26
Nijmegen v PSV. 1.26

Result: 5 wins = +1.43 pts

[Alex Rule]

01/02/2025 Germany Bundesliga St Pauli Augsburg odds - 3.5
01/02/2025 England Premier League Ipswich Southampton odds - 3.7
01/02/2025 Austria Austrian Cup Sturm Graz Austria Vienna odds - 3.55

31/01/2025 Belgium Challenger Pro League FC Liege Seraing Utd odds - 3.75
31/01/2025 Switzerland Challenge League Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Etoile Carouge odds - 3.75
31/01/2025 Italy Serie A Parma Lecce odds - 3.5
31/01/2025 Mexico Liga de Expansión MX CD Tepatitlan De Morelos Club Atletico Morelia odds - 3.5
02/02/2025 Australia A-League Men Central Coast Mariners Newcastle Jets odds- 3.7

[Stephen Hancox]

FH over 0.5 for today (running P&L: -£9.12)

Motor Lublin v Lechia Gdansk 1.34
Heidenheim v Dortmund 1.32
Ipswich v Southampton 1.39
Charleroi v Dender 1.47
Union Berlin v RB Leipzig 1.39

3/5 -£8.43

[Wayne Thomas]

3/4 Last night: -£0.90

Here are today's O1.5:

[Andy Donnelly]

My lay u1.5 selections for today:

2:30pm - Heidenheim v Dortmund @ 5.7
3pm - Newcastle v Fulham @ 4.9
3pm - Leeds v Cardiff @ 4.1
3pm - Swansea v Coventry @ 3.75
3pm - Al Fateh v Al Qadisiya @ 5.7

[Martin]

I am using the Lay The Home Team strategy I have been testing, it has done well in testing so far but still early days so these are not tips.

[Martin]

@Richard-Latimer yes include 2%

[GREGORIOS KARASHIALIS]

@Stephen-Hancox did you win

[Alex Rendell]

@Richard-Latimer surely we're deducting 2% on all winnings?

[Richard Latimer]

@Martin are we including commission?

[Andy Donnelly]

2/2 today for £19.60 profit (to £10 stakes)

[Richard Latimer]

@Richard-Latimer said in Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! :

I'll get the ball rolling:

All selections are going to be from my lay under 1.5 system. I'll post up here along with any stipulations on odds. As I place bet 5 mins prior or sometimes the night before if it's an early early kick off I will update whether it's a trade or not.

Net Eerste must be no higher than 7 to lay
Aus A-league must be no higher than 6.6 to lay

So the very first trade I forgot to post again just before kickoff. Odds on Den Bosch were around 6.0 but I can't check exact again at the moment as there is a problem with betfair for me.

Oddsportal will confirm this however.

Betfair playing ball again. It was 5.9.

Final score 3-0

Odds on early morning trade no good.

Thats +£10.00 or £9.80 depending on whether we are adding commission or not.

[Martin Webb]

@Martin-Webb said in Predict the Winners: Enter the 2025 Football Betting Challenge! :

Over 2.5
Germany Bundesliga 2 Elversberg v Karlsruher 1.53.

Won Points Balance +0.53

[Alex Rendell]

BET 1: Wil v Xamax - BACK Over 2.5 goals @ 1.70 odds 2-0 (-£10)
BET 2: Bremen v Mainz - BACK Over 3.5 goals @ 3.25 odds 1-0 (-£10)

-£20 overall

[Martin]

Great to see so many entries! I will be picking some over the weekend for a lay home strategy I am testing, didn't have any qualify today.

[Alex Rule]

@Martin got you.

I'll go with my BACK THE DRAW strat that has been going well.

31/01/2025 Belgium Challenger Pro League FC Liege Seraing Utd odds - 3.75
31/01/2025 Switzerland Challenge League Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Etoile Carouge odds - 3.75
31/01/2025 Italy Serie A Parma Lecce odds - 3.5
31/01/2025 Mexico Liga de Expansión MX CD Tepatitlan De Morelos Club Atletico Morelia odds - 3.5
02/02/2025 Australia A-League Men Central Coast Mariners Newcastle Jets odds- 3.7

[Alastair Todd]

Backing over 1.5 goals. None are currently matched but I hope they will be shortly after KO (is that within the rules)?

Elversberg v Karlsruher. 1.26
Den Haag v Eindhoven FC. 1.26
SV Werder Bremen v FSV Mainz 1.30
Montpellier v Lens 1.30
Parma v Lecce 1.30

Result: 1 loss and 4 wins = -0.12 pts

[Wayne Thomas]

Four selections for over 1.5 goals.

Been testing this value system for Over 1.5 since the beginning of January. Fairly promising start so let's see how it goes moving forward.

Selections are from an initial filter based on O1.5 percentages in last 10 games. Final selections are whittled down depending on av. goal rates and value (based on the O1.5 percentages.)

EDIT Scratch the Mexican game. Just realised that counts as tomorrow.